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Do Fixers Perform Worse than Non-Fixers during Global Recessions and Recoveries?

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  • Marco E. Terrones

    (Universidad del Pací fico)

Abstract

There is an important debate about how economies with different exchange rate regimes performed during the Great Recession and its ensuing recovery. While economic theory suggests that economies with fixed exchange rates are more affected and recover more slowly from global shocks than economies with non-fixed exchange rates, the empirical evidence on the most recent global recession has been mixed. This paper examines the exchange rate and economic growth nexus and assesses how this relationship is affected by the four global recessions and recoveries the world economy has experienced post-Bretton Woods. While there is no robust long-term relationship between exchange rate regimes and growth, there is evidence that fixers recover from global recessions at a weaker pace than non-fixers.

Suggested Citation

  • Marco E. Terrones, 2019. "Do Fixers Perform Worse than Non-Fixers during Global Recessions and Recoveries?," Working Papers 139, Peruvian Economic Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:apc:wpaper:139
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    Cited by:

    1. Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Papież, Monika & Śmiech, Sławomir, 2024. "Output volatility and exchange rates: New evidence from the updated de facto exchange rate regime classifications," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 894-908.
    2. Arabinda Basistha, "undated". "Estimates of Quarterly and Monthly Episodes of Global Recessions: Evidence from Markov-switching Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers 24-07, Department of Economics, West Virginia University.
    3. Alina Carare & Carlos Resende & Andrew T. Levin & Chelsea Zhang, 2023. "Do Monetary Policy Frameworks Matter in Low-Income Countries?," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(4), pages 1000-1024, December.
    4. Kose, M. Ayhan & Sugawara, Naotaka & Terrones, Marco E., 2020. "Global Recessions," MPRA Paper 98608, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Eichengreen, Barry & Park, Donghyun & Shin, Kwanho, 2024. "Economic resilience: Why some countries recover more robustly than others from shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    6. Eichengreen, Barry & Park, Donghyun & Shin, Kwanho, 2021. "The shape of recovery: Implications of past experience for the duration of the COVID-19 recession," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    7. Thomas Barnebeck Andersen, 2023. "The Cost of a Currency Peg during the Great Recession," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 255-279, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cycles; international cycles; global recessions and recoveries; exchange rates; economic growth of open economies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles

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