IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/sojoae/29790.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Forward Contracting Versus Hedging Under Price And Yield Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Miller, Stephen E.

Abstract

Although apparently preferred by farmers to direct hedging as a forward pricing mechanism, forward contracting has received little attention in the literature dealing with optimal forward pricing levels. An often-cited reason for producer preference for forward contracting is the absence of basis risks under that forward pricing alternative. This paper presents models of optimal forward contracting and hedging under price and yield uncertainty within a mean-variance framework. The results indicate that basis certainty does not explain preferences for forward contracting.

Suggested Citation

  • Miller, Stephen E., 1986. "Forward Contracting Versus Hedging Under Price And Yield Uncertainty," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 18(2), pages 1-8, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:sojoae:29790
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.29790
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/29790/files/18020139.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.29790?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kenyon, David E., 1984. "Farmers' Guide to Trading Agricultural Commodity Options," Agricultural Information Bulletins 309322, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    2. Ronald I. McKinnon, 1967. "Futures Markets, Buffer Stocks, and Income Stability for Primary Producers," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 75(6), pages 844-844.
    3. Peter J. Barry & David R. Willmann, 1976. "A Risk-Programming Analysis of Forward Contracting with Credit Constraints," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 58(1), pages 62-70.
    4. Heifner, Richard G., 1978. "Minimum Risk Pre-Harvest Sales Of Soybeans," 1978 Annual Meeting, August 6-9, Blacksburg, Virginia 283701, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    5. Kroll, Yoram & Levy, Haim & Markowitz, Harry M, 1984. "Mean-Variance versus Direct Utility Maximization," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 39(1), pages 47-61, March.
    6. Anderson, Ronald W & Danthine, Jean-Pierre, 1983. "Hedger Diversity in Futures Markets," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 93(37), pages 370-389, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. T. P. Zacharias & D. A. Zaunbrecher & H. D. Traylor & B. E. McManus, 1987. "An analysis of preharvest soybean marketing strategies in louisiana using forward and futures contracts," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(4), pages 413-426.
    2. Jackson, Elizabeth & Quaddus, Mohammed & Islam, Nazrul & Stanton, John & Hoque, Zohurul, 2007. "A Multi-Disciplinary Approach For Determining Adoption Of Agricultural Price Risk Management Strategies," 81st Annual Conference, April 2-4, 2007, Reading University, UK 7985, Agricultural Economics Society.
    3. Asplund, Nathan M. & Forster, D. Lynn & Stout, Thomas T., 1989. "Participation By Farmers In Forward Contracting And Hedging," 1989 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 2, Baton Rouge, Louisiana 270516, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    4. Jackson, Elizabeth & Quaddus, Mohammed & Islam, Nazrul & Hoque, Zohurul & Stanton, John, 2006. "Selling raw wool by forward contract: A qualitative analysis of the pros and cons," 2006 Conference (50th), February 8-10, 2006, Sydney, Australia 139793, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    5. Heifner, Richard G. & Wright, Bruce H., 1989. "Potentials for Substituting Farmers' Use of Futures and Options for Farm Programs," Agricultural Economic Reports 308136, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    6. Bradley Isbell & Andrew M. McKenzie & B. Wade Brorsen, 2020. "The cost of forward contracting in the Mississippi barge freight river market," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(2), pages 226-241, April.
    7. Jackson, Elizabeth & Quaddus, Mohammed & Islam, Nazrul & Stanton, John, 2008. "A mixed-method approach for determining the risk and complexity farmers associate with using forward contracts," 82nd Annual Conference, March 31 - April 2, 2008, Royal Agricultural College, Cirencester, UK 42305, Agricultural Economics Society.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gemmill, Gordon, 1985. "Optimal hedging on futures markets for commodity-exporting nations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 243-261, March.
    2. Kim, Jae-Gyeong, 1993. "Futures markets in an open economy," ISU General Staff Papers 1993010108000011461, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    3. Satyanarayan, Sudhakar & Somensatto, Eduardo, 1997. "Tradeoffs from hedging oil pricerisk in Ecuador," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1792, The World Bank.
    4. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:7:y:2006:i:1:p:1-8 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Bernard V. Tew & Donald W. Reid, 1987. "More Evidence On Expected Value-Variance Analysis Versus Direct Utility Maximization," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 10(3), pages 249-257, September.
    6. Kim, Tae-Kyun, 1989. "The factor bias of technical change and technology adoption under uncertainty," ISU General Staff Papers 1989010108000010138, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    7. Benoît Sévi, 2006. "Ederington's ratio with production flexibility," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 7(1), pages 1-8.
    8. Jack Hirshleifer, 1984. "Two Models of Speculation and Information," UCLA Economics Working Papers 329, UCLA Department of Economics.
    9. Andreas Röthig, 2009. "Microeconomic Risk Management and Macroeconomic Stability," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, Springer, number 978-3-642-01565-6, October.
    10. Heifner, Richard G. & Wright, Bruce H., 1989. "Potentials for Substituting Farmers' Use of Futures and Options for Farm Programs," Agricultural Economic Reports 308136, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    11. Haruna, Shoji, 1996. "Industry equilibrium, uncertainty, and futures markets," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 53-70.
    12. Markowitz, Harry, 2014. "Mean–variance approximations to expected utility," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 234(2), pages 346-355.
    13. Wojtek Michalowski & Włodzimierz Ogryczak, 2001. "Extending the MAD portfolio optimization model to incorporate downside risk aversion," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 48(3), pages 185-200, April.
    14. Röthig, Andreas, 2008. "The Impact of Backwardation on Hedgers' Demand for Currency Futures Contracts: Theory versus Empirical Evidence," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 35698, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    15. Johnson, Michael & O'Connor, Ian & Malcolm, Bill, 2006. "Agribusiness Assets in Investment Portfolios," 2006 Conference (50th), February 8-10, 2006, Sydney, Australia 139794, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    16. Tabesh, Hamid, 1987. "Hedging price risk to soybean producers with futures and options: a case study," ISU General Staff Papers 1987010108000010306, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    17. David J. Pannell & Getu Hailu & Alfons Weersink & Amanda Burt, 2008. "More reasons why farmers have so little interest in futures markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 39(1), pages 41-50, July.
    18. Perez-Mesa, Juan Carlos & Galdeano-Gomez, Emilio & Aznar-Sanchez, Jose A., 2011. "Management System for Harvest Scheduling: The Case of Horticultural Production in Southeast Spain," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 14(4), pages 1-20, November.
    19. Bullock, David W. & Wilson, William W. & Dahl, Bruce L., 2007. "Strategic use of futures and options by commodity processors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 578-591.
    20. Walters, Cory, 2015. "Managing Net Income Risk with Crop Insurance, Farm Bill, and Hedging," Cornhusker Economics 306939, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    21. Guo, Xu & Lien, Donald & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2015. "Good Approximation of Exponential Utility Function for Optimal Futures Hedging," MPRA Paper 66841, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Risk and Uncertainty;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:sojoae:29790. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/saeaaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.