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Sudden Stops and Currency Crashes

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  • Yanping Zhao
  • Jakob Haan
  • Bert Scholtens
  • Haizhen Yang

Abstract

This paper investigates which factors determine whether sudden stops in international capital flows are followed by a currency crash using data for 85 economies in the period 1980–2012. An event study approach is used for an 11-year window around the crises for nine potential explanatory variables. In addition, the paper estimates discrete-choice panel models. The results suggest that low trade openness, shallow financial markets, and current account imbalances increase the likelihood that a sudden stop will be followed by a currency crash. Moreover, it is established that the impact of these factors differs across different exchange rate regimes.

Suggested Citation

  • Yanping Zhao & Jakob Haan & Bert Scholtens & Haizhen Yang, 2014. "Sudden Stops and Currency Crashes," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(4), pages 660-685, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reviec:v:22:y:2014:i:4:p:660-685
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    Cited by:

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    2. Nguyen, Thanh Cong & Castro, Vítor & Wood, Justine, 2022. "A new comprehensive database of financial crises: Identification, frequency, and duration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    3. Karatas, B., 2014. "Financial crisis and monetary policy," Other publications TiSEM 41e463f0-e122-4379-8db5-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    4. Suxiao Li & Jakob de Haan & Bert Scholtens, 2019. "Sudden stops of international fund flows: Occurrence and magnitude," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 468-497, February.
    5. Carlos Arteta & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & Marc Stocker, 2015. "The coming US interest rate tightening cycle: smooth sailing or stormy waters?," CAMA Working Papers 2015-37, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    6. Junyi Shi, 2020. "Re-Measurement Of Short-Term International Capital Flows And Its Application: Evidence From China," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 65(06), pages 1645-1665, December.

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