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Are Business Cycle Dynamics the Same across Countries? Testing Linearity around the Globe

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  • Bradley Michael D.

    (George Washington University)

  • Jansen Dennis W.

    (Texas A&M University)

Abstract

We investigate business cycle dynamics for 26 countries, estimating a set of nonlinear models for real GDP where appropriate. We find a great deal of heterogeneity in the dynamics of real output growth across countries. At the same time, a common feature is the asymmetric response of real GDP to shocks and the tendency for negative real GDP shocks to be less persistent than positive real GDP shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Bradley Michael D. & Jansen Dennis W., 2000. "Are Business Cycle Dynamics the Same across Countries? Testing Linearity around the Globe," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 4(2), pages 1-23, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:sndecm:v:4:y:2000:i:2:n:1
    DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1056
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Bradley Michael D. & Jansen Dennis W., 2018. "Nonlinear evidence on the existence of jobless recoveries," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(1), pages 1-19, February.
    2. Michael D. Bradley & Jeff Colvin & Mary K. Perkins, 2012. "Do Volume Increases and Decreases Have the Same Effect on Labor Hours?," Chapters, in: Michael A. Crew & Paul R. Kleindorfer (ed.), Multi-Modal Competition and the Future of Mail, chapter 7, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    3. Ghulame Rubbaniy & Ali Awais Khalid & Stathis Polyzos & Balqees Naser Almessabi, 2022. "Cyclicality of capital adequacy ratios in heterogeneous environment: A nonlinear panel smooth transition regression explanation," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 1960-1979, September.
    4. Artur Silva Lopes & Gabriel Florin Zsurkis, 2019. "Are linear models really unuseful to describe business cycle data?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(22), pages 2355-2376, May.
    5. Kim, Sei-Wan & Mollick, André V. & Nam, Kiseok, 2008. "Common nonlinearities in long-horizon stock returns: Evidence from the G-7 stock markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 19-31.
    6. Mårten Bjellerup & Thomas Holgersson, 2009. "A simple multivariate test for asymmetry," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(11), pages 1405-1416.
    7. Silva Lopes, Artur C. & Florin Zsurkis, Gabriel, 2015. "Revisiting non-linearities in business cycles around the world," MPRA Paper 65668, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Lopes, Artur Silva & Zsurkis, Gabriel Florin, 2017. "Are linear models really unuseful to describe business cycle data?," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-5, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

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