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Generalization of Jeffreys divergence‐based priors for Bayesian hypothesis testing

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  • M. J. Bayarri
  • G. García‐Donato

Abstract

Summary. We introduce objective proper prior distributions for hypothesis testing and model selection based on measures of divergence between the competing models; we call them divergence‐based (DB) priors. DB priors have simple forms and desirable properties like information (finite sample) consistency and are often similar to other existing proposals like intrinsic priors. Moreover, in normal linear model scenarios, they reproduce the Jeffreys–Zellner–Siow priors exactly. Most importantly, in challenging scenarios such as irregular models and mixture models, DB priors are well defined and very reasonable, whereas alternative proposals are not. We derive approximations to the DB priors as well as Markov chain Monte Carlo and asymptotic expressions for the associated Bayes factors.

Suggested Citation

  • M. J. Bayarri & G. García‐Donato, 2008. "Generalization of Jeffreys divergence‐based priors for Bayesian hypothesis testing," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(5), pages 981-1003, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssb:v:70:y:2008:i:5:p:981-1003
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9868.2008.00667.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. José Bernardo, 2005. "Intrinsic credible regions: An objective Bayesian approach to interval estimation," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 14(2), pages 317-384, December.
    2. José M. Bernardo & Raúl Rueda, 2002. "Bayesian Hypothesis Testing: a Reference Approach," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 70(3), pages 351-372, December.
    3. Fulvio De Santis & Fulvio Spezzaferri, 1999. "Methods for Default and Robust Bayesian Model Comparison: the Fractional Bayes Factor Approach," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 67(3), pages 267-286, December.
    4. Liang, Feng & Paulo, Rui & Molina, German & Clyde, Merlise A. & Berger, Jim O., 2008. "Mixtures of g Priors for Bayesian Variable Selection," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 103, pages 410-423, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Minerva Mukhopadhyay & Tapas Samanta, 2017. "A mixture of g-priors for variable selection when the number of regressors grows with the sample size," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 26(2), pages 377-404, June.
    2. Dal Ho Kim & Woo Dong Lee & Sang Gil Kang & Yongku Kim, 2019. "Objective Bayesian tests for Fieller–Creasy problem," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 1159-1182, September.
    3. D. Fouskakis, 2019. "Priors via imaginary training samples of sufficient statistics for objective Bayesian hypothesis testing," METRON, Springer;Sapienza Università di Roma, vol. 77(3), pages 179-199, December.
    4. James Berger & M. J. Bayarri & L. R. Pericchi, 2014. "The Effective Sample Size," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1-4), pages 197-217, June.
    5. Ram C. Kafle & Netra Khanal & Chris P. Tsokos, 2014. "Bayesian age-stratified joinpoint regression model: an application to lung and brain cancer mortality," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(12), pages 2727-2742, December.
    6. Zhang, Duo & Wang, Min, 2018. "Objective Bayesian inference for the intraclass correlation coefficient in linear models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 292-296.
    7. Woo Dong Lee & Sang Gil Kang & Yongku Kim, 2019. "Objective Bayesian testing for the linear combinations of normal means," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 147-172, February.
    8. Sang Gil Kang & Woo Dong Lee & Yongku Kim, 2017. "Objective Bayesian testing on the common mean of several normal distributions under divergence-based priors," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 32(1), pages 71-91, March.
    9. Roberta Paroli & Guido Consonni, 2020. "Objective Bayesian comparison of order-constrained models in contingency tables," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 29(1), pages 139-165, March.
    10. Diego Battagliese & Clara Grazian & Brunero Liseo & Cristiano Villa, 2023. "Copula modelling with penalized complexity priors: the bivariate case," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 32(2), pages 542-565, June.

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