Last Night a Shrinkage Saved My Life: Economic Growth, Model Uncertainty and Correlated Regressors
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Ley, Eduardo & Steel, Mark F.J., 2012.
"Mixtures of g-priors for Bayesian model averaging with economic applications,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 171(2), pages 251-266.
- Ley, Eduardo & Steel, Mark F. J., 2010. "Mixtures of g-priors for Bayesian model averaging with economic applications," MPRA Paper 26941, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ley, Eduardo & Steel, Mark F.J., 2011. "Mixtures of g-priors for bayesian model averaging with economic applications," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws112116, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Ley, Eduardo & Steel, Mark F. J., 2011. "Mixtures of g-priors for Bayesian model averaging with economic applications," MPRA Paper 36817, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ley, Eduardo & Steel, Mark F.J., 2011. "Mixtures of g-priors for Bayesian Model Averaging with economic application," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5732, The World Bank.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013.
"Bayesian forecasting with highly correlated predictors,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 118(1), pages 148-150.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Bayesian forecasting with highly correlated predictors," Working Papers 2012_12, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Bayesian Forecasting with Highly Correlated Predictors," Working Paper series 67_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012. "Bayesian forecasting with highly correlated predictors," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-80, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gernot Doppelhofer & Melvyn Weeks, 2009. "Jointness of growth determinants," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(2), pages 209-244, March.
- Chris Hans, 2009. "Bayesian lasso regression," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 96(4), pages 835-845.
- StevenN. Durlauf & Andros Kourtellos & ChihMing Tan, 2008.
"Are Any Growth Theories Robust?,"
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 118(527), pages 329-346, March.
- Steven N. Durlauf & Andros Kourtellos & Chih Ming Tan, 2008. "Are Any Growth Theories Robust?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 118(527), pages 329-346, March.
- Steven N. Durlauf & Andros KOURTELLOS & Chih Ming Tan, 2007. "Are Any Growth Theories Robust?," Discussion Papers Series, Department of Economics, Tufts University 0703, Department of Economics, Tufts University.
- Steven N. Durlauf & Andros Kourtellos & Chih Ming Tan, 2007. "Are any Growth Theories Robust?," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 2-2007, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
- Theo S. Eicher & Chris Papageorgiou & Adrian E. Raftery, 2011.
"Default priors and predictive performance in Bayesian model averaging, with application to growth determinants,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 30-55, January/F.
- Theo Eicher & Chris Papageogiou & Adrian E Raftery, 2007. "Default Priors and Predictive Performance in Bayesian Model Averaging, with Application to Growth Determinants," Working Papers UWEC-2007-25-P, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
- Carmen Fernandez & Eduardo Ley & Mark F. J. Steel, 2001.
"Model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(5), pages 563-576.
- Carmen Fernandez & Eduardo Ley & Mark Steel, 1999. "Model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions," Econometrics 9903003, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Oct 2001.
- Carmen Fernandez & Eduardo Ley & Mark Steel, 2001. "Model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions," Econometrics 0110002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Fernandez, Carmen & Ley, Eduardo & Steel, Mark F. J., 2001.
"Benchmark priors for Bayesian model averaging,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 100(2), pages 381-427, February.
- Carmen Fernández & Eduardo Ley & Mark F. J. Steel, "undated". "Benchmark priors for Bayesian Model averaging," Working Papers 98-06, FEDEA.
- Carmen Fernandez & Eduardo Ley & Mark F J Steel, 1998. "Benchmark priors for Bayesian model averaging," Edinburgh School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 26, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh.
- Carmen Fernandez & Eduardo Ley & Mark F.J. Steel, 1998. "Benchmark Priors for Bayesian Model Averaging," Econometrics 9804001, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Oct 2001.
- Carmen Fernandez & Eduardo Ley & Mark F J Steel, 1998. "Benchmark priors for Bayesian model averaging," Edinburgh School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 66, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh.
- Park, Trevor & Casella, George, 2008. "The Bayesian Lasso," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 103, pages 681-686, June.
- Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Doppelhofer, Gernot, 2007.
"Nonlinearities in cross-country growth regressions: A Bayesian Averaging of Thresholds (BAT) approach,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 541-554, September.
- Doppelhofer, G. & Cuaresma, J.C., 2007. "Nonlinearities in Cross-Country Growth Regressions: A Bayesian Averaging of Thresholds (BAT) Approach," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0706, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Jochmann, Markus & Koop, Gary & Strachan, Rodney W., 2010.
"Bayesian forecasting using stochastic search variable selection in a VAR subject to breaks,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 326-347, April.
- Markus Jochmann & Gary Koop & Rodney W. Strachan, 2008. "Bayesian Forecasting using Stochastic Search Variable Selection in a VAR Subject to Breaks," Working Paper series 19_08, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Martin Feldkircher & Stefan Zeugner, 2009. "Benchmark Priors Revisited: On Adaptive Shrinkage and the Supermodel Effect in Bayesian Model Averaging," IMF Working Papers 2009/202, International Monetary Fund.
