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Measuring Global Economic Activity
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- Nektarios A. Michail & Konstantinos D. Melas, 2021. "Sentiment-Augmented Supply and Demand Equations for the Dry Bulk Shipping Market," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-14, November.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Guérin, Pierre, 2021.
"A comparison of monthly global indicators for forecasting growth,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1276-1295.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Guerin, Pierre, 2020. "A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 15403, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christiane Baumeister & Pierre Guérin, 2020. "A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth," CESifo Working Paper Series 8656, CESifo.
- Christiane Baumeister & Pierre Guérin, 2020. "A comparison of monthly global indicators for forecasting growth," CAMA Working Papers 2020-93, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Christiane Baumeister & Pierre Guérin, 2020. "A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth," NBER Working Papers 28014, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jorge Lorca, 2021. "Capital Flows and Emerging Markets Fluctuations," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 898, Central Bank of Chile.
- Terrones, Marco E., 2020.
"Do fixers perform worse than non-fixers during global recessions and recoveries?,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Marco E. Terrones, 2019. "Do Fixers Perform Worse than Non-Fixers during Global Recessions and Recoveries?," Working Papers 139, Peruvian Economic Association.
- Terrones, Marco E., 2019. "Do Fixers Perform Worse than Non-Fixers during Global Recessions and Recoveries?," MPRA Paper 91783, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Olayeni, Olaolu Richard & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Global economic activity, crude oil price and production, stock market behaviour and the Nigeria-US exchange rate," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Christiane Baumeister & Dimitris Korobilis & Thomas K. Lee, 2022.
"Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(4), pages 828-844, October.
- Christiane Baumeister & Dimitris Korobilis & Thomas K. Lee, 2020. "Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions," CESifo Working Paper Series 8282, CESifo.
- Christiane Baumeister & Dimitris Korobilis & Thomas K. Lee, 2020. "Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions," NBER Working Papers 27001, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Christiane Baumeister & Dimitris Korobilis & Thomas K. Lee, 2020. "Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions," Working Papers 2020_08, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Korobilis, Dimitris & Lee, Thomas K., 2020. "Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions," CEPR Discussion Papers 14580, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Raghavan, Mala, 2020.
"An analysis of the global oil market using SVARMA models,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Mala Raghavan, 2019. "An analysis of the global oil market using SVARMA models," CAMA Working Papers 2019-25, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Raghavan, Mala, 2019. "An analysis of the global oil market using SVARMA models," Working Papers 2019-01, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Rubaszek, Michał, 2021.
"Forecasting crude oil prices with DSGE models,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 531-546.
- Michał Rubaszek, 2019. "Forecasting crude oil prices with DSGE models," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2019_024, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Nooman Rebei & Rashid Sbia, 2021.
"Transitory and permanent shocks in the global market for crude oil,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 1047-1064, November.
- Nooman Rebei & Rashid Sbia, 2019. "Transitory and Permanent Shocks in the Global Market for Crude Oil," AMSE Working Papers 1918, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
- Mr. Nooman Rebei & Rashid Sbia, 2020. "Transitory and Permanent Shocks in the Global Market for Crude Oil," IMF Working Papers 2020/047, International Monetary Fund.
- Nooman Rebei & Rashid Sbia, 2021. "Transitory and permanent shocks in the global market for crude oil," Post-Print hal-03355309, HAL.
- Nooman Rebei & Rashid Sbia, 2019. "Transitory and Permanent Shocks in the Global Market for Crude Oil," Working Papers halshs-02193700, HAL.
- Valenti, Daniele & Bastianin, Andrea & Manera, Matteo, 2023.
"A weekly structural VAR model of the US crude oil market,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
- Valenti, Daniele & Bastianin, Andrea & Manera, Matteo, "undated". "A weekly structural VAR model of the US crude oil market," FEEM Working Papers 324040, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Daniele Valenti & Andrea Bastianin & Matteo Manera, 2022. "A weekly structural VAR model of the US crude oil market," Working Papers 2022.11, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Kilian, Lutz, 2022.
"Facts and fiction in oil market modeling,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Lutz Kilian, 2019. "Facts and Fiction in Oil Market Modeling," CESifo Working Paper Series 7902, CESifo.
