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Welfare Entry and Exit after Marital Separation among Australian Mothers

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  • Bruce Bradbury
  • Anna Zhu

Abstract

Australian administrative data is used to examine patterns of welfare receipt for up to 5 and a half years after marital separation. We examine relationship status, income support and other incomes both before and after separation with a particular focus on the routes into and out of welfare receipt. Exits associated with new partnering are compared with those likely to be due to earnings increases. We find substantial volatility in relationships, with around a third of separations being only temporary (re‐partnering with the original partner). Focusing on the permanent separations, we find a convergence in the welfare receipt rates of initially well‐off and poor mothers, which is then slowly unwound as more advantaged mothers leave welfare at a faster rate. The channels of welfare exit (finding a new partner versus exiting welfare while remaining single) are associated with different characteristics. Family size is an equally important predictor of exit rates as the age of the youngest child.

Suggested Citation

  • Bruce Bradbury & Anna Zhu, 2018. "Welfare Entry and Exit after Marital Separation among Australian Mothers," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 94(307), pages 405-423, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:94:y:2018:i:307:p:405-423
    DOI: 10.1111/1475-4932.12427
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Dario Sansone & Anna Zhu, 2023. "Using Machine Learning to Create an Early Warning System for Welfare Recipients," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(5), pages 959-992, October.

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