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Estimating Judicial Ideology

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  • Adam Bonica
  • Maya Sen

Abstract

We review the substantial literature on estimating judicial ideology, from the US Supreme Court to the lowest state court. As a way to showcase the strengths and drawbacks of various measures, we further analyze trends in judicial polarization within the US federal courts. Our analysis shows substantial gaps in the ideology of judges appointed by Republican Presidents versus those appointed by Democrats. Similar to trends in Congressional polarization, the increasing gap is mostly driven by a rightward movement by judges appointed by Republicans. We conclude by noting important avenues for future research in the study of the ideology of judges.

Suggested Citation

  • Adam Bonica & Maya Sen, 2021. "Estimating Judicial Ideology," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 35(1), pages 97-118, Winter.
  • Handle: RePEc:aea:jecper:v:35:y:2021:i:1:p:97-118
    DOI: 10.1257/jep.35.1.97
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Michael A. Bailey, 2007. "Comparable Preference Estimates across Time and Institutions for the Court, Congress, and Presidency," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(3), pages 433-448, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Francis,David C. & Kubinec ,Robert, 2022. "Beyond Political Connections : A Measurement Model Approach to Estimating Firm-levelPolitical Influence in 41 Economies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10119, The World Bank.
    2. Bernhard Ganglmair & Christian Helmers & Brian J. Love, 2024. "Do Judicial Assignments Matter? Evidence from Random Case Allocation," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2024_561, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • K40 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - General

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