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Are the New Member States Ready to Join the Euro Area? A Business Cycle Perspective

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  • Kalina Durova

Abstract

The present research employs a vector autoregression (VAR) approach to assess the degree of business cycle synchronization between the new member states (NMS), which have not adopted the single European currency, and the Euro area (EA). The main fiscal and monetary factors affecting the business cycle coordination between the NMS and the EA have been identified. The causality between the business cycle convergence of the NMS and the EA and the implemented fiscal and monetary policies has been investigated in the short and in the long term. Recommendations and conclusions on the readiness of the NMS to join the EA have been made.

Suggested Citation

  • Kalina Durova, 2019. "Are the New Member States Ready to Join the Euro Area? A Business Cycle Perspective," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 72-95.
    • Handle: RePEc:bas:econst:y:2019:i:3:p:72-95
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General

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