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World food markets into the 21st century: environmental and resource constraints and policies

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  • Rosegrant, Mark W.
  • Ringler, Claudia

Abstract

Projections of global food supply and demand to the year 2020 indicate that food production in the aggregate is likely to keep pace with growing populations and incomes, and that real food prices will be stable or slowly declining. This article examines the possible environmental and resource constraints to long‐term food production growth and explores the implications of these possible constraints for food and resource policies. The article reviews and synthesises the evidence on biophysical limits to crop productivity; plant genetic resources and biotechnology; the availability of plant nutrients; soil and land degradation; the increasing scarcity and declining quality of water; and the impact of global climate change on agriculture.

Suggested Citation

  • Rosegrant, Mark W. & Ringler, Claudia, 1997. "World food markets into the 21st century: environmental and resource constraints and policies," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 41(3), pages 1-28.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aareaj:118055
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.118055
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    Cited by:

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    2. Kingwell, Ross, 2000. "Price Risk Management for Australian Broad acre Farmers: some observations," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 8, pages 1-12, June.
    3. Nitsch, Volker, 2006. "Terrorism, Tears and Trade," Conference papers 331485, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    4. Peters, Christian J. & Picardy, Jamie A. & Darrouzet-Nardi, Amelia & Griffin, Timothy S., 2014. "Feed conversions, ration compositions, and land use efficiencies of major livestock products in U.S. agricultural systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 35-43.
    5. Jolejole-Foreman, Maria Christina & Baylis, Katherine R. & Lipper, Leslie, 2012. "Land Degradation’s Implications on Agricultural Value of Production in Ethiopia: A look inside the bowl," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil 126251, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    6. Wichelns, Dennis, 1999. "An economic model of waterlogging and salinization in arid regions," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 475-491, September.

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