Content
2018, Issue 6
- 1-4 Warning: Don’t Infer Regional Inflation Differences from House Price Changes
by Charles S. Gascon & Andrew Spewak
2018, Issue 5
- 1-3 On the Supply of, and Demand for, U.S. Treasury Debt
by David Andolfatto & Andrew Spewak
2018, Issue 4
- 1-4 Here’s Why U.S. Manufacturing Is Fundamentally Strong
by Kevin L. Kliesen & John A. Tatom
2018, Issue 3
- 1-2 Comparing Japan’s Lost Decade with the U.S. Great Recession
by Guillaume Vandenbroucke
2018, Issue 2
- 1-3 Manufacturing and Service Sector Roles in the Evolution of Innovation and Productivity
by Ana Maria Santacreu & Heting Zhu
2018, Issue 1
- 1-2 Trade Adjusts Gradually After Trade Liberalization
by Jonas C. Crews & Fernando Leibovici
2017, Issue 15
- 1-2 The Evolution of St. Louis’s Wage Distribution
by Rebecca Cowin & Charles S. Gascon
2017, Issue 14
- 1-3 Why the 2009 Recovery Act Didn’t Improve the Nation's Highways
by Bill Dupor & Jack Garton
2017, Issue 13
- 1-2 Earnings Losses Through Unemployment and Unemployment Duration
by David Wiczer
2017, Issue 12
- 1-2 State Variation of Tax Deductions
by YiLi Chien & Paul Morris
2017, Issue 11
- 1-2 Convergence in Productivity, R&D Intensity, and Technology Adoption
by Ana Maria Santacreu
2017, Issue 10
- 1-2 The Rising Federal Funds Rate in the Current Low Long-Term Interest Rate Environment
by YiLi Chien & Paul Morris
2017, Issue 9
- 1-2 Measures of Pollution
by Guillaume Vandenbroucke & Heting Zhu
2017, Issue 8
- 1-2 What Could We Have Expected from a $10 Minimum Wage in the City of St. Louis?
by Daniel Eubanks & Charles S. Gascon
2017, Issue 7
- 1-2 Remembering Allan H. Meltzer
by Kevin L. Kliesen
2017, Issue 6
- 1-2 The Survival Rate of the Smallest Establishments During the Great Recession
by James D. Eubanks & David Wiczer
2017, Issue 5
- 1-3 Does Data Confusion Equal Forecast Confusion?
by Kevin L. Kliesen
2017, Issue 4
2017, Issue 3
- 1-2 The People’s Bank of China Boosts the Yuan
by Christopher J. Neely
2017, Issue 2
- 1-2 Aging and Wealth Inequality
by Guillaume Vandenbroucke & Heting Zhu
2017, Issue 1
- 1-2 Secured and Unsecured Debt Over the Business Cycle
by Maria A. Arias & Yi Wen
2016, Issue 27
- 1-2 Does a Stronger Dollar Erode the Profitability of U.S. Firms?
by YiLi Chien & Paul Morris
2016, Issue 26
- 1-2 The Rise in Chinese Tourism and Its Effects on the Balance of Payments
by Ana Maria Santacreu
2016, Issue 25
- 1-2 A Perspective on Nominal Interest Rates
by Fernando M. Martin
2016, Issue 24
- 1-2 Does the Pullback in the Bond Market Matter?
by Maria A. Arias & Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria
2016, Issue 23
- 1-2 A Closer Look at Federal Income Taxes
by Fernando M. Martin
2016, Issue 22
- 1-2 The Direction of Capital Flows
by Lee E. Ohanian & Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria & Mark L. J. Wright
2016, Issue 21
- 1-2 The Heterogeneous Impacts of Rising Inflation
by YiLi Chien & Paul Morris
2016, Issue 20
- 1-2 Sovereign Default and Economic Performance in Oil-Producing Economies
by Maria A. Arias & Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria
2016, Issue 19
- 1-2 Employment and Capacity Utilization Over the Business Cycle
by Ana Maria Santacreu
2016, Issue 18
- 1-2 Household Financial Distress and Household Deleveraging
by Helu Jiang & Juan M. Sanchez
2016, Issue 17
- 1-2 Long-Run Economic Effects of Changes in the Age Dependency Ratio
by Ana Maria Santacreu
2016, Issue 16
- 1-2 Labor Compensation and Labor Productivity: Recent Recoveries and the Long-Term Trend
by B. Ravikumar & Lin Shao
2016, Issue 15
- 1-3 The Recent Evolution of U.S. Local Labor Markets
by Maximiliano Dvorkin & Hannah Shell
2016, Issue 14
- 1-2 Have Labor Costs Slowed the Recovery?
