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Superstar Productivity and Pay: Evidence from the Australian Football League

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  • Patrick J. Ferguson
  • Matthew Pinnuck

Abstract

We use game‐level data from the Australian Football League (AFL) to examine superstar workers' productivity and pay. By exploiting teams' injury‐induced line‐up changes between games, we show that, compared with replacement‐level players, superstars increase their teams' likelihood of winning away games by approximately 15 percentage points. While we then show that betting markets appear to appropriately price superstars' marginal productivity, we present back‐of‐the‐envelope calculations that suggest that teams underpay superstar players by at least 30 per cent. We discuss how inaccurate performance evaluations, labour market regulations, long‐term back‐loaded contracts, clubs' attempts to reduce harmful intra‐team pay disparities and on‐field success as a form of payment‐in‐kind may explain our findings.

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  • Patrick J. Ferguson & Matthew Pinnuck, 2022. "Superstar Productivity and Pay: Evidence from the Australian Football League," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 98(321), pages 166-190, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:98:y:2022:i:321:p:166-190
    DOI: 10.1111/1475-4932.12665
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    Cited by:

    1. Patrick J. Ferguson & Karim R. Lakhani, 2023. "Consuming Contests: The Effect of Outcome Uncertainty on Spectator Attendance in the Australian Football League," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 99(326), pages 410-435, September.
    2. Fabienne Jedelhauser & Raphael Flepp & Egon Franck, 2023. "Overshadowed by Popularity: The Value of Second-Tier Stars in European Football," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 24(8), pages 1026-1054, December.

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