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On Weighted Portmanteau Tests For Time-Series Goodness-Of-Fit

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  • Colin M. Gallagher
  • Thomas J. Fisher

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="jtsa12093-abs-0001"> Recent work in the literature has shown weighted variants of the classic portmanteau test for time series can be more powerful in many situations. In this article, we study the asymptotic distribution of weighted sums of the squared residual autocorrelations where both the sample size n and maximum lag of the statistic m grow large. Several weighting schemes are introduced, including a data-adaptive statistic in which the weights are determined by a function of the sample partial autocorrelations. These statistics can provide more power than other portmanteau tests found in the literature and are much less sensitive to the choice of the maximum correlation lag. The efficacy of the proposed methods is further demonstrated through an analysis of Australian red wine sales.

Suggested Citation

  • Colin M. Gallagher & Thomas J. Fisher, 2015. "On Weighted Portmanteau Tests For Time-Series Goodness-Of-Fit," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1), pages 67-83, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:36:y:2015:i:1:p:67-83
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/jtsa.12093
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Franklin Satterthwaite, 1941. "Synthesis of variance," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 6(5), pages 309-316, October.
    2. Shao, Xiaofeng, 2011. "Testing For White Noise Under Unknown Dependence And Its Applications To Diagnostic Checking For Time Series Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(2), pages 312-343, April.
    3. Hong, Yongmiao, 1996. "Consistent Testing for Serial Correlation of Unknown Form," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 837-864, July.
    4. Esam Mahdi & A. Ian McLeod, 2012. "Improved multivariate portmanteau test," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 211-222, March.
    5. Thomas J. Fisher & Colin M. Gallagher, 2012. "New Weighted Portmanteau Statistics for Time Series Goodness of Fit Testing," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 107(498), pages 777-787, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Roberto Baragona & Francesco Battaglia & Domenico Cucina, 2022. "Data-driven portmanteau tests for time series," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 31(3), pages 675-698, September.
    2. Daniel Cirkovic & Thomas J. Fisher, 2021. "On testing for the equality of autocovariance in time series," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(7), November.

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