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Bayesian Graphical Models for STructural Vector Autoregressive Processes

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Cited by:

  1. Zhang, Xiaoyuan & Zhang, Tianqi, 2022. "Dynamic credit contagion and aggregate loss in networks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  2. P. Giudici & A. Spelta, 2016. "Graphical Network Models for International Financial Flows," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 128-138, January.
  3. Paolo Giudici & Laura Parisi, 2016. "Bail in or Bail out? The Atlante example from a systemic risk perspective," DEM Working Papers Series 124, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
  4. Wang, Ruting & Althof, Michael & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2023. "A financial risk meter for China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
  5. Gruber, Lutz F. & West, Mike, 2017. "Bayesian online variable selection and scalable multivariate volatility forecasting in simultaneous graphical dynamic linear models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 3(C), pages 3-22.
  6. Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Costola, Michele & Iacopini, Matteo, 2024. "COVID-19 spreading in financial networks: A semiparametric matrix regression model," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 113-131.
  7. Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto, 2024. "Modeling Turning Points in the Global Equity Market," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 60-75.
  8. Paolo Giudici & Laura Parisi, 2016. "CoRisk: measuring systemic risk through default probability contagion," DEM Working Papers Series 116, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
  9. Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Matteo Iacopini, 2024. "Bayesian Markov-Switching Tensor Regression for Time-Varying Networks," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 119(545), pages 109-121, January.
  10. Andrieş, Alin Marius & Ongena, Steven & Sprincean, Nicu & Tunaru, Radu, 2022. "Risk spillovers and interconnectedness between systemically important institutions," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  11. Paolo Giudici & Laura Parisi, 2017. "Sovereign risk in the Euro area: a multivariate stochastic process approach," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(12), pages 1995-2008, December.
  12. Julien Chevallier & Dominique Guégan & Stéphane Goutte, 2021. "Is It Possible to Forecast the Price of Bitcoin?," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-44, May.
  13. Ouyang, Zisheng & Zhou, Xuewei, 2023. "Interconnected networks: Measuring extreme risk connectedness between China’s financial sector and real estate sector," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  14. Habibi, Hamidreza & Mohammadi, Hassan, 2022. "Return and volatility spillovers across the Western and MENA countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  15. Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Rossini, Luca, 2019. "Bayesian nonparametric sparse VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 97-115.
  16. Hannaford, Naomi E. & Heaps, Sarah E. & Nye, Tom M.W. & Curtis, Thomas P. & Allen, Ben & Golightly, Andrew & Wilkinson, Darren J., 2023. "A sparse Bayesian hierarchical vector autoregressive model for microbial dynamics in a wastewater treatment plant," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
  17. Guerini, Mattia & Moneta, Alessio & Napoletano, Mauro & Roventini, Andrea, 2020. "The Janus-Faced Nature Of Debt: Results From A Data-Driven Cointegrated Svar Approach," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(1), pages 24-54, January.
  18. Nie, Chun-Xiao, 2022. "Analysis of critical events in the correlation dynamics of cryptocurrency market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 586(C).
  19. Arefiev, Nikolay & Khabibullin, Ramis, 2018. "Bayesian identification of structural vector autoregression models," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 49, pages 115-142.
  20. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/3l2vounfl99nvqsr0k24sn3k5l is not listed on IDEAS
  21. Paolo Giudici & Laura Parisi, 2018. "CoRisk: Credit Risk Contagion with Correlation Network Models," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-19, September.
  22. Kastner, Gregor, 2019. "Sparse Bayesian time-varying covariance estimation in many dimensions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 98-115.
  23. Rigana, Katerina & Wit, Ernst-Jan Camiel & Cook, Samantha, 2023. "A new way of measuring effects of financial crisis on contagion in currency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  24. Xiandeng Jiang & Le Chang & Yanlin Shi, 2023. "Housing price diffusions in mainland China: evidence from a spatially penalized graphical VAR model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 765-795, February.
  25. Simon Beyeler & Sylvia Kaufmann, 2021. "Reduced‐form factor augmented VAR—Exploiting sparsity to include meaningful factors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 989-1012, November.
