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Agricultural Growth and Inter‐Sectoral Linkages in a Developing Economy

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  • N. Gemmell
  • T. A. Lloyd
  • M. Mathew

Abstract

Does growth in the manufacturing sector of an economy spillover to agriculture, or do sectors share similar growth rates only when they share some common exogenous stimuli? The limited number of investigations of this issue, for cross‐sections of countries, have found some evidence in favour of spillovers, though the methodologies used cannot readily separate correlation from causation. Adapting the Feder (1982) model of sectoral externalities to a time‐series context, we examine how far agricultural output in Malaysia has been affected by inter‐sectoral spillovers. Our results suggest that expansion of manufacturing output, though associated with reduced agricultural output in the short‐run, is associated with agricultural expansion over the long‐run. Service output growth on the other hand seems to have been inimical to agricultural growth in both the short‐ and long‐runs, while causality testing supports the case for spillovers rather than “common causes”. Evidence on sectoral productivity is consistent with neoclassical arguments suggesting that the benefits of higher productivity in manufacturing tend to spill over to agriculture, encouraging productivity convergence.

Suggested Citation

  • N. Gemmell & T. A. Lloyd & M. Mathew, 2000. "Agricultural Growth and Inter‐Sectoral Linkages in a Developing Economy," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51(3), pages 353-370, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jageco:v:51:y:2000:i:3:p:353-370
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1477-9552.2000.tb01236.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Joao Gaspar & Gilson Pina & Marta Simoes, 2014. "Agriculture in Portugal: linkages with industry and services," Review of Agricultural and Environmental Studies - Revue d'Etudes en Agriculture et Environnement, INRA Department of Economics, vol. 95(4), pages 437-471.
    2. Riadh Ben Jelili, 2012. "Revisiting the Finance-Growth Nexus: Further Evidence from Tunisia," Middle East Development Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1250001-121, January.
    3. de Souza, Joao Paulo A., 2014. "Growth Complementarity Between Agriculture and Industry: Evidence from a Panel of Developing Countries," UMASS Amherst Economics Working Papers 2014-11, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Economics.
    4. Blank, Steven C., 2001. "The Challenge To Think Big As American Agriculture Shrinks," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 26(2), pages 1-17, December.
    5. Roger R. B. Leakey, 2018. "Converting ‘trade-offs’ to ‘trade-ons’ for greatly enhanced food security in Africa: multiple environmental, economic and social benefits from ‘socially modified crops’," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 10(3), pages 505-524, June.
    6. Eze Simpson Osuagwu, 2020. "Empirical Evidence of a Long-Run Relationship Between Agriculture and Manufacturing Industry Output in Nigeria," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(1), pages 21582440198, January.
    7. Sam Jones & Finn Tarp, 2015. "Understanding Mozambique's growth experience through an employment lens," WIDER Working Paper Series 109, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    8. Richard Tiffin & Xavier Irz, 2006. "Is agriculture the engine of growth?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 35(1), pages 79-89, July.
    9. Wolfgang Britz & Roberto Roson & Martina Sartori, 2019. "SSP Long Run Scenarios for European NUTS2 Regions," Working Papers 2019: 22, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    10. Ioanna Apostolidou & Achilleas Kontogeorgos & Anastasios Michailidis & Efstratios Loizou, 2014. "The Role of Agriculture in Economic Growth: A Comparison of Mediterranean and Northern Views in Europe," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), International Hellenic University (IHU), Kavala Campus, Greece (formerly Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology - EMaTTech), vol. 7(3), pages 81-102, December.
    11. de Souza, Joao Paulo A., 2015. "Evidence of growth complementarity between agriculture and industry in developing countries," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 1-18.
    12. Hafiz Asim & Muhammad Akbar, 2019. "Sectoral growth linkages of agricultural sector: Implications for food security in Pakistan," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 65(6), pages 278-288.
    13. Moon, Wanki, 2012. "Conceptualizing Multifunctional Agriculture from a Global Perspective," 2012 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2012, Birmingham, Alabama 119751, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    14. Roberto ESPOSTI, 2007. "On the Decline of Agriculture. Evidence from Italian Regions in the Post-WWII Period," Working Papers 300, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
    15. Tiffen, Mary, 2003. "Transition in Sub-Saharan Africa: Agriculture, Urbanization and Income Growth," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 31(8), pages 1343-1366, August.
    16. Sessinou Erick Abel Dedehouanou & Abou Kane, 2021. "Spillover Effect of Official Development Assistance on Sectoral Economic Growth in West African Economic and Monetary Union Countries," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(3), pages 1-12.
    17. Irandoust, Manuchehr, 2022. "Industrial growth versus agricultural growth in eight post-communist countries," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 529-537.
    18. Paul A. Dorosh & John W. Mellor, 2013. "Why Agriculture Remains a Viable Means of Poverty Reduction in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Case of Ethiopia," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 31(4), pages 419-441, July.
    19. Rittu Susan Varkey & Prasant Kumar Panda, 2018. "Inter-sectoral Growth Linkages and Their Implications for Agriculture: Evidence from Indian States," Millennial Asia, , vol. 9(3), pages 262-277, December.
    20. Pina, Gilson M. G., 2013. "Mudança estrutural e a relação entre os setores em Cabo Verde [Structural change and the sectoral linkage in Cape Verde]," MPRA Paper 46015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Kiemo, Samuel & Talam, Camilla, 2019. "De-risking opportunities for banks: Examining productivity of sectoral bank credit flows," KBA Centre for Research on Financial Markets and Policy Working Paper Series 35, Kenya Bankers Association (KBA).

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