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15 Years of Research on US Employment and the Minimum Wage

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  • Paul Wolfson
  • Dale Belman

Abstract

Statistical analysis of the minimum wage and employment has been very active for the last quarter century, including more than 37 studies of US data since the December 2000 AER exchange involving Card, Krueger, Neumark and Wascher. In this meta‐analysis of the 37 that report results suitable for this technique, the most important finding is a considerable shift toward the origin in the ‘consensus range’: from the interval [−0.3, −0.1] to [−0.13, −0.07]. The minimum wage has negative employment effects, but these have become notably smaller and are largely localized to teenagers.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul Wolfson & Dale Belman, 2019. "15 Years of Research on US Employment and the Minimum Wage," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 33(4), pages 488-506, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:labour:v:33:y:2019:i:4:p:488-506
    DOI: 10.1111/labr.12162
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    Cited by:

    1. Michael R. Strain, 2021. "Response To Michael Reich," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 1306-1308, September.
    2. Husson, Michel, 2021. "La econometría y la modelización de la ideología," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 88(352), pages 989-1010, octubre-d.
    3. Neumark, David & Munguía Corella, Luis Felipe, 2021. "Do minimum wages reduce employment in developing countries? A survey and exploration of conflicting evidence," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    4. MacKinnon, James G. & Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard & Webb, Matthew D., 2023. "Cluster-robust inference: A guide to empirical practice," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 272-299.
    5. Meiselbach, Mark K. & Abraham, Jean M., 2023. "Do minimum wage laws affect employer-sponsored insurance provision?," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    6. Committee, Nobel Prize, 2021. "Answering causal questions using observational data," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 2021-2, Nobel Prize Committee.
    7. Nicholas A. Ashford & Ralph P. Hall & Johan Arango-Quiroga & Kyriakos A. Metaxas & Amy L. Showalter, 2020. "Addressing Inequality: The First Step Beyond COVID-19 and Towards Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-43, July.
    8. Medrano-Adán, Luis & Salas-Fumás, Vicente, 2023. "Do minimum wages deliver what they promise? Effects of minimum wage on employment, output, and income inequality from occupational choice theory," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 366-383.
    9. Emiel van Bezooijen & Wiljan van den Berge & Anna Salomons, 2024. "The Young Bunch: Youth Minimum Wages and Labor Market Outcomes," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 77(3), pages 428-460, May.
    10. Drucker, Lev & Mazirov, Katya & Neumark, David, 2021. "Who pays for and who benefits from minimum wage increases? Evidence from Israeli tax data on business owners and workers," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    11. Fillmore, Ian, 2022. "A $15 federal minimum wage is outside historical experience," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(1), pages 84-92.
    12. Meemken, Eva-Marie & Aremu, Olayinka & Fabry, Anna & Heepen, Celestina & Illien, Patrick & Kammer, Marie & Laitha, Andrew, 2024. "Policy for decent work in agriculture," IAAE 2024 Conference, August 2-7, 2024, New Delhi, India 344353, International Association of Agricultural Economists (IAAE).
    13. Arindrajit Dube & Ben Zipperer, 2024. "Own-Wage Elasticity: Quantifying the Impact of Minimum Wages on Employment," NBER Working Papers 32925, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Jiménez Martínez, Mónica & Jiménez Martínez, Maribel, 2021. "Are the effects of minimum wage on the labour market the same across countries? A meta-analysis spanning a century," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(1).
    15. Cristian Valeriu Paun & Radu Nechita & Alexandru Patruti & Mihai Vladimir Topan, 2021. "The Impact of the Minimum Wage on Employment: An EU Panel Data Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-17, August.
    16. Omberg Robert Tucker, 2021. "Puerto Rico's minimum wage: Revisiting a price floor with bite," IZA Journal of Labor Policy, Sciendo & Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 11(1), pages 1-25, January.
    17. Anna Godoey & Michael Reich, 2021. "Are Minimum Wage Effects Greater in Low‐Wage Areas?," Industrial Relations: A Journal of Economy and Society, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(1), pages 36-83, January.
    18. Radhakrishnan Gopalan & Barton H. Hamilton & Ankit Kalda & David Sovich, 2021. "State Minimum Wages, Employment, and Wage Spillovers: Evidence from Administrative Payroll Data," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 39(3), pages 673-707.
    19. David Neumark & Peter Shirley, 2022. "Myth or measurement: What does the new minimum wage research say about minimum wages and job loss in the United States?," Industrial Relations: A Journal of Economy and Society, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(4), pages 384-417, October.
    20. Wiljan van den Berge, 2021. "The Young Bunch: Youth Minimum Wages and Labor Market Outcomes," CPB Discussion Paper 422.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    21. David Neumark, 2024. "The effects of minimum wages on (almost) everything? A review of recent evidence on health and related behaviors," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 38(1), pages 1-65, March.
    22. Michael Reich, 2021. "The Economics Of A $15 Federal Minimum Wage By 2025," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 1297-1305, September.

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