- Liang, Feng & Paulo, Rui & Molina, German & Clyde, Merlise A. & Berger, Jim O., 2008. "Mixtures of g Priors for Bayesian Variable Selection," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 103, pages 410-423, March.
- Ley, Eduardo & Steel, Mark F.J., 2007.
"Jointness in Bayesian variable selection with applications to growth regression,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 476-493, September.
- Ley, Eduardo & Steel, Mark F. J., 2006. "Jointness in Bayesian variable selection with applications to growth regression," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4063, The World Bank.
- Hansen M. H & Yu B., 2001. "Model Selection and the Principle of Minimum Description Length," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 746-774, June.
- P. J. Brown & M. Vannucci & T. Fearn, 1998. "Multivariate Bayesian variable selection and prediction," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 60(3), pages 627-641.
- Dale J. Poirier, 1995. "Intermediate Statistics and Econometrics: A Comparative Approach," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262161494, December.
- Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, 2011. "How different is Africa? A comment on Masanjala and Papageorgiou," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(6), pages 1041-1047, September.
- Dunson, David B. & Herring, Amy H. & Engel, Stephanie M., 2008. "Bayesian Selection and Clustering of Polymorphisms in Functionally Related Genes," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 103, pages 534-546, June.
- George, Edward I. & Sun, Dongchu & Ni, Shawn, 2008. "Bayesian stochastic search for VAR model restrictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 553-580, January.
- Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Doppelhofer, Gernot, 2007.
"Nonlinearities in cross-country growth regressions: A Bayesian Averaging of Thresholds (BAT) approach,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 541-554, September.
- Jesus Crespo Cuaresma & Gernot Doppelhofer, 2006. "Nonlinearities in Cross-Country Growth Regressions: A Bayesian Averaging of Thresholds (BAT) Approach," Vienna Economics Papers vie0608, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Doris A. Oberdabernig & Stefan Humer & Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, 2018. "Democracy, Geography and Model Uncertainty," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 65(2), pages 154-185, May.
- Bettina Grün & Paul Hofmarcher, 2021. "Identifying groups of determinants in Bayesian model averaging using Dirichlet process clustering," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(3), pages 1018-1045, September.
- Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Grün, Bettina & Hofmarcher, Paul & Humer, Stefan & Moser, Mathias, 2016. "Unveiling covariate inclusion structures in economic growth regressions using latent class analysis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 189-202.
- Piotr Wójcik & Bartłomiej Wieczorek, 2020. "We have just explained real convergence factors using machine learning," Working Papers 2020-38, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
- Gary Cornwall & Marina Gindelsky, 2024. "Nowcasting Distributional National Accounts for the United States: A Machine Learning Approach," BEA Papers 0130, Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Mark F. J. Steel, 2020.
"Model Averaging and Its Use in Economics,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 58(3), pages 644-719, September.
- Steel, Mark F. J., 2017. "Model Averaging and its Use in Economics," MPRA Paper 81568, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Steel, Mark F. J., 2017. "Model Averaging and its Use in Economics," MPRA Paper 90110, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Nov 2018.
- Bruns, Stephan B. & Ioannidis, John P.A., 2020. "Determinants of economic growth: Different time different answer?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- León-González, Roberto & Montolio, Daniel, 2015.
"Endogeneity and panel data in growth regressions: A Bayesian model averaging approach,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 23-39.
- Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Daniel Montolio, 2012. "Endogeneity and Panel Data in Growth Regressions: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," GRIPS Discussion Papers 12-08, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
- Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Daniel Montolio, 2015. "Endogeneity and Panel Data in Growth Regressions: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," GRIPS Discussion Papers 15-16, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
- Aart Kraay & Norikazu Tawara, 2013. "Can specific policy indicators identify reform priorities?," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 253-283, September.
- Rockey, James & Temple, Jonathan, 2016.
"Growth econometrics for agnostics and true believers,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 86-102.
- James Rockey & Jonathan Temple, 2015. "Growth Econometrics for Agnostics and True Believers," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 15/656, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK.
- Temple, Jonathan & Rockey, James, 2015. "Growth Econometrics for Agnostics and True Believers," CEPR Discussion Papers 10590, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Gernot Doppelhofer & Martin Feldkircher, 2014.
"The Determinants of Economic Growth in European Regions,"
Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(1), pages 44-67, January.
- Jesús Crespo-Cuaresma & Gernot Doppelhofer & Martin Feldkircher, 2008. "The Determinants of Economic Growth in European Regions," Working Papers 2008-26, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
- Jesús Crespo-Cuaresma & Gernot Doppelhofer & Martin Feldkircher, 2009. "The Determinants of Economic Growth in European Regions," CESifo Working Paper Series 2519, CESifo.