- Kilian, Lutz, 2019. "Facts and Fiction in Oil Market Modeling," CEPR Discussion Papers 14047, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kilian, Lutz, 2021. "Facts and fiction in oil market modeling," CFS Working Paper Series 661, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Lutz Kilian, 2019. "Facts and Fiction in Oil Market Modeling," Working Papers 1907, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 21 Dec 2020.
- Nektarios A. Michail & Konstantinos D. Melas & Dimitris Batzilis, 2021. "Container shipping trade and real GDP growth: A panel vector autoregressive approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(2), pages 304-315.
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Forecasting Oil Volatility Using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach: The Role of Global Economic Conditions," Working Papers 202051, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Arabinda Basistha & Richard Startz, 2024.
"Measuring persistent global economic factors with output, commodity price, and commodity currency data,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 2860-2885, November.
- Arabinda Basistha & Richard Startz, 2023. "Measuring Persistent Global Economic Factors with Output, Commodity Price, and Commodity Currency Data," Working Papers 23-05, Department of Economics, West Virginia University.
- Valenti, Daniele & Manera, Matteo & Sbuelz, Alessandro, 2020.
"Interpreting the oil risk premium: Do oil price shocks matter?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Valenti, Daniele & Manera, Matteo & Sbuelz, Alessandro, 2018. "Interpreting the Oil Risk Premium: do Oil Price Shocks Matter?," ETA: Economic Theory and Applications 268730, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Daniele Valenti & Matteo Manera & Alessandro Sbuelz, 2018. "Interpreting the Oil Risk Premium: do Oil Price Shocks Matter?," Working Papers 2018.03, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Güntner, Jochen & Öhlinger, Peter, 2022.
"Oil price shocks and the hedging benefit of airline investments,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Jochen Güntnher & Peter Öhlinger, 2021. "Oil Price Shocks and the Hedging Benefit of Airline Investments," Economics working papers 2021-14, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
- David S. Jacks & Martin Stuermer, 2021.
"Dry bulk shipping and the evolution of maritime transport costs, 1850–2020,"
Australian Economic History Review, Economic History Society of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(2), pages 204-227, July.
- Jacks, David & Stuermer, Martin, 2020. "Dry Bulk Shipping and the Evolution of Maritime Transport Costs, 1850-2020," MPRA Paper 104710, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- David S. Jacks & Martin Stuermer, 2021. "Dry Bulk Shipping and the Evolution of Maritime Transport Costs, 1850-2020," Working Papers 2102, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Jacks, David & Stuermer, Martin, 2021. "Dry Bulk Shipping and the Evolution of Maritime Transport Costs, 1850-2020," CEPR Discussion Papers 15956, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- David S. Jacks & Martin Stuermer, 2021. "Dry Bulk Shipping and the Evolution of Maritime Transport Costs, 1850-2020," NBER Working Papers 28627, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Saira Batool & Areeba Amer, 2021. "Agriculture Sector in Pakistan (A Historic Analysis)," International Journal of Agriculture & Sustainable Development, 50sea, vol. 3(3), pages 51-56, August.
- Xiaoshi Zhou & Wanglin Ma, 2021. "Does agricultural mechanization reduce vulnerable employment? Evidence from cross-country panel data," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(2), pages 294-303.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "The price of crude oil and (conditional) out-of-sample predictability of world industrial production," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2023.
"The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Methodology in Empirical Applications, volume 45, pages 65-95,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2020. "The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 14460, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020. "The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models," CESifo Working Paper Series 8153, CESifo.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020. "The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models," Working Papers 2006, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Bajraj, Gent & Lorca, Jorge & Wlasiuk, Juan M., 2023. "On foreign drivers of emerging markets fluctuations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
- Gent Bajraj & Jorge Lorca & Juan M. Wlasiuk, 2022. "On Foreign Drivers of EMEs Fluctuations," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 951, Central Bank of Chile.
- Dionne, Georges & El Hraiki, Rayane & Mnasri, Mohamed, 2023.
"Determinants and real effects of joint hedging: An empirical analysis of US oil and gas producers,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Dionne, Georges & El Hraiki, Rayane & Mnasri, Mohamed, 2023. "Determinants and real effects of joint hedging: An empirical analysis of US oil and gas producers," Working Papers 23-3, HEC Montreal, Canada Research Chair in Risk Management.