  26. Roberto Casarin & Fausto Corradin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Nguyen Domenico Sartore & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "A Scoring Rule for Factor and Autoregressive Models Under Misspecification," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(2), pages 66-103, June.
  27. Agosto, Arianna & Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Giudici, Paolo, 2020. "Tree networks to assess financial contagion," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 349-366.
  28. Seabrook, Isobel & Barucca, Paolo & Caccioli, Fabio, 2022. "Structural importance and evolution: an application to financial transaction networks," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117130, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  29. Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix, 2015. "The Econometrics of Bayesian Graphical Models: A Review With Financial Application," MPRA Paper 92634, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 25 Apr 2016.
  30. Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Giudici, Paolo, 2022. "NetVIX — A network volatility index of financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 594(C).
  31. Daniel Felix Ahelegbey & Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin, 2016. "Sparse Graphical Vector Autoregression: A Bayesian Approach," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 123-124, pages 333-361.
  32. Paci, Lucia & Consonni, Guido, 2020. "Structural learning of contemporaneous dependencies in graphical VAR models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  33. Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Giudici, Paolo & Mojtahedi, Fatemeh, 2021. "Tail risk measurement in crypto-asset markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  34. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/574jpbbn0f8f5r56hqi6mjgm9d is not listed on IDEAS
  35. Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Giudici, Paolo & Hashem, Shatha Qamhieh, 2021. "Network VAR models to measure financial contagion," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
  36. Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Sheng, Xin & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2019. "The role of uncertainty measures on the returns of gold," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
  37. Daniel Felix Ahelegbey, 2022. "Statistical Modelling of Downside Risk Spillovers," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 1(2), pages 1-10, April.
  38. Fianu, Emmanuel Senyo & Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Grossi, Luigi, 2022. "Modeling risk contagion in the Italian zonal electricity market," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(2), pages 656-679.
  39. Ahmed H. Elsayed & Gareth Downing & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2024. "Exploring the role of oil shocks on the financial stability of Gulf Cooperation Council countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1804-1819, April.
  40. Bianchi, Daniele & Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Guidolin, Massimo, 2019. "Modeling systemic risk with Markov Switching Graphical SUR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 58-74.
  41. Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Large Bayesian vector autoregressions," CAMA Working Papers 2019-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  42. Kenny S, Victoria, 2019. "The Role of Public Sector Enterprise on Economic Development: A Case Study Of The Nigerian Power Sector (1981-2015)," MPRA Paper 93291, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  43. Nicola, Giancarlo & Cerchiello, Paola & Aste, Tomaso, 2020. "Information network modeling for U.S. banking systemic risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 107563, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  44. Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi-Keung (Marco) & Sheng, Xin, 2020. "Graph theory-based network analysis of regional uncertainties of the US Economy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
  45. Paolo Giudici & Laura Parisi, 2019. "Bail-In or Bail-Out? Correlation Networks to Measure the Systemic Implications of Bank Resolution," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-25, January.
  46. Seabrook, Isobel & Barucca, Paolo & Caccioli, Fabio, 2022. "Structural importance and evolution: An application to financial transaction networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 607(C).
  47. Lai, Wei-Ting & Chen, Ray-Bing & Chen, Ying & Koch, Thorsten, 2022. "Variational Bayesian inference for network autoregression models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
  48. Celani, Alessandro & Cerchiello, Paola & Pagnottoni, Paolo, 2024. "The topological structure of panel variance decomposition networks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  49. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Hosseini, Seyedmehdi & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2018. "Does global fear predict fear in BRICS stock markets? Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Structural VAR model," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 124-142.
  50. David Oluseun Olayungbo & Aziza Zhuparova & Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan, 2023. "Oil supply and oil price determination among OPEC and non-OPEC countries: Bayesian Granger network analysis," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 4603-4628, December.
  51. Agudze, Komla M. & Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2022. "Markov switching panel with endogenous synchronization effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 230(2), pages 281-298.