by B. Ravikumar & Lin Shao
2016, Issue 13
- 1-3 Who Exactly Benefits from Too Big To Fail?
by Christopher J. Waller
2016, Issue 12
- 1-2 Potential U.S. Consequences of China’s Capital Account Liberalization
by Usa Kerdnunvong & Ana Maria Santacreu
2016, Issue 11
- 1-2 The Deleveraging of U.S. Households: Credit Card Debt over the Lifecycle
by Helu Jiang & Juan M. Sanchez
2016, Issue 10
- 1-2 U.S. Fiscal Policy: Reality and Outlook
by Fernando M. Martin
2016, Issue 9
- 1-2 Chinese Foreign Exchange Reserves and the U.S. Economy
by Christopher J. Neely
2016, Issue 8
- 1-2 Filling the Tank on Fridays May Be a Bad Idea for St. Louisans
by YiLi Chien & Paul Morris
2016, Issue 7
- 1-2 Taking Stock: Income Inequality and the Stock Market
by Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell
2016, Issue 6
- 1-2 PMI and GDP: Do They Correlate for the United States? For China?
by YiLi Chien & Paul Morris
2016, Issue 5
- 1-2 Revisiting GDP Growth Projections
by Fernando M. Martin
2016, Issue 4
- 1-2 Russia’s Demographic Problems Started Before the Collapse of the Soviet Union
by Guillaume Vandenbroucke
2016, Issue 3
- 1-3 The Dynamics of Mortgage Debt in Default
by Helu Jiang & Juan M. Sanchez
2016, Issue 2
- 1-2 Bank Lending During Recessions
by Maximiliano Dvorkin & Hannah Shell
2016, Issue 1
- 1-2 Private Investment and the Great Recession
by Fernando M. Martin
2015, Issue 27
- 1-3 The Unemployment and Participation Rates for Aggregate Human Capital
by Alexander Monge-Naranjo & Faisal Sohail
2015, Issue 26
- 1-2 Age and Gender Differences in Long-Term Unemployment: Before and After the Great Recession
by Alexander Monge-Naranjo & Faisal Sohail
2015, Issue 25
- 1-2 Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure
by Laura E. Jackson & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang
2015, Issue 24
- 1-2 China’s Slowdown: Is Currency Appreciation to Blame?
by Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria
2015, Issue 23
- 2 India’s Atypical Structural Transformation
by Manisha Goel & Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria
2015, Issue 22
- 2 What Drives Household Debt?
by Juan M. Sanchez & Lijun Zhu
2015, Issue 21
- 2 The Greek Debt Crisis: What Are the Potential Scenarios Going Forward?
by Ana Maria Santacreu
2015, Issue 20
- 1-2 How Much Do Oil Prices Affect Employment?
by Maria E. Canon & Yang Liu
2015, Issue 19
- 1-3 Secular Stagnation and Returns on Capital
by Paul Gomme & B. Ravikumar & Peter Rupert
2015, Issue 18
- 4-4 Financial Engineering Versus Cancer
by Christopher J. Neely
2015, Issue 17
- 3-4 A Cross-Country Comparison of Labor Force Participation
by Maximiliano Dvorkin & Hannah Shell
2015, Issue 16
- 2-4 Is Inflation Running Hot or Cold?
by Joseph McGillicuddy & Lowell R. Ricketts
2015, Issue 15
- 1-4 Synchronization of Business Cycles and the Extensive Margin of Trade
by Ana Maria Santacreu
2015, Issue 14
- 1-2 Lagging Long-Term Wage Growth
by Maria A. Arias & YiLi Chien
2015, Issue 13
- 1-2 The Relationship Between Labor Market Conditions and Wage Growth
by Maximiliano Dvorkin & Hannah Shell
2015, Issue 12
- 1-4 Liftoff and the Natural Rate of Interest
by Bill Dupor
2015, Issue 11
- 1-2 Safe Occupations Are Growing
by Amanda M. Michaud & David Wiczer
2015, Issue 10
- 1-2 How Much Do Oil Prices Affect Inflation?
