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Measuring climate change adaptation policy output: Toward a two‐dimensional approach

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  • Kai Schulze
  • Jonas J. Schoenefeld

Abstract

As jurisdictions across the globe step up their efforts to adapt to climate change, it is important to assess progress by taking stock of and comparing adaptation policy. However, scholars and practitioners are struggling to conceptualize and measure adaptation policy. In this article, we propose a new two‐dimensional framework to measure public adaptation policy output, namely, the Climate Adaptation Policy Index (CAPI). The index combines multiple indicators from two core interdependent dimensions, namely, an institutionalization dimension focusing on strategic plans and administrative capacities for adaptation; and a measures dimension capturing concrete adaptation measures in relevant action areas such as in green and open spaces, transport infrastructure, buildings, public education, and disaster management. Our approach is extensive but feasible and may be adjusted for use in different contexts and policy areas. We probe our approach at the local level using original survey data from a diverse sample of 211 municipalities located in the state of Hessen in central Germany. A factor analysis suggests that the two dimensions constitute a meaningful measurement of municipal adaptation policy output. A cluster analysis identifies five groups of municipalities representing different stages of adaptation policy progress in Hessen. Finally, a regression analysis examines potential determinants of local adaptation policy making such as the size and wealth of municipalities. The results highlight the potential of the CAPI for analyzing both the state and the making of municipal adaptation policy. 鉴于全球各司法管辖区加紧适应气候变化,通过全面评估和比较适应政策,进而评估进展情况一事变得很重要。不过,学者和从业人员正在努力对适应政策加以概念化和衡量。本文中,我们提出一项新的二维框架——即气候适应政策指数(CAPI),以衡量公共适应政策产出。该指数结合了来自两个相互依存的核心维度的多个指标,这两个维度分别为“制度化维度”和“措施维度,”前者聚焦于适应的战略计划和行政能力,后者描述相关行动领域的具体适应措施,这些领域包括绿色和开放空间、交通基础设施、建筑、公共教育、以及灾害管理。我们的方法是广泛而可行的,能在不同的情境和政策领域中进行调整使用。通过使用德国中部黑森州211个城镇样本的原始调查数据,我们在地方层面探究了该方法。因子分析表明,这两个维度对城镇适应政策产出进行了有意义的衡量。聚类分析识别了五组城市,后者代表了黑森州适应政策进展的不同阶段。最后,回归分析检验了地方适应决策的潜在决定因素,例如城镇的规模和财富。研究结果强调了CAPI在“分析城镇适应政策的状况及制定”方面的潜力。 A medida que las jurisdicciones de todo el mundo intensifican sus esfuerzos para adaptarse al cambio climático, es importante evaluar el progreso haciendo un balance y comparando las políticas de adaptación. Sin embargo, académicos y profesionales luchan por conceptualizar y medir la política de adaptación. En este artículo, proponemos un nuevo marco bidimensional para medir los resultados de las políticas públicas de adaptación, a saber, el Índice de Políticas de Adaptación Climática (CAPI). El índice combina múltiples indicadores de dos dimensiones centrales interdependientes, a saber, una dimensión de institucionalización centrada en planes estratégicos y capacidades administrativas para la adaptación; y una dimensión de medidas que captura medidas de adaptación concretas en áreas de acción relevantes, como espacios verdes y abiertos, infraestructura de transporte, edificios, educación pública y gestión de desastres. Nuestro enfoque es extenso pero factible y puede ajustarse para su uso en diferentes contextos y áreas de política. Probamos nuestro enfoque a nivel local utilizando datos de encuestas originales de una muestra diversa de 211 municipios ubicados en el estado de Hesse, en el centro de Alemania. Un análisis factorial sugiere que las dos dimensiones constituyen una medida significativa del resultado de la política de adaptación municipal. Un análisis de conglomerados identifica cinco grupos de municipios que representan diferentes etapas del progreso de la política de adaptación en Hessen. Finalmente, un análisis de regresión examina los determinantes potenciales de la formulación de políticas de adaptación local, como el tamaño y la riqueza de los municipios. Los resultados destacan el potencial del CAPI para analizar tanto el estado como la elaboración de la política de adaptación municipal.

Suggested Citation

  • Kai Schulze & Jonas J. Schoenefeld, 2023. "Measuring climate change adaptation policy output: Toward a two‐dimensional approach," Review of Policy Research, Policy Studies Organization, vol. 40(6), pages 1058-1092, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:revpol:v:40:y:2023:i:6:p:1058-1092
    DOI: 10.1111/ropr.12553
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