- Jesús Crespo-Cuaresma & Gernot Doppelhofer & Martin Feldkircher, 2009. "The Determinants of Economic Growth in European Regions," wiiw Working Papers 57, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
- David Kaplan, 2021. "On the Quantification of Model Uncertainty: A Bayesian Perspective," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 86(1), pages 215-238, March.
- Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & von Schweinitz, Gregor & Wendt, Katharina, 2019.
"On the empirics of reserve requirements and economic growth,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 253-274.
- Crespo-Cuaresma, Jesus & Schweinitz, Gregor von & Wendt, Katharina, 2018. "On the empirics of reserve requirements and economic growth," IWH Discussion Papers 8/2018, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Jesus Crespo Cuaresma & Bettina Grün & Paul Hofmarcher & Stefan Humer & Mathias Moser, 2015.
"A Comprehensive Approach to Posterior Jointness Analysis in Bayesian Model Averaging Applications,"
Department of Economics Working Papers
wuwp193, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Grün, Bettina & Hofmarcher, Paul & Humer, Stefan & Moser, Mathias, 2015. "A Comprehensive Approach to Posterior Jointness Analysis in Bayesian Model Averaging Applications," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 193, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Iftekhar Hasan & Roman Horvath & Jan Mares, 2018.
"What Type of Finance Matters for Growth? Bayesian Model Averaging Evidence,"
The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 32(2), pages 383-409.
- Hasan, Iftekhar & Horvath, Roman & Mares, Jan, 2015. "What type of finance matters for growth? Bayesian model averaging evidence," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 17/2015, Bank of Finland.
- Hasan,Iftekhar & Horvath,Roman & Mares,Jan, 2016. "What type of finance matters for growth ? Bayesian model averaging evidence," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7645, The World Bank.
- Hofmarcher, Paul & Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Grün, Bettina & Humer, Stefan & Moser, Mathias, 2018. "Bivariate jointness measures in Bayesian Model Averaging: Solving the conundrum," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 150-165.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2022.
"Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation,"
Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics, now publishers, vol. 11(4), pages 230-354, June.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2021. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Working Papers 2021_19, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2021. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Papers 2112.11751, arXiv.org.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2022. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Working Paper series 22-02, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Korobilis, Dimitris & Shimizu, Kenichi, 2021. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," MPRA Paper 111631, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Eriṣ, Mehmet N. & Ulaṣan, Bülent, 2013. "Trade openness and economic growth: Bayesian model averaging estimate of cross-country growth regressions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 867-883.
- Branimir Jovanovic, 2017.
"Growth forecast errors and government investment and consumption multipliers,"
International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 83-107, January.
- Branimir Jovanovic, 2013. "Growth Forecast Errors and Government Investment and Consumption Multipliers," CEIS Research Paper 301, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 17 Dec 2013.
- Kourtellos, Andros & Marr, Christa & Tan, Chih Ming, 2016.
"Robust determinants of intergenerational mobility in the land of opportunity,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 132-147.
- Andros Kourtellos & Christa Marr & Chih Ming Tan, 2014. "Robust Determinants of Intergenerational Mobility in the Land of Opportunity," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 07-2014, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
- Andros Kourtellos & Christa Marr & Chih Ming Tan, 2014. "Robust Determinants of Intergenerational Mobility in the Land of Opportunity," Working Paper series 20_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Anastasia Dimiski, 2020. "Factors that affect Students’ performance in Science: An application using Gini-BMA methodology in PISA 2015 dataset," Working Papers 2004, University of Guelph, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Man, Georg, 2015. "Competition and the growth of nations: International evidence from Bayesian model averaging," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 491-501.
- Salimans, Tim, 2012.
"Variable selection and functional form uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 171(2), pages 267-280.
- Tim Salimans, 2011. "Variable Selection and Functional Form Uncertainty in Cross-Country Growth Regressions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-012/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Feldkircher, Martin & Horvath, Roman & Rusnak, Marek, 2014.
"Exchange market pressures during the financial crisis: A Bayesian model averaging evidence,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 21-41.
- Martin Feldkircher & Roman Horvath & Marek Rusnak, 2013. "Exchange Market Pressures during the Financial Crisis: A Bayesian Model Averaging Evidence," Working Papers 332, Leibniz Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (Institute for East and Southeast European Studies).
- Feldkircher, Martin & Horvath, Roman & Rusnak, Marek, 2013. "Exchange market pressures during the financial crisis: A Bayesian model averaging evidence," BOFIT Discussion Papers 11/2013, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Bettina Grün & Paul Hofmarcher, 2021. "Identifying groups of determinants in Bayesian model averaging using Dirichlet process clustering," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(3), pages 1018-1045, September.
Corrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:jforec:v:34:y:2015:i:2:p:133-144. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/jhome/2966 .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.