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Cattle Feeder Behavior And Feeder Cattle Placements

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  • Kastens, Terry L.
  • Schroeder, Ted C.

Abstract

Cattle feeders appear irrational when they place cattle on feed when projected profit is negative. Long futures positions appear to offer superior returns to cattle feeding investment. Cattle feeder behavior suggests that they believe a downward bias in live cattle futures persists and that cattle feeders use different expectations than the live cattle futures market price when making placement decisions. This study examines feeder cattle placement determinants, comparing performance of expected hedgeable profit with past actual profit in explaining feeder cattle placements. Past actual profit is a more important placement determinant than expected profit based upon the live cattle futures market, even though hedgeable profit provides a superior forecast of future profit. In addition, potential deterrents to cattle feeders' use of futures as a substitute for cattle ownership are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Kastens, Terry L. & Schroeder, Ted C., 1994. "Cattle Feeder Behavior And Feeder Cattle Placements," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 19(2), pages 1-12, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:jlaare:30754
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.30754
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    Cited by:

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    2. Mitchell, James L. & Tonsor, Glynn T., 2017. "Effect of Price Expectations and Market Volatility on Sale Rates at Superior Livestock Video Auctions," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258425, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Melissa G. S. McKendree & Glynn T. Tonsor & Ted C. Schroeder & Nathan P. Hendricks, 2020. "Impacts of Retail and Export Demand on United States Cattle Producers," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(3), pages 866-883, May.
    4. Tonsor, Glynn T., 2008. "Hedging in Presence of Market Access Risk," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37621, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    5. Mathews, Kenneth H., Jr. & Arnade, Carlos Anthony & Jones, Keithly G., 2008. "Derived Demand for Cattle Feeding Inputs," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 26(1), pages 1-20.
    6. Dhuyvetter, Kevin C. & Schroeder, Ted C. & Parcell, Joseph L., 1997. "The Effect of USDA Cattle on Feed Reports on Feeder Cattle Futures Prices," 1997 Annual Meeting, July 13-16, 1997, Reno\ Sparks, Nevada 35751, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    7. Braelyn Moltz & Mark Yu & Edward Osei & W. Brandon Smith & Brant Poe, 2019. "The Economic Analysis of Corn Grain Optimization and Price Variation for Cattle on Feed in Texas," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-12, July.

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    Keywords

    Livestock Production/Industries;

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