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Testing Normality of Functional Time Series

Author

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  • Tomasz Górecki
  • Siegfried Hörmann
  • Lajos Horváth
  • Piotr Kokoszka

Abstract

We develop tests of normality for time series of functions. The tests are related to the commonly used Jarque–Bera test. The assumption of normality has played an important role in many methodological and theoretical developments in the field of functional data analysis. Yet, no inferential procedures to verify it have been proposed so far, even for i.i.d. functions. We propose several approaches which handle two paramount challenges: (i) the unknown temporal dependence structure and (ii) the estimation of the optimal finite†dimensional projection space. We evaluate the tests via simulations and establish their large sample validity under general conditions. We obtain useful insights by applying them to pollution and intraday price curves. While the pollution curves can be treated as normal, the normality of high†frequency price curves is rejected.

Suggested Citation

  • Tomasz Górecki & Siegfried Hörmann & Lajos Horváth & Piotr Kokoszka, 2018. "Testing Normality of Functional Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(4), pages 471-487, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:39:y:2018:i:4:p:471-487
    DOI: 10.1111/jtsa.12281
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    Cited by:

    1. Elżbieta Szaruga & Elżbieta Załoga, 2022. "Environmental Management from the Point of View of the Energy Intensity of Road Freight Transport and Shocks," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(21), pages 1-22, November.
    2. Horváth, Lajos & Rice, Gregory & Zhao, Yuqian, 2022. "Change point analysis of covariance functions: A weighted cumulative sum approach," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    3. Jiménez-Gamero, M. Dolores & Franco-Pereira, Alba M., 2021. "Testing the equality of a large number of means of functional data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    4. Zhao, Yuqian, 2021. "Validating intra-day risk premium in cross-sectional return curves," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    5. Axel Bücher & Holger Dette & Florian Heinrichs, 2023. "A portmanteau-type test for detecting serial correlation in locally stationary functional time series," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 255-278, July.
    6. Pastory Dickson & Emmanuel Munishi, 2022. "Volatility shocks in energy commodities: The influence of COVID-19," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 11(2), pages 214-227, March.
    7. Mora-Valencia, Andrés & Rodríguez-Raga, Santiago & Vanegas, Esteban, 2021. "Skew index: Descriptive analysis, predictive power, and short-term forecast," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    8. Chen, Yichao & Pun, Chi Seng, 2019. "A bootstrap-based KPSS test for functional time series," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    9. Tomasz Górecki & Lajos Horváth & Piotr Kokoszka, 2020. "Tests of Normality of Functional Data," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 88(3), pages 677-697, December.
    10. Norbert Henze & María Dolores Jiménez‐Gamero, 2021. "A test for Gaussianity in Hilbert spaces via the empirical characteristic functional," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(2), pages 406-428, June.
    11. Han Lin Shang, 2024. "Bootstrapping Long-Run Covariance of Stationary Functional Time Series," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-14, February.
    12. Rice, Gregory & Wirjanto, Tony & Zhao, Yuqian, 2023. "Exploring volatility of crude oil intraday return curves: A functional GARCH-X model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    13. Bouri, Elie & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Saeed, Tareq & Wang, Shixuan & Zhao, Yuqian, 2021. "On the intraday return curves of Bitcoin: Predictability and trading opportunities," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    14. Rice, Gregory & Wirjanto, Tony & Zhao, Yuqian, 2021. "Exploring volatility of crude oil intra-day return curves: a functional GARCH-X Model," MPRA Paper 109231, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Qiang Ji & Dayong Zhang & Yuqian Zhao, 2022. "Intra-day co-movements of crude oil futures: China and the international benchmarks," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 77-103, June.

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