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Electricity and Firm Productivity: A General-Equilibrium Approach

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  • Stephie Fried
  • David Lagakos

Abstract

Many policymakers view power outages as a major constraint on firm productivity in developing countries. Yet empirical studies find modest short-run effects of outages on firm performance. This paper builds a dynamic macroeconomic model to study the long-run general-equilibrium effects of power outages on productivity. Outages lower productivity in the model by creating idle resources, depressing the scale of incumbent firms and reducing entry of new firms. Consistent with the empirical literature, the model predicts small short-run effects of eliminating outages. However, the long-run general-equilibrium effects are much larger, supporting the view that eliminating outages is an important development objective.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephie Fried & David Lagakos, 2023. "Electricity and Firm Productivity: A General-Equilibrium Approach," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(4), pages 67-103, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:aejmac:v:15:y:2023:i:4:p:67-103
    DOI: 10.1257/mac.20210248
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Gideon Ndubuisi & Elvis Korku Avenyo & Rex Asiama, 2024. "Dancing on the grid: electricity crises, manufacturing energy vulnerability, and jobs in South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2024-41, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Missbach, Leonard & Steckel, Jan Christoph & Renner, Sebastian & Kraus, Sebastian, 2024. "Coal-fired power plants and industrial development," EconStor Preprints 300209, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • L94 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Electric Utilities
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology

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