  52. Bernardi, Mauro & Costola, Michele, 2019. "High-dimensional sparse financial networks through a regularised regression model," SAFE Working Paper Series 244, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
  53. Casarin, Roberto & Costola, Michele & Yenerdag, Erdem, 2018. "Financial bridges and network communities," SAFE Working Paper Series 208, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, revised 2018.
  54. Nikolay Arefiev, 2016. "Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks within a Svar Using Restrictions Consistent with a DSGE Model," HSE Working papers WP BRP 125/EC/2016, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
  55. Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Cerchiello, Paola & Scaramozzino, Roberta, 2022. "Network based evidence of the financial impact of Covid-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  56. Paolo Giudici & Peter Sarlin & Alessandro Spelta, 2016. "The multivariate nature of systemic risk: direct and common exposures," DEM Working Papers Series 118, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
  57. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/3l2vounfl99nvqsr0k24sn3k5l is not listed on IDEAS
  58. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Demir, Ender & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2019. "Effects of the geopolitical risks on Bitcoin returns and volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 511-518.
  59. Yin, Libo & Ma, Xiyuan, 2018. "Causality between oil shocks and exchange rate: A Bayesian, graph-based VAR approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 508(C), pages 434-453.
  60. Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Costola, Michele & Pasqualini, Andrea, 2016. "An entropy-based early warning indicator for systemic risk," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 42-59.
  61. Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Michele Costola & Lorenzo Frattarolo, 2019. "Opinion Dynamics and Disagreements on Financial Networks," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(4), pages 24-51, December.
  62. Buse, Rebekka & Schienle, Melanie & Urban, Jörg, 2019. "Effectiveness of policy and regulation in European sovereign credit risk markets: A network analysis," Working Paper Series in Economics 125, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
  63. Francesca Mariani & Gloria Polinesi & Maria Cristina Recchioni, 2022. "A tail-revisited Markowitz mean-variance approach and a portfolio network centrality," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 425-455, July.
  64. Mike West, 2020. "Bayesian forecasting of multivariate time series: scalability, structure uncertainty and decisions," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 72(1), pages 1-31, February.
  65. Νikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "The effects of geopolitical uncertainty on cryptocurrencies and other financial assets," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 1-14, January.
  66. Tian, Sihua & Li, Shaofang & Gu, Qinen, 2023. "Measurement and contagion modelling of systemic risk in China's financial sectors: Evidence for functional data analysis and complex network," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  67. Kenny S, Victoria, 2019. "Effects of Human Capital Investment on Unemployment Volatility in Nigeria (1981-2015)," MPRA Paper 93295, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  68. Daniel Felix Ahelegbey & Paolo Giudici & Fatemeh Mojtahedi, 2022. "Crypto Asset Portfolio Selection," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-9, February.
  69. Cameron Cornell & Lewis Mitchell & Matthew Roughan, 2024. "Enhancing Causal Discovery in Financial Networks with Piecewise Quantile Regression," Papers 2408.12210, arXiv.org.
  70. Kenny S, Victoria, 2019. "Macroeconomic Performance Indicators and Exchange Rate Misalignment in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 93292, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  71. Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Giudici, Paolo & Hadji-Misheva, Branka, 2019. "Factorial Network Models To Improve P2P Credit Risk Management," MPRA Paper 92633, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  72. Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Celani, Alessandro & Cerchiello, Paola, 2024. "Measuring the impact of the EU health emergency response authority on the economic sectors and the public sentiment," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  73. Guo, Hongfeng & Zhao, Xinyao & Yu, Hang & Zhang, Xin, 2021. "Analysis of global stock markets’ connections with emphasis on the impact of COVID-19," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 569(C).
  74. Daniel Felix Ahelegbey & Paolo Giudici, 2020. "Market Risk, Connectedness and Turbulence: A Comparison of 21st Century Financial Crises," DEM Working Papers Series 188, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
  75. Daniela Scidá, 2023. "Structural VAR and financial networks: A minimum distance approach to spatial modeling," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(1), pages 49-68, January.
