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Lockup Agreements and Survival of UK IPOs

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  • Wasim Ahmad
  • Ranko Jelic

Abstract

This paper examines the role of lockup agreements on the survival of 580 UK Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) during the period of 1990–2011. Our accelerated failure time (AFT) survival model shows a statistically and economically significant effect of lockup length on the post-IPO survival. A 12 month increase in median lockup period increases the (median) survival time by 27%. Furthermore, the failure rates for IPOs with longer lockups are consistently lower than the failure rates for IPOs with shorter lockups regardless of delisting reasons. The results are robust to choice of different survival estimation models, heterogeneity, clustering, and alternative specification of variables. Our results highlight the importance of lockup characteristics on the subsequent survival of newly listed firms and inform recent debate regarding alleged short-termism in the UK equity market.

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  • Wasim Ahmad & Ranko Jelic, 2014. "Lockup Agreements and Survival of UK IPOs," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(5-6), pages 717-742, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:41:y:2014:i:5-6:p:717-742
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/jbfa.12068
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    2. Iftikhar Ahmad & Izlin Ismail & Shahrin Saaid Shaharuddin, 2021. "Predictive Role of Ex Ante Strategic Firm Characteristics for Sustainable Initial Public Offering (IPO) Survival," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-26, July.
    3. Yuji Honjo & Koki Kurihara, 2023. "Graduation of initial public offering firms from junior stock markets: evidence from the Tokyo Stock Exchange," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 813-841, February.
    4. Syamsyul Samsudin & Nik Nur Shafika Mustafa & Nor Haliza Hamzah & Che Khalilah Mahmood, 2020. "Unlock Day Expiration and Mandatory IPOs Lock up Among ACE Firms in Malaysia," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(3), pages 131-138, June.
    5. Espenlaub, Susanne & Khurshed, Arif & Mohamed, Abdulkadir & Saadouni, Brahim, 2016. "Committed anchor investment and IPO survival – The roles of cornerstone and strategic investors," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 139-155.
    6. Buchner, Axel & Mohamed, Abdulkadir & Saadouni, Brahim, 2017. "The association between earnings forecast in IPOs prospectuses and earnings management: An empirical analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 92-105.
    7. Lokman Tutuncu, 2020. "Lock-up provisions and valuation of Turkish IPOs," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 10(4), pages 587-608, December.
    8. Sahil Narang & Rudra P. Pradhan, 2021. "IPO lock-up: a review and assessment," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 48(3), pages 343-369, September.
    9. Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Pham, Hang, 2018. "Specialist CEOs and IPO survival," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 217-243.
    10. HONJO Yuji & KURIHARA Koki, 2021. "Graduation of Initial Public Offering Firms from Junior Stock Markets: Evidence from the Tokyo Stock Exchange," Discussion papers 21049, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).

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