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Bayesian Forecasting using Stochastic Search Variable Selection in a VAR Subject to Breaks
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Cited by:
- Dimitris, Korobilis, 2013. "Forecasting with Factor Models: A Bayesian Model Averaging Perspective," MPRA Paper 52724, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Wilson, Kevin J., 2017. "An investigation of dependence in expert judgement studies with multiple experts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 325-336.
- Markus Jochmann & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon‐Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2013.
"Stochastic search variable selection in vector error correction models with an application to a model of the UK macroeconomy,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 62-81, January.
- Markus Jochmann & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney Strachan, 2009. "Stochastic Search Variable Selection in Vector Error Correction Models with an Application to a Model of the UK Macroeconomy," Working Papers 0919, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Markus Jochmann & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2009. "Stochastic Search Variable Selection in Vector Error Correction Models with an Application to a Model of the UK Macroeconomy," Working Paper series 44_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Jochmann, Markus & Koop, Gary & Leon-Gonzalez & Strachan, Rodney W., 2009. "Stochastic Search Variable Selection in Vector Error Correction Models with an Application to a Model of the UK Macroeconomy," SIRE Discussion Papers 2009-44, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary M. Koop, 2013.
"Forecasting with Medium and Large Bayesian VARS,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 177-203, March.
- Gary Koop, 2010. "Forecasting with Medium and Large Bayesian VARs," Working Paper series 43_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop, 2011. "Forecasting with Medium and Large Bayesian VARs," Working Papers 1117, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Koop, Gary, 2011. "Forecasting with Medium and Large Bayesian VARs," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-38, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Knut Are Aastveit & Anne Sofie Jore & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2014. "Forecasting recessions in real time," Working Paper 2014/02, Norges Bank.
- Karlsson, Sune, 2013.
"Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregression,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 791-897,
Elsevier.
- Karlsson, Sune, 2012. "Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 2012:12, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto, 2024.
"Modeling Turning Points in the Global Equity Market,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 60-75.
- Daniel Felix Ahelegbey & Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin, 2020. "Modeling Turning Points In Global Equity Market," DEM Working Papers Series 195, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
- Nikolaus Hautsch & Fuyu Yang, 2014. "Bayesian Stochastic Search for the Best Predictors: Nowcasting GDP Growth," University of East Anglia Applied and Financial Economics Working Paper Series 056, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013.
"Large time-varying parameter VARs,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 185-198.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," MPRA Paper 38591, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series 11_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Working Papers 2012_04, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012. "Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-14, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Koop, Gary, 2014.
"Modelling breaks and clusters in the steady states of macroeconomic variables,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 186-193.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Koop, Gary, 2011. "Modelling Breaks and Clusters in the Steady States of Macroeconomic Variables," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-22, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Gary Koop, 2013. "Modelling Breaks and Clusters in the Steady States of Macroeconomic Variables," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2013-603, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop, 2012. "Modelling breaks and clusters in the steady states of macroeconomic variables," CAMA Working Papers 2012-07, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Gary Koop & Joshua Chan, 2011. "Modelling Breaks and Clusters in the Steady States of Macroeconomic Variables," Working Papers 1111, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2012.
"Combination schemes for turning point predictions,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 402-412.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011. "Combination Schemes for Turning Point Predictions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-123/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012. "Combination schemes for turning point predictions," Working Papers 2012_15, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012. "Combination schemes for turning point predictions," Working Paper 2012/04, Norges Bank.
- Macias, Paweł & Stelmasiak, Damian & Szafranek, Karol, 2023. "Nowcasting food inflation with a massive amount of online prices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 809-826.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2013.
"Var Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 204-230, March.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2009. "VAR forecasting using Bayesian variable selection," MPRA Paper 21124, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011. "VAR forecasting using Bayesian variable selection," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011022, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2010. "VAR Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Paper series 51_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, revised Apr 2011.
- Kim, Young Min & Lee, Seojin, 2020. "Exchange rate predictability: A variable selection perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 117-134.
- SENBETA, Sisay Regassa, 2012. "How important are external shocks in explaining growth in Sub-Saharan Africa? Evidence from a Bayesian VAR," Working Papers 2012010, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Business and Economics.
- Paul Hofmarcher & Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Bettina Grün & Kurt Hornik, 2015. "Last Night a Shrinkage Saved My Life: Economic Growth, Model Uncertainty and Correlated Regressors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 133-144, March.
- Stephen G. Hall & Heather D. Gibson & G. S. Tavlas & Mike G. Tsionas, 2020. "A Monte Carlo Study of Time Varying Coefficient (TVC) Estimation," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(1), pages 115-130, June.
- Smith, Simon C. & Timmermann, Allan & Zhu, Yinchu, 2019. "Variable selection in panel models with breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 323-344.
- Ahlem DAHEM, 2016. "Short-Term Bayesian Inflation Forecasting For Tunisia: Some Empirical Evidence," EcoForum, "Stefan cel Mare" University of Suceava, Romania, Faculty of Economics and Public Administration - Economy, Business Administration and Tourism Department., vol. 5(1), pages 1-47, January.
- Schnücker, Annika, 2016. "Restrictions Search for Panel VARs," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145566, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Szafranek, Karol, 2019.
"Bagged neural networks for forecasting Polish (low) inflation,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1042-1059.
- Karol Szafranek, 2017. "Bagged artificial neural networks in forecasting inflation: An extensive comparison with current modelling frameworks," NBP Working Papers 262, Narodowy Bank Polski.
- Rangan Gupta & Rudi Steinbach, 2010. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy: A Small Open Economy New Keynesian DSGE-VAR Model," Working Papers 201019, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Annika Schnücker, 2016. "Restrictions Search for Panel VARs," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1612, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Yoon, Kyung Hwan, 2015.
"Time-varying effect of oil market shocks on the stock market,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 150-163.
- Wensheng Kang & Ronald A. Ratti & Kyung Hwan Yoon, 2015. "Time-varying effect of oil market shocks on the stock market," CAMA Working Papers 2015-35, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Gupta, Rangan & Steinbach, Rudi, 2013. "A DSGE-VAR model for forecasting key South African macroeconomic variables," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 19-33.
- P.A.V.B. Swamy & Stephen G. Hall & George S. Tavlas & I-Lok Chang & Heather D. Gibson & William H. Greene & Jatinder S. Mehta, 2016.
"A Method for Measuring Treatment Effects on the Treated without Randomization,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-23, March.
- P. A. V. B. Swamya & S. G. Hall & G. S. Tavlas & I. Chang & H. D. Gibson & W. H. Greene & J. S. Mehta, 2016. "A Method for Measuring Treatment Effects on the Treated without Randomization," Discussion Papers in Economics 16/02, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Li, Zili & Washington, Simon P. & Zheng, Zuduo & Prato, Carlo G., 2023. "A Bayesian hierarchical approach to the joint modelling of Revealed and stated choices," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
- Jiang, Yu & Song, Zhe & Kusiak, Andrew, 2013. "Very short-term wind speed forecasting with Bayesian structural break model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 637-647.
- Dahem, Ahlem, 2015. "Short term Bayesian inflation forecasting for Tunisia," MPRA Paper 66702, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kien C. Tran & Mike G. Tsionas, 2022. "Instrumental Variables Estimation without Outside Instruments," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 20(3), pages 489-506, September.
- Zhang, Bo & Nguyen, Bao H., 2020. "Real-time forecasting of the Australian macroeconomy using Bayesian VARs," Working Papers 2020-12, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.