IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/aic/saebjn/v66y2019i4p507-523n163.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Interest Rate Reforms and Economic Growth in SADC Countries: The Savings and Investment Channel

Author

Listed:
  • Clement Moyo
  • Pierre Le Roux

Abstract

The 2008/2009 global financial crisis has re-ignited the debate around financial reforms with contrasting views with regards to the impact of financial reforms on economic growth. This study examines the impact of interest rate reforms on economic growth through savings and investments in SADC countries for the period 1990-2015. Three specifications are used for the analysis; the first one determines the influence of interest rate reforms on savings, the second one analyses the effect of savings on investments while the third one examines whether investments have a positive impact on economic growth. The Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimation technique is employed for analysis. The results show that interest rate reforms have a positive impact on economic growth through savings and investments. The study therefore recommends that market forces should be allowed to determine real interest rates and furthermore, real interest rates maintained at artificially low levels may harm economic growth. JEL Codes - C50; E20; E62

Suggested Citation

  • Clement Moyo & Pierre Le Roux, 2019. "Interest Rate Reforms and Economic Growth in SADC Countries: The Savings and Investment Channel," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 66(4), pages 507-523, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:aic:saebjn:v:66:y:2019:i:4:p:507-523:n:163
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://saeb.feaa.uaic.ro/index.php/saeb/article/view/1145
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. James Ang & Kunal Sen, 2011. "Private saving in India and Malaysia compared: the roles of financial liberalization and expected pension benefits," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 247-267, October.
    2. Manoel Bittencourt, 2010. "Financial Development and Economic Growth in Latin America: Schumpeter is Right!," Working Papers 201014, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Misati, Roseline Nyakerario & Nyamongo, Esman Morekwa, 2012. "Financial liberalization, financial fragility and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 150-160.
    4. T. W. Swan, 1956. "ECONOMIC GROWTH and CAPITAL ACCUMULATION," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 32(2), pages 334-361, November.
    5. Ang, James B. & McKibbin, Warwick J., 2007. "Financial liberalization, financial sector development and growth: Evidence from Malaysia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(1), pages 215-233, September.
    6. Lee, Kang-Soek & Werner, Richard A., 2018. "Reconsidering Monetary Policy: An Empirical Examination of the Relationship Between Interest Rates and Nominal GDP Growth in the U.S., U.K., Germany and Japan," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 26-34.
    7. Samargandi, Nahla & Fidrmuc, Jan & Ghosh, Sugata, 2015. "Is the Relationship Between Financial Development and Economic Growth Monotonic? Evidence from a Sample of Middle-Income Countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 66-81.
    8. Nicholas Odhiambo, 2010. "Interest rate reforms, financial deepening and economic growth in Tanzania: a dynamic linkage," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 201-212.
    9. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2009. "Interest rate reforms, financial deepening and economic growth in Kenya:an empirical investigation," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 43(1), pages 295-313, September.
    10. Oludele Akinloye Akinboade & Emilie Chanceline Kinfack, 2013. "Interest rate reforms, financial deepening and economic growth in Cameroon: an empirical investigation," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(25), pages 3574-3586, September.
    11. Qazi Muhammad Adnan Hye & Shahida Wizarat, 2013. "Impact of Financial Liberalization on Economic Growth: A Case Study of Pakistan," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(2), pages 270-282, February.
    12. Amaira Bouzid, 2012. "McKinnon’s Complementarity Hypothesis: Empirical Evidence for the Arab Maghrebean Countries," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 15(44), pages 23-36, June.
    13. Olivier Blanchard & Giovanni Dell’Ariccia & Paolo Mauro, 2010. "Rethinking Macroeconomic Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(s1), pages 199-215, September.
    14. repec:bla:devpol:v:22:y:2004:i::p:287-307 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Levin, Andrew & Lin, Chien-Fu & James Chu, Chia-Shang, 2002. "Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 1-24, May.
    16. Olivier Blanchard & Giovanni Dell'Ariccia & Paolo Mauro, 2010. "Rethinking Macroeconomic Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(s1), pages 199-215, September.
    17. Im, Kyung So & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 2003. "Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 53-74, July.
    18. Anthony Orji & God'stime Osekhebhen Eigbiremolen & Jonathan Emenike Ogbuabor, 2014. "Impact of Financial Liberalization on Private Investment: Empirical Evidence from Nigerian Data," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 4, pages 77-86, May.
    19. Min Shrestha & Khorshed Chowdhury, 2007. "Testing financial liberalization hypothesis with ARDL modelling approach," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(18), pages 1529-1540.
    20. Anthony Orji & Jonathan E. Ogbuabor & Onyinye I. Anthony-Orji, 2015. "Financial Liberalization and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Empirical Evidence," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(3), pages 663-672.
    21. Eric Osei-Assibey & William Baah-Boateng, 2012. "Interest Rate Deregulation and Private Investment: Revisiting the McKinnon-Shaw Hypothesis in Ghana," The IUP Journal of Applied Economics, IUP Publications, vol. 0(2), pages 12-30, April.
