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Climate change and poverty in Africa: Mapping hotspots of vulnerability

Author

Listed:
  • Thornton, Philip K.
  • Jones, Peter G.
  • Owiyo, Tom
  • Kruska, Russell L.
  • Herrero, Mario
  • Orindi, Victor
  • Bhadwal, Suruchi
  • Kristjanson, Patricia
  • Notenbaert, An
  • Bekele, Nigat
  • Omolo, Abisalom

Abstract

Climate change and increasing climate variability threaten the attainment of the Millennium Development Goals (MDG), and some of the worst effects on human health and agriculture will be in sub-Saharan Africa, particularly in vulnerable regions. The relationships between climate change and the vulnerability of resource-poor croppers and livestock keepers and their resilience to current and future climate variability need to be better understood. This paper describes the generation of information that combines projected climate change in agricultural systems with vulnerability data. The results of the analysis, in terms of vulnerable people particularly at risk for deleterious effects of climate change, are being used for impact assessment, targeting and priority setting, to help identify locations for specific research and adaptation activities. Given the heterogeneity in households’ access to resources, poverty levels and ability to cope, vulnerability assessments need to be done at the sub-national level to help improve the adaptive capacity and coping strategies of highly vulnerable households.

Suggested Citation

  • Thornton, Philip K. & Jones, Peter G. & Owiyo, Tom & Kruska, Russell L. & Herrero, Mario & Orindi, Victor & Bhadwal, Suruchi & Kristjanson, Patricia & Notenbaert, An & Bekele, Nigat & Omolo, Abisalom, 2008. "Climate change and poverty in Africa: Mapping hotspots of vulnerability," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 2(1), pages 1-21, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:afjare:56966
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.56966
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Charles Onyutha, 2018. "African crop production trends are insufficient to guarantee food security in the sub-Saharan region by 2050 owing to persistent poverty," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 10(5), pages 1203-1219, October.
    2. Leonhard Klinck & Kingsley K. Ayisi & Johannes Isselstein, 2022. "Drought-Induced Challenges and Different Responses by Smallholder and Semicommercial Livestock Farmers in Semiarid Limpopo, South Africa—An Indicator-Based Assessment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-14, July.
    3. MAMOUDOU Ba & Mazhar Mughal, 2022. "Weather Shocks, Coping Strategies and Household Well-being: Evidence from Rural Mauritania," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(3), pages 482-502, March.
    4. Chia Peter Ta-ah & Nkwemoh Clement Anguh & Nkwemoh Elvis Nsopkwi, 2023. "Farmers Weather Knowledge in Preparations for Rain-Fed Crop Cultivation in Fundong Subdivision Northwest Region, Cameroon," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 7(11), pages 816-827, November.
    5. Suleiman O. Mamman & Kazi Sohag & Attahir B. Abubakar, 2023. "Climate change and inclusive growth in Africa," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 2282869-228, October.
    6. Dossou, Smith A.R. & Aoudji, Augustin K. N. & Vissoh, Pierre & Zannou, Afio, 2021. "Effect of Social Networks and Performance of Young Women Agribusiness Owners in a Developing Country: The Moderating Effect of Business Environment," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315361, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    7. Barrett, Christopher B. & Santos, Paulo, 2014. "The impact of changing rainfall variability on resource-dependent wealth dynamics," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 48-54.
    8. Glwadys A. Gbetibouo & Claudia Ringler & Rashid Hassan, 2010. "Vulnerability of the South African farming sector to climate change and variability: An indicator approach," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 34(3), pages 175-187, August.
    9. Silvia Silvestri & Martin Macharia & Bellancile Uzayisenga, 2019. "Analysing the potential of plant clinics to boost crop protection in Rwanda through adoption of IPM: the case of maize and maize stem borers," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 11(2), pages 301-315, April.
    10. Douglas Gollin, 2020. "Conserving genetic resources for agriculture: economic implications of emerging science," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 12(5), pages 919-927, October.
    11. Julius Kotir, 2011. "Climate change and variability in Sub-Saharan Africa: a review of current and future trends and impacts on agriculture and food security," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 587-605, June.
    12. Branca, Giacomo & Lipper, Leslie & Sorrentino, Alessandro, 2012. "Benefit-costs analysis of climate-related agricultural investments in Africa: a case study," 2012 First Congress, June 4-5, 2012, Trento, Italy 124109, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA).
    13. Alex Sherbinin, 2014. "Climate change hotspots mapping: what have we learned?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 123(1), pages 23-37, March.
    14. Henderson, J. Vernon & Storeygard, Adam & Deichmann, Uwe, 2014. "50 years of urbanization in Africa : examining the role of climate change," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6925, The World Bank.
    15. Alex de Sherbinin & Guillem Bardy, 2015. "Social vulnerability to floods in two coastal megacities: New York City and Mumbai," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 13(1), pages 131-165.
    16. Elias, Hailu, 2019. "Impact of Credit Constraints on Agricultural Productivity in the face of Climate Variability: Panel Data Evidence from Rural Ethiopia," Ethiopian Journal of Economics, Ethiopian Economics Association, vol. 28(02), October.
    17. Nhamo, Luxon & Mabhaudhi, T. & Modi, A. T., 2019. "Preparedness or repeated short-term relief aid?: building drought resilience through early warning in southern Africa," Papers published in Journals (Open Access), International Water Management Institute, pages 45(1):75-85.
    18. Erenstein, Olaf & Kassie, Girma Tesfahun & Langyintuo, Augustine S. & Mwangi, Wilfred, 2011. "Characterization of Maize Producing Households in Drought Prone Regions of Eastern Africa," Socioeconomics Program Working Papers 147045, CIMMYT: International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center.

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