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ASEAN-5 bond market development: Where does it stand? Where is it going?

Author

Listed:
  • Joshua Felman
  • Simon Gray
  • Mangal Goswami
  • Andreas A. Jobst
  • Mahmood Pradhan
  • Shanaka Peiris
  • Dulani Seneviratne

Abstract

type="main"> Since the late 1990s' Asian crisis, ASEAN-5 countries have expended considerable effort in developing their bond markets. However, the size of these markets relative to GDP has hardly changed. Can we explain this? And does it mean that domestic markets have not, in fact, developed? The article argues that bond market growth has been held back by a sharp fall in business investment, which has left firms with little need for bond borrowing. Even so, markets have developed in other ways, to such an extent that substantial amounts of foreign portfolio investment have begun to flow into ASEAN-5 bonds. These developments have important ramifications. With the investor base growing and infrastructure investment likely to rise, ASEAN-5 bond markets could expand rapidly, holding out the prospect that the region could finally achieve ‘twin engine’ financial systems in the near future.

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  • Joshua Felman & Simon Gray & Mangal Goswami & Andreas A. Jobst & Mahmood Pradhan & Shanaka Peiris & Dulani Seneviratne, 2014. "ASEAN-5 bond market development: Where does it stand? Where is it going?," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 28(1), pages 60-75, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:apacel:v:28:y:2014:i:1:p:60-75
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    2. Ajai Chopra, 2015. "Financing Productivity- and Innovation-Led Growth in Developing Asia: International Lessons and Policy Issues," Working Paper Series WP15-6, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    3. Mukherjee, Dr. Kedar nath, 2012. "Corporate Bond Market in India: Current Scope and Future Challenges," MPRA Paper 42478, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Gochoco-Bautista, Maria Socorro & Remolona, Eli M., 2012. "Going Regional: How to Deepen ASEAN's Financial Markets," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 300, Asian Development Bank.
    5. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Bahmani, Sahar & Hall, John H. & Norman, Neville R., 2017. "Finance and growth: Evidence from the ARF countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 136-148.
    6. Khiaonarong, Tanai, 2013. "Creating an Association of Southeast Asian Nations Payment System: Policy and Regulatory Issues," ADBI Working Papers 422, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    7. Sonali Jain-Chandra & D. Filiz Unsal, 2014. "The effectiveness of monetary policy transmission under capital inflows: Evidence from Asia," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 14(2), pages 96-103, June.
    8. Tsukuda, Yoshihiko & Shimada, Junji & Miyakoshi, Tatsuyoshi, 2017. "Bond market integration in East Asia: Multivariate GARCH with dynamic conditional correlations approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 193-213.
    9. Jamel Boukhatem, 2021. "What drives local currency bond market development in Saudi Arabia: do macroeconomic and institutional factors matter?," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-18, December.
    10. Mr. Yibin Mu & Mr. Peter Phelps & Ms. Janet Gale Stotsky, 2013. "Bond Markets in Africa," IMF Working Papers 2013/012, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Mr. Olaf Unteroberdoerster & Ms. Runchana Pongsaparn, 2011. "Financial Integration and Rebalancing in Asia," IMF Working Papers 2011/243, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Shimada, Junji & Tsukuda, Yoshihiko & Miyakoshi, Tatsuyoshi, 2021. "Who is the center of local currency Asian government bond markets?," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    13. Arafat Mansoor Al-raeai & Zairy Zainol & Ahmad Khilmy bin Abdul Rahim, 2018. "The Role of Macroeconomic Factors on Sukuk Market Development of Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Countries," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(3), pages 333-339.
    14. Satoshi Shimizu, 2018. "Development of Asian Bond Markets and Challenges: Keys to Market Expansion," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 14(5), pages 955-1000, September.

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