by Christopher J. Neely
2015, Issue 9
- 1-3 How Accurate Are Measures of Long-Term Inflation Expectations?
by Kevin L. Kliesen
2015, Issue 8
- 1-2 Oil Prices: Is Supply or Demand Behind the Slump?
by Alejandro Badel & Joseph McGillicuddy
2015, Issue 7
- 1-2 Student Loan Delinquency: A Big Problem Getting Worse?
by Juan M. Sanchez & Lijun Zhu
2015, Issue 6
- 1-3 Jobs: More Slowly Created, More Slowly Destroyed
by Maximiliano Dvorkin
2015, Issue 5
- 1-2 Measuring Labor Productivity: Technology and the Labor Supply
by Ana Maria Santacreu
2015, Issue 4
- 2 Firm Size and Employment Dynamics
by Maria E. Canon & Yang Liu
2015, Issue 3
- 2 Are Oil Price Declines Good for the Economy?
by Kevin L. Kliesen
2015, Issue 2
- 2 The Economic Fundamentals of Emerging Market Volatility
by Ana Maria Santacreu
2015, Issue 1
- 2 Global Monetary Policy Amidst Deflationary Concerns
by Ana Maria Santacreu
2014, Issue 27
- 3 Monetary Policy and the Output Gap
by Fernando M. Martin
2014, Issue 26
- 3 Projecting GDP Growth Using Trends in Labor Force Participation
by Fernando M. Martin
2014, Issue 25
- 2 Why Is Credit Card Delinquency Declining?
by Juan M. Sanchez
2014, Issue 24
- 2 Recent ECB Policy and Inflation Expectations
by Alejandro Badel
2014, Issue 23
- 2 The Rising Complexity of the FOMC Statement
by Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Hannah Shell
2014, Issue 22
- 3 Measuring (Most of) the Slack in the Labor Market
by Carlos Garriga
2014, Issue 21
- 2 U.S. Job Polarization Persists
by Maria E. Canon & Yang Liu
2014, Issue 20
- 1-2 “Unemployment claims hit 8½-year low”: interpret with caution
by David Wiczer
2014, Issue 19
- 2 Comparing international bond yields
by Christopher J. Neely
2014, Issue 18
- 2 The cost of chasing returns
by YiLi Chien
2014, Issue 17
- 2 How negative is negative real GDP growth?
by Kevin L. Kliesen
2014, Issue 16
- 2 The effects of Extending Unemployment Insurance Benefits
by Maria E. Canon & Yang Liu
2014, Issue 15
- 2 Job separation rate shows economic shifts
by David Wiczer
2014, Issue 14
- 2 What’s behind—and beyond—the default rate on student loans?
by Alexander Monge-Naranjo
2014, Issue 13
- 2 Where is the slack in the labor market?
by Carlos Garriga
2014, Issue 12
- 2 Recent trends in student loans: more loans and higher balances
by Alexander Monge-Naranjo
2014, Issue 11
- 2 Employment Revision Asymmetries
by Michael T. Owyang & E. Katarina Vermann
2014, Issue 10
- 2 Signs of Improving Labor Market Conditions
by Kevin L. Kliesen
2014, Issue 9
- 2 Accounting for Discouraged Workers in the Unemployment Rate
by B. Ravikumar & Lin Shao
2014, Issue 8
- 2 Are Virtual “Currencies” Likely to Succeed?
by Daniel L. Thornton
2014, Issue 7
- 2 Labor market update
by Fernando M. Martin
2014, Issue 6
- 2 Discouraged workers: what do we know?
by B. Ravikumar & Lin Shao
2014, Issue 5
- 2 The deleveraging of U.S. households since the financial crisis
by Juan M. Sanchez
2014, Issue 4
- 3 Currency returns during the financial crisis and great recession
by Alexander Monge-Naranjo
2014, Issue 3
- 2 Has QE been effective?
by Daniel L. Thornton
2014, Issue 2
- 2 Lessons from the taper tantrum
by Christopher J. Neely
2014, Issue 1
- 2 Quantitative easing in Japan: past and present
by David Andolfatto & Li Li
2013
- 1 Is the FOMC’s unemployment rate threshold a good idea?
