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Extreme Price Risk On The Market Of Rapeseeds And Processed Rapeseed Products In Poland

Author

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  • Just, Małgorzata
  • Śmiglak-Krajewska, Magdalena

Abstract

We can observe increasing volatility in rapeseed prices caused by the progressing process of globalisation in the turnover and processing of this raw material. It increases the exposure of rapeseed-producing entities and rapeseed-processing enterprises to price risk. The aim of this study is to assess the extreme price risk on the market of rapeseeds and processed rapeseed products in Poland. The study was based on average weekly rapeseed purchase prices and sales prices of refined rapeseed oil, rapeseed meal and rapeseed oilcake from 3 January 2005 and 19 April 2015. Extreme risk was measured with two measures: value at risk and expected shortfall. Extreme value theory was also applied. The research findings point to differences in the level of risk on the market of rapeseeds and processed rapeseed products.

Suggested Citation

  • Just, Małgorzata & Śmiglak-Krajewska, Magdalena, 2015. "Extreme Price Risk On The Market Of Rapeseeds And Processed Rapeseed Products In Poland," Roczniki (Annals), Polish Association of Agricultural Economists and Agribusiness - Stowarzyszenie Ekonomistow Rolnictwa e Agrobiznesu (SERiA), vol. 2015(5), October.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:paaero:233387
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.233387
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wyn Morgan & John Cotter & Kevin Dowd, 2012. "Extreme Measures of Agricultural Financial Risk," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(1), pages 65-82, February.
    2. Maarten van Oordt & Philip Stork & Casper de Vries, 2013. "On agricultural commodities' extreme price risk," DNB Working Papers 403, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
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    Keywords

    Demand and Price Analysis;

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