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Recent Evidence On The Accuracy And Rationality Of Popular Inflation Forecasts

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  • David C. Leonard
  • Michael E. Solt

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  • David C. Leonard & Michael E. Solt, 1986. "Recent Evidence On The Accuracy And Rationality Of Popular Inflation Forecasts," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 9(4), pages 281-290, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfnres:v:9:y:1986:i:4:p:281-290
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/j.1475-6803.1986.tb00460.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Huizinga, John & Mishkin, Frederic S, 1984. "Inflation and Real Interest Rates on Assets with Different Risk Characteristics," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 39(3), pages 699-712, July.
    2. Huizinga, John & Mishkin, Frederic S., 1986. "Monetary policy regime shifts and the unusual behavior of real interest rates," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 231-274, January.
    3. Leonard, David C. & Solt, Michael E., 1985. "Inflation forecasts, the expected real rate and information efficiency," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 187-193, April.
    4. Bradford Cornell, 1986. "Inflation Measurement, Inflation Risk, And The Pricing Of Treasury Bills," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 9(3), pages 193-202, September.
    5. Hafer, R W & Hein, Scott E, 1985. "On the Accuracy of Time-Series, Interest Rate, and Survey Forecasts of Inflation," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 58(4), pages 377-398, October.
    6. Fama, Eugene F, 1975. "Short-Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 65(3), pages 269-282, June.
    7. Mascaro, Angelo & Meltzer, Allan H., 1983. "Long- and short-term interest rates in a risky world," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 485-518, November.
    8. Pearce, Douglas K, 1984. "An Empirical Analysis of Expected Stock Price Movements," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 16(3), pages 317-327, August.
    9. Noble, Nicholas R, 1982. "Granger Causality and Expectational Rationality: A Note," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 14(4), pages 532-537, November.
    10. Gramlich, Edward M, 1983. "Models of Inflation Expectations Formation: A Comparison of Household and Economist Forecasts," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 15(2), pages 155-173, May.
    11. Nelson, Charles R & Schwert, G William, 1977. "Short-Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation: On Testing the Hypothesis That the Real Rate of Interest is Constant," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(3), pages 478-486, June.
    12. Mullineaux, Donald J, 1980. "Inflation Expectations and Money Growth in the United States," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(1), pages 149-161, March.
    13. Fama, Eugene F. & Gibbons, Michael R., 1984. "A comparison of inflation forecasts," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 327-348, May.
    14. Hvidding, James M, 1985. "Models of Inflation Expectations Formation: A Comment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 17(4), pages 534-538, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. NEIFAR, MALIKA & HarzAllah, AMIRA, 2020. "Can Canadian Stock market provide complete hedge against Inflation ?," MPRA Paper 99093, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. David C. Leonard & Michael E. Solt, 1987. "Stock Market Signals Of Changes In Expected Inflation," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 10(1), pages 57-63, March.

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