IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/abq/ijasd1/v2y2020i4p105-111.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effects of Inflaction on Agricultural Commodities

Author

Listed:
  • Nabiha Ahsan

    (Department of Space Science,University of the Punjab,Lahore)

  • Aamer Amin

    (Department of Space Science,University of the Punjab,Lahore)

  • Jamal Hassan

    (Government Associate College, Salar Wala, Faisalabad)

  • Tahir Mahmood

    (Department of Space Science,University of the Punjab,Lahore)

Abstract

This study examines both the natural world and the volatility of the pricing agents in Pakistan. This study investigates the causes of increased prices of agricultural commodities and food products in Pakistan. The IMF, World Bank, IFS (International Financial Statistics), and SBP (State Bank of Pakistan) provided sufficient data to conduct this research. We studied the dynamics of conditional volatility for agricultural commodities versus food product prices and explained the diffusion between these two. The study indicates that the selected commodities are affected by various factors including the volatility effect, the mean of interest rates, and the exchange rate. In addition, the volatility of wheat prices has a significant effect on the rice price series. In contrast, the cost of chicken has no impact on the average cost of beef or any other commodity. Most commodities, excluding oil and cotton, have been found to have a considerable impact on their present prices due to the influence of pricing. Farmers should be encouraged to utilize hedging mechanisms in the future to lessen price volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Nabiha Ahsan & Aamer Amin & Jamal Hassan & Tahir Mahmood, 2020. "Effects of Inflaction on Agricultural Commodities," International Journal of Agriculture & Sustainable Development, 50sea, vol. 2(4), pages 105-111, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:abq:ijasd1:v:2:y:2020:i:4:p:105-111
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journal.50sea.com/index.php/IJASD/article/view/421/482
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://journal.50sea.com/index.php/IJASD/article/view/421
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ceballos, Francisco & Hernandez, Manuel A. & Minot, Nicholas & Robles, Miguel, 2017. "Grain Price and Volatility Transmission from International to Domestic Markets in Developing Countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 305-320.
    2. Angus Deaton & Guy Laroque, 1992. "On the Behaviour of Commodity Prices," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 59(1), pages 1-23.
    3. Paul Cashin & C. John McCDermott, 2002. "The Long-Run Behavior of Commodity Prices: Small Trends and Big Variability," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 49(2), pages 1-2.
    4. Mr. Shaun K. Roache, 2010. "What Explains the Rise in Food Price Volatility?," IMF Working Papers 2010/129, International Monetary Fund.
    5. David Atkin, 2013. "Trade, Tastes, and Nutrition in India," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(5), pages 1629-1663, August.
    6. Marilyne Huchet-Bourdon, 2011. "Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility: An Overview," OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers 52, OECD Publishing.
    7. Christopher Gilbert & Wyn Morgan, 2010. "Has food price volatility risen?," Department of Economics Working Papers 1002, Department of Economics, University of Trento, Italia.
    8. Henna Ahsan & Zainab Iftikhar & M. Ali Kemal, 2011. "The Determinants of Food Prices: A Case Study of Pakistan," PIDE-Working Papers 2011:76, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    9. Peter A. Cornelisse & Bart Kuijpers, 1987. "A Policy Model of the Wheat and Rice Economy of Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 26(4), pages 385-400.
    10. Baffes, John & Meerman, Jacob, 1998. "From Prices to Incomes: Agricultural Subsidization without Protection?," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 13(2), pages 191-211, August.
    11. Choudhry, Taufiq, 1996. "Stock market volatility and the crash of 1987: evidence from six emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(6), pages 969-981, December.
    12. Cooke, Bryce & Robles, Miguel, 2009. "Recent food prices movements: A time series analysis," IFPRI discussion papers 942, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    13. Daniel A. Sumner, 2009. "Recent Commodity Price Movements in Historical Perspective," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1250-1256.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kornher, Lukas & Kalkuhl, Matthias, 2013. "Food Price Volatility in Developing Countries and its Determinants," Quarterly Journal of International Agriculture, Humboldt-Universitaat zu Berlin, vol. 52(4), pages 1-32, November.
