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Nonlinear ARMA models with functional MA coefficients

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  • Hai‐Bin Wang

Abstract

. In the present article, we propose and study a new class of nonlinear autoregressive moving‐average (ARMA) models, in which each moving‐average (MA) coefficient is enlarged to an arbitrary univariate function. We first provide a sufficient condition for the existence of the stationary solution and further discuss the moment structure. We investigate the estimation method to the proposed models. The global estimates of parameters and local linear estimates of functional coefficients are obtained by using a back‐fitting algorithm. For testing whether the functional coefficients are some specified parametric forms, a bootstrap test approach is provided. The proposed models are illustrated by both simulated and real data examples.

Suggested Citation

  • Hai‐Bin Wang, 2008. "Nonlinear ARMA models with functional MA coefficients," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(6), pages 1032-1056, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:29:y:2008:i:6:p:1032-1056
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9892.2008.00594.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jianqing Fan & Qiwei Yao & Zongwu Cai, 2003. "Adaptive varying‐coefficient linear models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 65(1), pages 57-80, February.
    2. Opsomer, Jean D., 2000. "Asymptotic Properties of Backfitting Estimators," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(2), pages 166-179, May.
    3. M. B. Priestley, 1980. "State‐Dependent Models: A General Approach To Non‐Linear Time Series Analysis," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 1(1), pages 47-71, January.
    4. Arup Bose, 1990. "Bootstrap in moving average models," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 42(4), pages 753-768, December.
    5. Cai, Zongwu & Fan, Jianqing & Yao, Qiwei, 2000. "Functional-coefficient regression models for nonlinear time series," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 6314, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Jeremy Berkowitz & Lutz Kilian, 2000. "Recent developments in bootstrapping time series," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 1-48.
    7. Granger, C. W. J. & Andersen, Allan, 1978. "On the invertibility of time series models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 87-92, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Song Xi & Lei, Lihua & Tu, Yundong, 2014. "Functional Coefficient Moving Average Model with Applications to forecasting Chinese CPI," MPRA Paper 67074, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2015.

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