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What Can the Data Tell Us About the Equilibrium Real Interest Rate?
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Blog mentions
As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:- Will interest rates persistently fall below previous norms?
by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-02-15 01:29:28 - Persistently low interest rates, redux
by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-03-19 20:37:04
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Cited by:
- Breach, Tomas & D’Amico, Stefania & Orphanides, Athanasios, 2020.
"The term structure and inflation uncertainty,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(2), pages 388-414.
- Tomas Breach & Stefania D'Amico & Athanasios Orphanides, 2016. "The Term Structure and Inflation Uncertainty," Working Paper Series WP-2016-22, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Orphanides, Athanasios & Breach, Tomas & D'Amico, Stefania, 2016. "The Term Structure and Inflation Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 11730, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mikael Juselius & Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mathias Drehmann, 2017.
"Monetary Policy, the Financial Cycle, and Ultra-Low Interest Rates,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(3), pages 55-89, September.
- Juselius, Mikael & Borio, Claudio & Disyatat, Piti & Drehmann, Mathias, 2016. "Monetary policy, the financial cycle and ultralow interest rates," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 24/2016, Bank of Finland.
- Mikael Juselius & Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mathias Drehmann, 2017. "Monetary Policy, the Financial Cycle and Ultra-low Interest Rates," PIER Discussion Papers 55, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
- Mikael Juselius & Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mathias Drehmann, 2016. "Monetary policy, the financial cycle and ultra-low interest rates," BIS Working Papers 569, Bank for International Settlements.
- Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2021.
"What to Expect from the Lower Bound on Interest Rates: Evidence from Derivatives Prices,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(8), pages 2473-2505, August.
- Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2018. "What to expect from the lower bound on interest rates: evidence from derivatives prices," Staff Reports 865, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2020. "What to Expect from the Lower Bound on Interest Rates: Evidence from Derivatives Prices," Working Paper Series 2018-03, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Holston, Kathryn & Laubach, Thomas & Williams, John C., 2017.
"Measuring the natural rate of interest: International trends and determinants,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(S1), pages 59-75.
- Kathryn Holston & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2016. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2016, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kathryn Holston & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2016. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest : International Trends and Determinants," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-073, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Kathryn Holston & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2016. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants," Working Paper Series 2016-11, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Stanley Fischer, 2016. "Monetary Policy, Financial Stability, and the Zero Lower Bound : a speech at the Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association, San Francisco, California, January 3, 2016," Speech 886, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós & Enrique Sentana, 2018.
"The rise and fall of the natural interest rate,"
Working Papers
1822, Banco de España.
- Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós & Enrique Sentana, 2018. "The Rise and Fall of the Natural Interest Rate," Working Paper series 18-29, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós & Enrique Sentana, 2018. "The Rise and Fall of the Natural Interest Rate," Working Papers wp2018_1805, CEMFI.
- Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós & Enrique Sentana, 2018. "The Rise and Fall of the Natural Interest Rate," Working Papers - Economics wp2018_14.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
- Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Fiorentini, Gabriele & Galesi, Alessandro & Sentana, Enrique, 2018. "The Rise and Fall of the Natural Interest Rate," CEPR Discussion Papers 13042, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kevin Rennert & Brian C. Prest & William A. Pizer & Richard G. Newell & David Anthoff & Cora Kingdon & Lisa Rennels & Roger Cooke & Adrian E. Raftery & Hana Sevcikova & Frank Errickson, 2021.
"The Social Cost of Carbon: Advances in Long-Term Probabilistic Projections of Population, GDP, Emissions, and Discount Rates,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 52(2 (Fall)), pages 223-305.
- Rennert, Kevin & Prest, Brian C. & Pizer, William & Newell, Richard G. & Anthoff, David & Kingdon, Cora & Rennels, Lisa & Cooke, Roger & Raftery, Adrian E. & Ševčíková, Hana & Errickson, Frank, 2021. "The Social Cost of Carbon: Advances in Long-Term Probabilistic Projections of Population, GDP, Emissions, and Discount Rates," RFF Working Paper Series 21-28, Resources for the Future.
- Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2023.
"The Rising Cost of Climate Change: Evidence from the Bond Market,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 105(5), pages 1255-1270, September.
- Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2020. "The Rising Cost of Climate Change: Evidence from the Bond Market," Working Paper Series 2020-25, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Robert C. M. Beyer & Lazar Milivojevic, 2023.
"Dynamics and synchronization of global equilibrium interest rates,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(28), pages 3195-3214, June.
- Beyer,Robert Carl Michael & Milivojevic,Lazar, 2020. "Dynamics and Synchronization of Global Equilibrium Interest Rates," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9489, The World Bank.
- Beyer, Robert & Milivojevic, Lazar, 2021. "Dynamics and synchronization of global equilibrium interest rates," IMFS Working Paper Series 146, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc P. Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2017.
"Safety, Liquidity, and the Natural Rate of Interest,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 48(1 (Spring), pages 235-316.
- Marc Giannoni & Domenico Giannone & Andrea Tambalotti & Marco Del Negro, 2017. "Safety, Liquidity, and the Natural Rate of Interest," 2017 Meeting Papers 803, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2017. "Safety, liquidity, and the natural rate of interest," Staff Reports 812, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Etienne Gagnon & Benjamin K. Johannsen & David López-Salido, 2021.
"Understanding the New Normal: The Role of Demographics,"
IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 69(2), pages 357-390, June.
- Etienne Gagnon & Benjamin K. Johannsen & J. David López-Salido, 2016. "Understanding the New Normal : The Role of Demographics," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-080, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Taeyoung Doh, 2017. "Trend and Uncertainty in the Long-Term Real Interest Rate: Bayesian Exponential Tilting with Survey Data," Research Working Paper RWP 17-8, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Ansgar Belke & Jens Klose, 2017.
"Equilibrium Real Interest Rates and Secular Stagnation: An Empirical Analysis for Euro Area Member Countries,"
Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(6), pages 1221-1238, November.
- Belke, Ansgar & Klose, Jens, 2016. "Equilibrium real interest rates and secular stagnation: An empirical analysis for euro area member countries," Ruhr Economic Papers 621, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Ansgar Belke & Jens Klose, 2017. "Equilibrium Real Interest Rates and Secular Stagnation: An Empirical Analysis for Euro-Area Member Countries," ROME Working Papers 201712, ROME Network.
- Maik H. Wolters, 2018.
"How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model‐based output gap estimates,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(5), pages 680-689, August.
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2016. "How the Baby Boomers' Retirement Wave Distorts Model-Based Output Gap Estimates," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145812, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2018. "How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model-based output gap estimates," IMFS Working Paper Series 121, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Maik Wolters, 2017. "How the Baby Boomers' Retirement Wave Distorts Model-Based Output Gap Estimates," Jena Economics Research Papers 2017-008, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
- Wolters, Maik H., 2016. "How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model-based output gap estimates," Kiel Working Papers 2031, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Sophocles N. Brissimis & Evangelia A. Georgiou, 2022. "The effects of Federal Reserve's quantitative easing and balance sheet normalization policies on long-term interest rates," Working Papers 299, Bank of Greece.
- Del Negro, Marco & Giannone, Domenico & Giannoni, Marc P. & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2019.
"Global trends in interest rates,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 248-262.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2018, pages 248-262, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," Working Papers 1812, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global trends in interest rates," Staff Reports 866, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc P. Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 25039, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Brandyn Bok & Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Eric Qian & Andrea Tambalotti, 2019. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," Liberty Street Economics 20190227, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Marco Del Negro & Andrea Tambalotti & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni, 2019. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," 2019 Meeting Papers 77, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Michael T. Kiley, 2020. "Pandemic Recession Dynamics: The Role of Monetary Policy in Shifting a U-Shaped Recession to a V-Shaped Rebound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-083, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- NAKAJIMA, Jouchi & SUDO, Nao & HOGEN, Yoshihiko & TAKIZUKA, Yasutaka, 2023. "On the estimation of the natural yield curve," Discussion Paper Series 753, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Lange, Ronald H., 2017. "The expected real yield and inflation components of the nominal yield curve," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 1-18.
