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A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of Agricultural Liberalisation: The Uruguay Round and Common Agricultural Policy Reform

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  • A. T. Blake
  • A. J. Rayner
  • G. V. Reed

Abstract

This paper uses a computable general equilibrium model to assess the effects of the Uruguay Round (UR) and CAP reform. Detailed attention is given to the impact of the agricultural components of the UR and of the CAP reform on the agricultural and food‐processing sectors of the EU. The CGE model used, while based on the standard Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model, uses a more detailed representation of the UR and CAP policy changes than is usual in GTAP analyses of the UR effects. In so doing it assumes a degree of specificity of factors used in agriculture and makes appropriate agricultural policy variables endogenous. Finally, it assesses the consequences of assuming imperfect competition in all non‐agricultural sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • A. T. Blake & A. J. Rayner & G. V. Reed, 1999. "A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of Agricultural Liberalisation: The Uruguay Round and Common Agricultural Policy Reform," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(3), pages 400-424, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jageco:v:50:y:1999:i:3:p:400-424
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1477-9552.1999.tb00890.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Karl D. Meilke & Don McClatchy & Harry de Gorter, 1996. "Challenges in quantitative economic analysis in support of multilateral trade negotiations," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 14(3), pages 185-200, August.
    5. Harrison, Glenn W. & Rutherford, Thomas F. & Wooton, Ian, 1995. "Liberalizing agriculture in the European union," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 223-255, June.
    6. Hertel, Thomas, 1997. "Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and applications," GTAP Books, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, number 7685, December.
    7. Everett B. Peterson & Thomas W. Hertel & James V. Stout, 1994. "A Critical Assessment of Supply-Demand Models of Agricultural Trade," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 76(4), pages 709-721.
    8. Francois, Joseph & McDonald, Brad & Nordström, Håkan, 1994. "The Uruguay Round: A Global General Equilibrium Assessment," CEPR Discussion Papers 1067, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Hugh M. Arce & Kenneth A. Reinert, 1994. "Aggregation and the Welfare Analysis of US Tariffs," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 21(6), pages 26-30, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Deng, Ziliang & Falvey, Rod & Blake, Adam, 2012. "Trading market access for technology? Tax incentives, foreign direct investment and productivity spillovers in China," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 675-690.
    2. Ziliang Deng & Rod Falvey & Adam Blake, 2013. "Quantifying Foreign Direct Investment Productivity Spillovers in China: A Computable General Equilibrium Model," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 27(4), pages 369-389, December.
    3. Markus Lips & Peter Rieder, 2004. "Potential Impact of the WTO Doha Round on Swiss Agriculture," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 140(IV), pages 569-583, December.
    4. Jin Inhwan, 2008. "Determinants of Agricultural Protection in Industrial Countries: An Empirical Investigation," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 17(1), pages 1-11.
    5. Gan, Jianbang, 2004. "Effects of China's WTO accession on global forest product trade," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(6), pages 509-519, October.
    6. Jiménez Giraldo, Dora Elena & Saldarriaga-Isaza, Adrián & Cicowiez, Martin, 2019. "Distributional and economy-wide effects of post-conflict policy in Colombia," Conference papers 333124, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    7. FRASER Iain & WASCHIK Robert, 2010. "Agricultural Land Retirement for Biodiversity: The Australian Wool Industry," EcoMod2003 330700055, EcoMod.
    8. Kai Xu, 2015. "Why Are Agricultural Goods Not Traded More Intensively: High Trade Costs or Low Productivity Variation?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(11), pages 1722-1743, November.
    9. Adam Blake & Andrew McKay & Oliver Morrissey, 2002. "The Impact on Uganda of Agricultural Trade Liberalisation," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(2), pages 365-381, July.
    10. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:17:y:2008:i:1:p:1-11 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Landes, Maurice & Burfisher, Mary E., 2008. "Investing in India’s Agricultural Markets: A Source of Growth and Equity?," Conference papers 331762, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    12. G Philippidis, 2004. "Membership of NAFTA: a Viable Alternative for UK Agro-Food Producers," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 9(2), pages 21-42, September.
    13. Iain Fraser & Robert Waschik, 2005. "Agricultural Land Retirement and Slippage: Lessons from an Australian Case Study," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 81(2).
    14. Bchir, Mohamed Hedi & Decreux, Yvan & Guérin, Jean-Louis & Jean, Sébastien, 2002. "Key Assumptions in AGE Trade Models: An Assessment using the Mirage Model," Conference papers 331050, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    15. Ziliang Deng & Adam Blake & Rod Falvey, 2009. "Quantifying Foreign Direct Investment Productivity Spillovers: A Computable General Equilibrium Framework for China," Discussion Papers 09/18, University of Nottingham, GEP.
    16. Bayar, Ali. & Diao, Xinshen & Yeldan, A. Erinc, 2000. "An intertemporal, multi-region general equilibrium model of agricultural trade liberalization in the South Mediterranean NICs, Turkey, and the European Union," TMD discussion papers 56, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    17. Bullock, David S. & Salhofer, Klaus, 2003. "Judging agricultural policies: a survey," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 28(3), pages 225-243, May.
    18. Li, ShiNa & Blake, Adam & Thomas, Rhodri, 2013. "Modelling the economic impact of sports events: The case of the Beijing Olympics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 235-244.
    19. L. J. Hubbard & G. Philippidis, 2001. "General Equilibrium and the Ban on British Beef Exports," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(3), pages 87-95, September.

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