by Daniel L. Thornton - 2 Rent or buy?
by Silvio Contessi & Li Li - 3 From \\"man-cession\\" to \\"he-covery\\": same old, same old
by Silvio Contessi & Li Li - 4 Why is output growth so slow?
by Daniel L. Thornton - 5 Is the Fed monetizing government debt?
by David Andolfatto & Li Li - 6 Measuring the contribution of construction to the slow recovery
by Carlos Garriga - 7 Political pressure on the bank of Japan: interference or accountability?
by Christopher J. Neely - 8 Would it help to eliminate interest on reserves?
by Christopher J. Neely - 9 Life cycle patterns and boom-bust dynamics in U.S. housing prices
by Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Juan M. Sanchez - 10 Lessons from the recent recession: the faster they grow, the harder they fall
by Fernando M. Martin - 11 The macroeconomy of the U.S. states: on the road to recovery?
by Carlos Garriga - 12 Winners and losers in the Great Recession
by Fernando M. Martin - 13 The great Chinese housing boom
by Brett W. Fawley & Yi Wen - 14 What flattened the earnings profile of recent college graduates?
by Yu-Chien Kong & B. Ravikumar - 15 Low inflation in a world of securitization
by Brett W. Fawley & Yi Wen - 16 Household wealth: has it recovered?
by William T. Gavin - 17 Translating Kurzarbeit
by Silvio Contessi & Li Li - 18 Unemployment benefits: how much money goes unclaimed?
by David L. Fuller & B. Ravikumar & Yuzhe Zhang - 19 Japan as a role model?
by Richard G. Anderson - 20 The mechanics behind manufacturing job losses
by William T. Gavin - 21 A perspective on possible Fed exit strategies
by Daniel L. Thornton - 22 Mind the regional output gap
by Carlos Garriga - 23 Okun's law in recession and recovery
by Michael T. Owyang & E. Katarina Vermann - 24 Does the economy need more spending now?
by Daniel L. Thornton - 25 Forward guidance 101A: a roadmap of the U.S. experience
by Silvio Contessi & Li Li - 26 Current risks from exports and foreign sales
by Silvio Contessi & Li Li - 27 Major U.S. trading partners before and after the great recession
by Alexander Monge-Naranjo - 28 Forward guidance 101B: a roadmap of the international experience
by Silvio Contessi & Li Li - 29 Is nominal GDP targeting a rule policymakers could accept?
by Daniel L. Thornton - 30 The size and growth of businesses started during the financial crisis
by Juan M. Sanchez - 31 Bank vs. bond financing over the business cycle
by Silvio Contessi & Li Li & Katheryn N. Russ
2012
- 1 Fiscal policy in the Great Recession and lessons from the past
by Fernando M. Martin - 2 Employment dynamics during economic recoveries
by Constanza S. Liborio & Juan M. Sanchez - 3 Following the Fed with a news tracker
by Michael W. McCracken - 4 Quantitative easing and money growth: potential for higher inflation?
by Daniel L. Thornton - 5 Identifying structural and cyclical shocks across U.S. regions
by David Andolfatto & Constanza S. Liborio - 6 The mysterious Greek yield curve
by Christopher J. Neely - 7 How well do initial claims forecast employment growth over the business cycle and over time?
by Kevin L. Kliesen & David C. Wheelock - 8 Speculation in the oil market
by Luciana Juvenal & Ivan Petrella - 9 The FOMC: transparency achieved?
by Richard G. Anderson - 10 Home equity and household income
by Bryan J. Noeth & Rajdeep Sengupta - 11 What is potential GDP and why does it matter?
by William T. Gavin - 12 Get by with a little help from my…other exports
by Silvio Contessi & Li Li - 13 The relationships among changes in GDP, employment, and unemployment: this time, it’s different
by Constanza S. Liborio & Juan M. Sanchez - 14 Foreign direct investment in the United States during the financial crisis
by Silvio Contessi & Li Li - 15 Okun’s law: a meaningful guide for monetary policy?
