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Dynamics of Wealth and Consumption: New and Improved Measures for U.S. States

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  • Zhou Xia

    (Fannie Mae)

  • Carroll Christopher D.

    (Johns Hopkins University)

Abstract

Case, Quigley, and Shiller (2005) persuasively argue that the well-known conceptual difficulties in measuring aggregate “wealth effects” might be lessened by the use of state-level data. Unfortunately, the data required for a convincing implementation of their idea have been either virtually nonexistent (for financial wealth) or of questionable quality (for consumption). Our main contributions are to provide the first directly observed panel data on financial wealth at the state level, and to construct improved measures of state-level spending growth. Using these data, we estimate rudimentary “wealth effects” regressions that find a strong relationship between twice-lagged housing wealth growth and current spending growth, but we find no relationship between lagged financial wealth growth and current spending growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhou Xia & Carroll Christopher D., 2012. "Dynamics of Wealth and Consumption: New and Improved Measures for U.S. States," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(2), pages 1-44, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:bejmac:v:12:y:2012:i:2:n:4
    DOI: 10.1515/1935-1690.2403
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    2. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta & Goodness C. Aye, 2013. "Time-Varying Effects of Housing and Stock Prices on U.S. Consumption," Working Papers 201325, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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    12. Tsangyao Chang & Su-Ling Tsai & Kai-yin Allison Haga, 2017. "Uncovering the interrelationship between the U.S. stock and housing markets: a bootstrap rolling window Granger causality approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(58), pages 5841-5848, December.
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    14. Anderson, D. Mark & Crost, Benjamin & Rees, Daniel I., 2020. "Do economic downturns fuel racial animus?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 9-18.
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    17. Ray C. Fair, 2017. "Household Wealth and Macroeconomic Activity: 2008–2013," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2-3), pages 495-523, March.
    18. Holger Mueller & Constantine Yannelis, 2022. "Increasing Enrollment in Income‐Driven Student Loan Repayment Plans: Evidence from the Navient Field Experiment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(1), pages 367-402, February.
    19. Bhatia, Kul & Mitchell, Chris, 2016. "Household-specific housing capital gains and consumption: Evidence from Canadian microdata," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 19-33.
    20. Ray C. Fair, 2019. "Some Important Macro Points," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2165, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.

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