  76. Marco Bardoscia & Paolo Barucca & Stefano Battiston & Fabio Caccioli & Giulio Cimini & Diego Garlaschelli & Fabio Saracco & Tiziano Squartini & Guido Caldarelli, 2021. "The Physics of Financial Networks," Papers 2103.05623, arXiv.org.
  77. Kenny S, Victoria, 2019. "The role of agricultural sector performance on economic growth in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 93132, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  78. Ahmed H. Elsayed & Giray Gozgor & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2022. "Causality and dynamic spillovers among cryptocurrencies and currency markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2026-2040, April.
  79. Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Giudici, Paolo & Hadji-Misheva, Branka, 2019. "Latent factor models for credit scoring in P2P systems," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 522(C), pages 112-121.
  80. Abuzayed, Bana & Al-Fayoumi, Nedal, 2021. "Risk spillover from crude oil prices to GCC stock market returns: New evidence during the COVID-19 outbreak," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  81. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Seyedmehdi Hosseini & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2017. "Does Global Fear Predict Fear in BRICS Stock Markets? Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical VAR Model," Working Papers 201704, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  82. Rangan Gupta & Chi-Keung (Marco) Lau & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty Connections across the US States: Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Structural VAR (BGSVAR) Model," Working Papers 201910, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  83. Li, Bingqing & Zhang, Xiaoyuan, 2024. "Systemic risk and financial networks," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 25-36.
  84. Nikolay Arefiev, 2016. "Graphical Interpretations of Rank Conditions For Identification of Linear Gaussian Models," HSE Working papers WP BRP 124/EC/2016, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
  85. Urbi Garay & Enrique Ter Horst & German Molina & Abel Rodriguez, 2016. "Bayesian Nonparametric Measurement of Factor Betas and Clustering with Application to Hedge Fund Returns," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-23, March.
  86. Roberto Casarin & Domenico Sartore & Marco Tronzano, 2018. "A Bayesian Markov-Switching Correlation Model for Contagion Analysis on Exchange Rate Markets," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 101-114, January.
  87. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/574jpbbn0f8f5r56hqi6mjgm9d is not listed on IDEAS
  88. Demir, Ender & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Vigne, Samuel A., 2018. "Does economic policy uncertainty predict the Bitcoin returns? An empirical investigation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 145-149.
  89. Paolo Giudici & Laura Parisi, 2015. "Modeling Systemic Risk with Correlated Stochastic Processes," DEM Working Papers Series 110, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
  90. Shaen Corbet & John W. Goodell & Samet Gunay & Kerem Kaskaloglu, 2023. "Are DeFi tokens a separate asset class from conventional cryptocurrencies?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 322(2), pages 609-630, March.
  91. Kenny S, Victoria, 2019. "Manufacturing Sector Performance, Exchange Rate Volatility and Inclusive Growth In Nigeria (1981-2015)," MPRA Paper 93296, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  92. Victoria S, Kenny, 2019. "Effect of Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 92873, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  93. Kanas, Angelos & Molyneux, Philip & Zervopoulos, Panagiotis D., 2023. "Systemic risk and CO2 emissions in the U.S," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  94. Guðmundsson, Guðmundur Stefán & Brownlees, Christian, 2021. "Detecting groups in large vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(1), pages 2-26.
  95. Daniel Felix Ahelegbey, 2015. "The Econometrics of Networks: A Review," Working Papers 2015:13, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
  96. Daniel Felix Ahelegbey & Luis Carvalho & Eric D. Kolaczyk, 2020. "A Bayesian Covariance Graph And Latent Position Model For Multivariate Financial Time Series," DEM Working Papers Series 181, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
  97. Teye, Alfred Larm & Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix, 2017. "Detecting spatial and temporal house price diffusion in the Netherlands: A Bayesian network approach," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 56-64.
  98. Andrea Flori, 2019. "Cryptocurrencies In Finance: Review And Applications," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(05), pages 1-22, August.
  99. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "The Nexus of Sophisticated Digital Assets with Economic Policy Uncertainty: A Survey of Empirical Findings and an Empirical Investigation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-25, May.
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