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Correlograms for non‐stationary autoregressions

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  • Bent Nielsen

Abstract

Summary. Analysis of time series often involves correlograms and partial correlograms as graphical descriptions of temporal dependence. Two methods are available for computing these statistics: one based on autocorrelations and the other on scaled autocovariances. For a stationary time series the resulting plots are nearly identical. When it comes to time series exhibiting non‐stationary features these methods can lead to very different results. This has two consequences: incorrect inferences can be drawn when confusing these concepts; better discrimination between stationary and non‐stationarity is achieved when using autocorrelations instead of, or along with, the autocovariances which are commonly used in statistical software.

Suggested Citation

  • Bent Nielsen, 2006. "Correlograms for non‐stationary autoregressions," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 68(4), pages 707-720, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssb:v:68:y:2006:i:4:p:707-720
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9868.2006.00563.x
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    1. Katarina Juselius & Zorica Mladenovic, 2002. "High Inflation, Hyperinflation and Explosive Roots: The Case of Yugoslavia," Discussion Papers 02-23, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
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    1. B. Nielsen, 2009. "Test for cointegration rank in general vector autoregressions," Economics Papers 2009-W10, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    2. Nielsen, Bent, 2010. "Analysis Of Coexplosive Processes," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(03), pages 882-915, June.

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