    22. Qazi Muhammad Adnan Hye & Shahida Wizarat, 2013. "Impact of Financial Liberalization on Economic Growth: A Case Study of Pakistan," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(2), pages 270-282.
    23. Nicholas Odhiambo, 2010. "Interest rate reforms, financial deepening and economic growth in Tanzania: a dynamic linkage," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 201-212.
    24. Tomola M. Obamuyi & Sola Olorunfemi, 2011. "Financial reforms, interest rate behaviour and economic growth in Nigeria," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 1(4), pages 1-2.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Ghulam Shabeer & Ms. Azra & Ayesha Anwar & Rabia Zubair, 2024. "Unlocking Pakistan's Debt Conundrum: A Deep Dive into the Dynamics of Debt Servicing and External Debt Stock," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 6(2), pages 125-130.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Moyo, Clement & Le Roux, Pierre, 2018. "Interest rate reforms and economic growth: the savings and investment channel," MPRA Paper 85297, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Saeed, Muhammad Yasir & Ramzan, Muhammad & Hamid, Kashif, 2020. "Causal and Dynamic Link Between the Banking Sector and Economic Growth in Pakistan," Asian Journal of Applied Economics, Kasetsart University, Center for Applied Economics Research, vol. 27(1).
    3. Amir Iqbal & Xuan Tang & Samma Faiz Rasool, 2023. "Investigating the nexus between CO2 emissions, renewable energy consumption, FDI, exports and economic growth: evidence from BRICS countries," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 2234-2263, March.
    4. Faris Alshubiri, 2022. "The Impact of the Real Interest Rate, the Exchange Rate and Political Stability on Foreign Direct Investment Inflows: A Comparative Analysis of G7 and GCC Countries," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 29(3), pages 569-603, September.
    5. da Silva, Cleomar Gomes & Vieira, Flávio Vilela, 2017. "Monetary and fiscal policy in advanced and developing countries: An analysis before and after the financial crisis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 13-20.
    6. Ali, Amjad, 2022. "Financial Liberalization, Institutional Quality and Economic Growth Nexus: Panel Analysis of African Countries," MPRA Paper 116329, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2022.
    7. Eglantina Hysa & Naqeeb Ur Rehman, 2023. "Economic Growth Through Financial Development: Empirical Evidences from New Member States and Western Balkan Countries," Springer Proceedings in Business and Economics, in: Luminita Chivu & Ignacio De Los Ríos Carmenado & Jean Vasile Andrei (ed.), Crisis after the Crisis: Economic Development in the New Normal, chapter 0, pages 49-67, Springer.
    8. Rajesh Sharma & Pradeep Kautish, 2020. "Linkages between Financial Development and Economic Growth in the Middle-Income Countries of South Asia: A Panel Data Investigation," Vision, , vol. 24(2), pages 140-150, June.
    9. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Nair, Mahendhiran & Hall, John H. & Gupta, Atul, 2017. "Is there a link between economic growth and insurance and banking sector activities in the G-20 countries?," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 12-28.
    10. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Bahmani, Sahar & Hall, John H. & Norman, Neville R., 2017. "Finance and growth: Evidence from the ARF countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 136-148.
    11. Kayode David Kolawole & Micheal Adebayo Ajayi & Abdulkareem Alhassan & Festus Victor Bekun & Gizem Uzuner, 2022. "Sustainable Energy Supply, Finance, and Domestic Investment Nexus in West Africa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-11, September.
    12. Ekundayo Peter Mesagan & Xuan Vinh Vo & Precious Muhammed Emmanuel, 2023. "The technological role in the growth-enhancing financial development: evidence from African nations," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 657-680, February.
    13. David, Oladipo Olalekan, 2019. "Nexus between telecommunication infrastructures, economic growth and development in Africa: Panel vector autoregression (P-VAR) analysis," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(8), pages 1-1.
    14. George Halkos & Iacovos Psarianos, 2016. "Exploring the effect of including the environment in the neoclassical growth model," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 18(3), pages 339-358, July.
    15. Samargandi, Nahla & Fidrmuc, Jan & Ghosh, Sugata, 2015. "Is the Relationship Between Financial Development and Economic Growth Monotonic? Evidence from a Sample of Middle-Income Countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 66-81.
    16. Chang, Hsin-Chen & Huang, Bwo-Nung & Yang, Chin Wei, 2011. "Military expenditure and economic growth across different groups: A dynamic panel Granger-causality approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 2416-2423.
    17. Cristina Brasili & Luciano Gutierrez, 2004. "Regional convergence across European Union," Development and Comp Systems 0402002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Kunofiwa Tsaurai, 2018. "Investigating the Impact of Inflation on Foreign Direct Investment in Southern Africa," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 14(4), pages 597-611, AUGUST.
    19. Salifou Ouedraogo & Hamidou Sawadogo, 2022. "Financial development, financial structure and economic growth in the Sub‐Saharan African countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3139-3162, July.
    20. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Hall, John H., 2016. "Economic growth, development of telecommunications infrastructure, and financial development in Asia, 1991–2012," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 25-38.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    interest rate reforms; economic growth; SADC; savings; investments; PMG;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aic:saebjn:v:66:y:2019:i:4:p:507-523:n:163. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sireteanu Napoleon-Alexandru (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/feaicro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.