- Jung, Alexander, 2024. "The quantity theory of money, 1870-2020," Working Paper Series 2940, European Central Bank.
- Kurt F. Lewis & Francisco Vazquez-Grande, 2017. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest : A Note on Transitory Shocks," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-059, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Krustev, Georgi, 2019.
"The natural rate of interest and the financial cycle,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 193-210.
- Krustev, Georgi, 2018. "The natural rate of interest and the financial cycle," Working Paper Series 2168, European Central Bank.
- John B. Taylor & Volker Wieland, 2016.
"Finding the Equilibrium Real Interest Rate in a Fog of Policy Deviations,"
Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 51(3), pages 147-154, July.
- John B. Taylor & Volker Wieland, 2016. "Finding the Equilibrium Real Interest Rate in a Fog of Policy Deviations," Economics Working Papers 16109, Hoover Institution, Stanford University.
- Taylor, John B. & Wieland, Volker, 2016. "Finding the equilibrium real interest rate in a fog of policy deviations," IMFS Working Paper Series 103, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Wieland, Volker & Taylor, John, 2016. "Finding the Equilibrium Real Interest Rate in a Fog of Policy Deviations," CEPR Discussion Papers 11264, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mikkel Barslund & Lars Ludolph, 2019.
"Could the decrease in Belgian government debt-servicing costs offset increased age-related expenditure?,"
Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 43(3), pages 225-246.
- Barslund, Mikkel & Ludolph, Lars, 2017. "Could the decrease in Belgian government debt-servicing costs offset increased age-related expenditure?," CEPS Papers 12598, Centre for European Policy Studies.
- Leeper, E.M. & Leith, C., 2016. "Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary–Fiscal Phenomenon," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 2305-2415, Elsevier.
- Benjamin K. Johannsen & Elmar Mertens, 2021.
"A Time‐Series Model of Interest Rates with the Effective Lower Bound,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(5), pages 1005-1046, August.
- Benjamin K. Johannsen & Elmar Mertens, 2016. "A Time Series Model of Interest Rates With the Effective Lower Bound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-033, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Benjamin K Johannsen & Elmar Mertens, 2018. "A time series model of interest rates with the effective lower bound," BIS Working Papers 715, Bank for International Settlements.
- Mikael Juselius & Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mathias Drehmann, 2017.
"Monetary Policy, the Financial Cycle, and Ultra-Low Interest Rates,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(3), pages 55-89, September.
- Mikael Juselius & Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mathias Drehmann, 2016. "Monetary policy, the financial cycle and ultra-low interest rates," BIS Working Papers 569, Bank for International Settlements.
- Mikael Juselius & Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mathias Drehmann, 2017. "Monetary Policy, the Financial Cycle and Ultra-low Interest Rates," PIER Discussion Papers 55, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
- Juselius, Mikael & Borio, Claudio & Disyatat, Piti & Drehmann, Mathias, 2016. "Monetary policy, the financial cycle and ultralow interest rates," Research Discussion Papers 24/2016, Bank of Finland.
- repec:zbw:bofrdp:2016_024 is not listed on IDEAS
- Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mikael Juselius & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2022.
"Why So Low for So Long? A Long-Term View of Real Interest Rates,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(3), pages 47-87, September.
- Borio, Claudio & Disyatat, Piti & Juselius, Mikael & Rungcharoenkitkul, Phurichai, 2017. "Why so low for so long? A long-term view of real interest rates," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 36/2017, Bank of Finland.
- Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mikael Juselius & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2017. "Why so low for so long? A long-term view of real interest rates," BIS Working Papers 685, Bank for International Settlements.
- Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mikael Juselius & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2018. "Why So Low for So Long? A Long-Term View of Real Interest Rates," PIER Discussion Papers 80, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
- Carrillo Julio A. & Elizondo Rocío & Rodríguez-Pérez Cid Alonso & Roldán-Peña Jessica, 2018. "What Determines the Neutral Rate of Interest in an Emerging Economy?," Working Papers 2018-22, Banco de México.
- Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Samer Shousha, 2021. "Supply of Sovereign Safe Assets and Global Interest Rates," International Finance Discussion Papers 1315, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Kan Chen & Nathaniel Karp, 2018. "Natural interest rates in the U.S., Canada and Mexico," Working Papers 18/07, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
- Eric M. Leeper & Campbell Leith, 2016.
"Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary-Fiscal Phenomenon,"
NBER Working Papers
21867, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Campbell Leith & Eric Leeper, 2016. "Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary-Fiscal Phenomenon," Working Papers 2016_01, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Ferreira, Thiago R.T. & Shousha, Samer, 2023. "Determinants of global neutral interest rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
- Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2015.
"Measuring the natural rate of interest redux,"
Working Paper Series
2015-16, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2016. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest Redux," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-11, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Guihai Zhao, 2020. "Learning, Equilibrium Trend, Cycle, and Spread in Bond Yields," Staff Working Papers 20-14, Bank of Canada.
- Aditya Aladangady & Etienne Gagnon & Benjamin K. Johannsen & William B. Peterman, 2021. "Macroeconomic Implications of Inequality and Income Risk," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-073, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Michael T. Kiley & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2024.
"Central Banking Post Crises,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2024-035, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Michael Kiley & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2024. "Central Banking Post Crises," NBER Working Papers 32237, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Zhang, Ren & Martínez-García, Enrique & Wynne, Mark A. & Grossman, Valerie, 2021.
"Ties that bind: Estimating the natural rate of interest for small open economies,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Valerie Grossman & Enrique Martínez García & Mark A. Wynne & Ren Zhang, 2019. "Ties That Bind: Estimating the Natural Rate of Interest for Small Open Economies," Globalization Institute Working Papers 359, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 05 Mar 2021.
- Goto, Eiji, 2023. "International comovement of r∗: A case study of the G7 countries," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Michael T. Kiley, 2020. "Financial Conditions and Economic Activity: Insights from Machine Learning," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-095, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Andrea Berardi & Michael Markovich & Alberto Plazzi & Andrea Tamoni, 2019. "Mind the (Convergence) Gap: Bond Predictability Strikes Back!," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 19-52, Swiss Finance Institute.
- Andrea Berardi & Michael Markovich & Alberto Plazzi & Andrea Tamoni, 2021. "Mind the (Convergence) Gap: Bond Predictability Strikes Back!," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(12), pages 7888-7911, December.
- Glick, Reuven, 2020.
"r* and the global economy,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
- Reuven Glick, 2019. "R* and the Global Economy," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2019_013, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Reuven Glick, 2019. "R* and the Global Economy," Working Paper Series 2019-18, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2018.
"What Anchors for the Natural Rate of Interest?,"
PIER Discussion Papers
98, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
- Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2019. "What anchors for the natural rate of interest?," BIS Working Papers 777, Bank for International Settlements.
- Lael Brainard, 2015. "Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy : a speech at the \"North America's Place in a Changing World Economy,\" 57th National Association for Business Economics Annual Meeting, Washington, D.C," Speech 869, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Fu, Bowen, 2023. "Measuring the trend real interest rate in a data-rich environment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
- Alex Aronovich & Andrew C. Meldrum, 2021. "High-Frequency Estimates of the Natural Real Rate and Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-034, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Saeed Zaman, 2021. "A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars," Working Papers 21-23R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 31 May 2024.