by Mingyu Chen & Yi Wen - 16 Firm size and employment dynamics in recessions and recoveries
by Yu-Chien Kong & Juan M. Sanchez - 17 Reducing the U.S. deficit by recycling capital inflows
by Yi Wen - 18 The efficacy of monetary policy: a tale from two decades
by Daniel L. Thornton - 19 The effects of wealth bubbles on consumption
by Adrian Peralta-Alva - 20 Coming to America: covered bonds?
by Brett W. Fawley & Luciana Juvenal - 21 Commodity futures index trading and spot oil prices
by William T. Gavin - 22 Driving to recession and recovery
by Richard G. Anderson - 23 The efficacy of the FOMC’s zero interest rate policy
by Daniel L. Thornton - 24 Can trade links transmit a European crisis?
by Jan Auerbach & Adrian Peralta-Alva - 25 How positive are recent employment and labor market trends?
by Richard G. Anderson - 26 Verbal guidance and the efficacy of forward guidance
by Daniel L. Thornton - 27 A proposal for improving forward guidance
by Leo Krippner & Daniel L. Thornton - 28 Unemployment insurance fraud
by David L. Fuller & B. Ravikumar & Yuzhe Zhang - 29 Prime and subprime hybrid mortgages
by Yang Liu & Rajdeep Sengupta - 30 Monetary policy and the expected adjustment path of key variables
by James B. Bullard - 31 How can QE3 affect the housing market?
by Carlos Garriga - 32 Bouncing back from the great recession: the United States versus Europe
by Thomas F. Cooley & B. Ravikumar & Peter Rupert - 33 Quantitative easing the Swedish way
by Richard G. Anderson - 34 The fiscal cliff in context
by Fernando M. Martin - 35 Can repatriation taxes explain the recent increase in cash holdings?
by Juan M. Sanchez & Emircan Yurdagul
2011
- 1 What does the change in the FOMC's statement of objectives mean?
by Daniel L. Thornton - 2 Monetary policy, bubbles, and goldilocks
by Richard G. Anderson - 3 Location and the return to education
by Natalia A. Kolesnikova - 4 Are bank reserves and bank lending connected?
by Silvio Contessi - 5 The difference between currency manipulation and monetary policy
by Christopher J. Neely - 6 Housing's role in a recovery
by Michael W. McCracken - 7 Monetary policy at the zero bound
by Daniel L. Thornton - 8 Fiscal policy and expected inflation
by Christopher J. Neely - 9 U.S. trade springs back
by Silvio Contessi & Hoda S. El-Ghazaly - 10 Monetary policy's effects on unemployment
by Yi Wen - 11 The effects of education on health
by Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Christopher J. Martinek - 12 Core versus headline inflation: an opportunity for greater transparency
by Daniel L. Thornton - 13 CPI inflation: running on motor fuel
by William T. Gavin - 14 Food prices and inflation in emerging markets
by Brett W. Fawley & Luciana Juvenal - 15 Income mobility
by Thomas A. Garrett - 16 Core versus headline inflation again
by Daniel L. Thornton - 17 RMB appreciation and U.S. inflation risk
by Mingyu Chen & Yi Wen - 18 Is the FOMC’s policy inflating asset prices?
by Daniel L. Thornton - 19 Oil price shocks and inflation risk
by Mingyu Chen & Yi Wen - 20 The federal debt: too little revenue or too much spending
by Kevin L. Kliesen & Daniel L. Thornton - 21 The federal debt: what’s the source of the increase in spending?
by Kevin L. Kliesen & Daniel L. Thornton - 22 Some closure on foreclosures?
by Bryan J. Noeth & Rajdeep Sengupta - 23 The great foreign exchange intervention of 2011
by Christopher J. Neely - 24 Tax rates and revenue since the 1970s
by Kevin L. Kliesen & Daniel L. Thornton - 25 The gender wage gap
by Natalia A. Kolesnikova & Yang Liu - 26 Changes in the mortgage market since the crisis
by Bryan J. Noeth & Rajdeep Sengupta - 27 Capital controls by any other name
by Brett W. Fawley & Luciana Juvenal - 28 Should food be excluded from core CPI?
by Michael W. McCracken - 29 The FOMC’s interest rate policy: how long is the long run?
by Daniel L. Thornton - 30 Searching for the financial accelerator: how credit affects the business cycle
by Adrian Peralta-Alva