- Mabanga, Chris & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2020. "The effects of oil prices on equity market returns in BRICS grouping: A quantile-on-quantile approach," MPRA Paper 101403, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Maghyereh, Aktham I. & Sweidan, Osama D., 2020.
"Do structural shocks in the crude oil market affect biofuel prices?,"
International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 183-193.
- Aktham I. Maghyereh & Osama D. Sweidan, 2020. "Do structural shocks in the crude oil market affect biofuel prices?," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 164, pages 183-193.
- Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2022.
"Reliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 152-168, January.
- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," IMFS Working Paper Series 133, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable Real-time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203535, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," Kiel Working Papers 2158, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Mixed‐frequency forecasting of crude oil volatility based on the information content of global economic conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 134-157, January.
- Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020.
"Refining the workhorse oil market model,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 130-140, January.
- Xiaoqing Zhou, 2019. "Refining the Workhorse Oil Market Model," Working Papers 1910, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Shrestha, Anil & Mustafa, Andy Ali & Htike, Myo Myo & You, Vithyea & Kakinaka, Makoto, 2022. "Evolution of energy mix in emerging countries: Modern renewable energy, traditional renewable energy, and non-renewable energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 419-432.
- Lomonosov, Daniil & Polbin, Andrey & Fokin, Nikita, 2020. "Влияние Шоков Мировой Деловой Активности, Предложения Нефти И Спекулятивных Нефтяных Шоков На Экономику Рф [The impact of global economic activity, oil supply and speculative oil shocks on the Russ," MPRA Paper 106019, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Benk, Szilard & Gillman, Max, 2023.
"Identifying money and inflation expectation shocks to real oil prices,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Benk, Szilárd & Gillman, Max, 2023. "Identifying money and inflation expectation shocks on real oil prices," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 10/2023, Bank of Finland.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2020. "An observation regarding Hamilton’s recent criticisms of Kilian’s global real economic activity index," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
- Cross, Jamie L. & Hou, Chenghan & Nguyen, Bao H., 2021. "On the China factor in the world oil market: A regime switching approach11We thank Hilde Bjørnland, Tatsuyoshi Okimoto, Ippei Fujiwara, Knut Aastveit, Leif Anders Thorsrud, Francesco Ravazzolo, Renee ," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
- Zeina Alsalman, 2021. "Does the source of oil supply shock matter in explaining the behavior of U.S. consumer spending and sentiment?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 1491-1518, September.
- Zhang, Yulian & He, Xie & Nakajima, Tadahiro & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2020. "Oil, Gas, or Financial Conditions-Which One Has a Stronger Link with Growth?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Danilo Leiva-Leon & Gabriel Perez-Quiros & Eyno Rots, 2020.
"Real-time weakness of the global economy: a first assessment of the coronavirus crisis,"
Working Papers
2015, Banco de España.
- Danilo Leiva-Leon & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós & Eyno Rots, 2020. "Real-Time Weakness of the Global Economy: A First Assessment of the Coronavirus Crisis," MNB Working Papers 2020/4, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
- Perez-Quiros, Gabriel & Rots, Eyno & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2020. "Real-time weakness of the global economy: a first assessment of the coronavirus crisis," Working Paper Series 2381, European Central Bank.
- Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Leiva-León, Danilo & Rots, Eyno, 2020. "Real-Time Weakness of the Global Economy: A First Assessment of the Coronavirus Crisis," CEPR Discussion Papers 14484, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cobham, Alex & Faccio, Tommaso & FitzGerald, Valpy, 2019. "Global inequalities in taxing rights: An early evaluation of the OECD tax reform proposals," SocArXiv j3p48, Center for Open Science.
- Dionne, Georges & El Hraiki, Rayane & Mnasri, Mohamed, 2022. "Determinants and real effects of joint hedging: An empirical analysis of the US petroleum industry," Working Papers 22-4, HEC Montreal, Canada Research Chair in Risk Management.
- Karol Szafranek & Marek Kwas & Grzegorz Szafrański & Zuzanna Wośko, 2020. "Common Determinants of Credit Default Swap Premia in the North American Oil and Gas Industry. A Panel BMA Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-23, November.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie & Ji, Qiang, 2020.
"The role of global economic conditions in forecasting gold market volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS approach,"
Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "The Role of Global Economic Conditions in Forecasting Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202043, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2021. "The impact of extreme structural oil-price shocks on clean energy and oil stocks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).