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How well do initial claims forecast employment growth over the business cycle and over time?

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Abstract

Initial claims may now be useful for forecasting employment growth during periods of increasing economic activity.>

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  • Kevin L. Kliesen & David C. Wheelock, 2012. "How well do initial claims forecast employment growth over the business cycle and over time?," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedles:y:2012:n:7
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    File URL: http://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/es/12/ES_2012-03-09.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. William T. Gavin & Kevin L. Kliesen, 2002. "Unemployment insurance claims and economic activity," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 84(May), pages 15-28.
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    Cited by:

    1. John Carter Braxton, 2013. "Revisiting the use of initial jobless claims as a labor market indicator," Research Working Paper RWP 13-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    2. Hassan Mohammadi & Daniel Rich, 2013. "Dynamics of Unemployment Insurance Claims: An Application of ARIMA-GARCH Models," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 41(4), pages 413-425, December.

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