    2. Matthias Kalkuhl & Lukas Kornher & Marta Kozicka & Pierre Boulanger & Maximo Torero, 2013. "Conceptual framework on price volatility and its impact on food and nutrition security in the short term," FOODSECURE Working papers 15, LEI Wageningen UR.
    3. Blake, Daniella & Dawson, Carolina & Loeillet, Denis & Staver, Charles, 2018. "Can Global Climate Change affect Prices in the World Banana Market?," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 67(1), March.
    4. Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2014. "Dynamic spillovers among major energy and cereal commodity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 225-243.
    5. Huchet, Nicolas & Fam, Papa Gueye, 2016. "The role of speculation in international futures markets on commodity prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 49-65.
    6. Elodie Maître d'Hôtel & Tristan Le Cotty & Thomas Jayne, 2012. "Is a public regulation of food price volatility feasible in Africa? An arch approach in Kenya," Post-Print hal-00801361, HAL.
    7. Abdelradi, Fadi & Serra, Teresa, 2015. "Food–energy nexus in Europe: Price volatility approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 157-167.
    8. Hervé Ott, 2014. "Extent and possible causes of intrayear agricultural commodity price volatility," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(2), pages 225-252, March.
    9. Huang, Wen & Huang, Zhuo & Matei, Marius & Wang, Tianyi, 2012. "Price Volatility Forecast for Agricultural Commodity Futures： The Role of High Frequency Data," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 83-103, December.
    10. Haase, Marco & Zimmermann, Heinz & Huss, Matthias, 2023. "Wheat price volatility regimes over 140 years: An analysis of daily price ranges," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    11. Tharcisse NKUNZIMANA & François Kayitakire, 2013. "Measuring food price volatility and transmission in West Africa: How important are magnitudes of transmission across cereals and countries?," EcoMod2013 5219, EcoMod.
    12. repec:dau:papers:123456789/12798 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Josefa Ramoni Perazzi & Giampaolo Orlandoni Merli, 2016. "¿Evolucionan las exportaciones colombianas hacia un mercado más volátil?: un análisis del periodo 1974-2014," Revista Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Militar Nueva Granada, vol. 25(1), pages 25-40, December.
    14. Haase, Marco & Seiler Zimmermann, Yvonne & Zimmermann, Heinz, 2016. "The impact of speculation on commodity futures markets – A review of the findings of 100 empirical studies," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 1-15.
    15. Kuhanathan Ano Sujithan & Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi & Lyes Koliai, 2014. "On the determinants of food price volatility," Post-Print hal-01511900, HAL.
    16. Andaleeb Rahman, 2012. "Characterizing food prices in India," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2012-022, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    17. Williams, J., 2013. "Wheat and corn price skewness and volatility: Risk management implications for farmers and end users," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 21, pages 1-20.
    18. Cécile Couharde & Vincent Géronimi & Armand Taranco, 2012. "Les hausses récentes des cours des matières premières traduisent-elles l'entrée dans un régime de prix plus élevés ?," Revue Tiers-Monde, Armand Colin, vol. 0(3), pages 13-34.
    19. Jin Guo & Tetsuji Tanaka, 2019. "Determinants of international price volatility transmissions: the role of self-sufficiency rates in wheat-importing countries," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 5(1), pages 1-13, December.
    20. Bentivoglio, Deborah & Finco, Adele & Bacchi, Mirian, 2015. "Examining Price Transmission between Fuels and Food Prices: the Brazilian Sugar-Ethanol Market," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211327, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    21. Hong, Harrison G & de Paula, Aureo & Singh, Vishal, 2015. "Hoard Behavior During Commodity Bubbles," CEPR Discussion Papers 10441, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Price volatility; Farming goods; Fertilizers; Interest rate.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:abq:ijasd1:v:2:y:2020:i:4:p:105-111. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Hafiz Haroon Ahmad, Iqra Nazeer (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.