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Nonparametric neutral network estimation of lyapunov exponents and a direct test for chaos

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Cited by:

  1. Dominique Guegan & Justin Leroux, 2009. "Local Lyapunov Exponents: A new way to predict chaotic systems," Post-Print halshs-00511996, HAL.
  2. Serletis, Apostolos & Shahmoradi, Asghar, 2007. "Chaos, self-organized criticality, and SETAR nonlinearity: An analysis of purchasing power parity between Canada and the United States," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 1437-1444.
  3. Wolff Rodney & Yao Qiwei & Tong Howell, 2004. "Statistical Tests for Lyapunov Exponents of Deterministic Systems," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(2), pages 1-19, May.
  4. Hommes, C.H. & Manzan, S., 2005. "Testing for Nonlinear Structure and Chaos in Economic Time Series: A Comment," CeNDEF Working Papers 05-14, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
  5. Lucía Inglada-Pérez & Pablo Coto-Millán, 2021. "A Chaos Analysis of the Dry Bulk Shipping Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(17), pages 1-35, August.
  6. Escot, Lorenzo & Sandubete, Julio E., 2023. "Estimating Lyapunov exponents on a noisy environment by global and local Jacobian indirect algorithms," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 436(C).
  7. Park, Joon Y. & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2012. "Random walk or chaos: A formal test on the Lyapunov exponent," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(1), pages 61-74.
  8. Patrick Krieger & Carsten Lausberg & Kristin Wellner, 2018. "Einblicke in die Gründe für nicht-normalverteilte Immobilienrenditen: eine explorative Untersuchung deutscher Wohnimmobilienportfolios [Insights into the reasons for non-normal real estate returns:," Zeitschrift für Immobilienökonomie (German Journal of Real Estate Research), Springer;Gesellschaft für Immobilienwirtschaftliche Forschung e. V., vol. 4(1), pages 49-79, November.
  9. Bask, Mikael & Liu, Tung & Widerberg, Anna, 2007. "The stability of electricity prices: Estimation and inference of the Lyapunov exponents," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 376(C), pages 565-572.
  10. Matilla-García, Mariano & Marín, Manuel Ruiz, 2010. "A new test for chaos and determinism based on symbolic dynamics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 76(3), pages 600-614, December.
  11. Bask, Miia & Bask, Mikael, 2014. "Social influence and the Matthew mechanism: The case of an artificial cultural market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 412(C), pages 113-119.
  12. Kyrtsou, Catherine & Malliaris, Anastasios G. & Serletis, Apostolos, 2009. "Energy sector pricing: On the role of neglected nonlinearity," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 492-502, May.
  13. Cars Hommes & Sebastiano Manzan, 2006. "Testing for Nonlinear Structure and Chaos in Economic Time. A Comment," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-030/1, Tinbergen Institute.
  14. Bask, Mikael & Widerberg, Anna, 2009. "Market structure and the stability and volatility of electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 278-288, March.
  15. Borusyak, K., 2011. "Nonlinear Dynamics of the Russian Stock Market in Problems of Risk Management," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, issue 11, pages 85-105.
  16. Barnett, William A., 2006. "Comments on "Chaotic monetary dynamics with confidence"," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 253-255, March.
  17. Guégan, Dominique & Leroux, Justin, 2009. "Forecasting chaotic systems: The role of local Lyapunov exponents," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 41(5), pages 2401-2404.
  18. Dominique Guegan & Justin Leroux, 2010. "Predicting chaos with Lyapunov exponents: Zero plays no role in forecasting chaotic systems," Post-Print halshs-00462454, HAL.
  19. Bask, Mikael, 2010. "Measuring potential market risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 180-186, September.
  20. Dominique Guégan & Justin Leroux, 2008. "Local Lyapunov exponents: Zero plays no role in Forecasting chaotic systems," Cahiers de recherche 08-10, HEC Montréal, Institut d'économie appliquée.
  21. Belaire-Franch, Jorge, 2018. "Exchange rates expectations and chaotic dynamics: A replication study," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 12, pages 1-9.
  22. Dominique Guegan, 2007. "Chaos in economics and finance," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne b07054, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Jan 2009.
  23. Kyrtsou, Catherine & Serletis, Apostolos, 2006. "Univariate tests for nonlinear structure," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 154-168, March.
  24. Dominique Guegan & Justin Leroux, 2008. "Forecasting chaotic systems : the role of local Lyapunov exponents," Post-Print halshs-00259238, HAL.
  25. Dominique Guégan & Justin Leroux, 2007. "Forecasting chaotic systems: The role of local Lyapunov exponents," Cahiers de recherche 07-12, HEC Montréal, Institut d'économie appliquée.
  26. Shintani, Mototsugu, 2008. "A dynamic factor approach to nonlinear stability analysis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(9), pages 2788-2808, September.
  27. Serletis, Apostolos & He, Mingyu & Chowdhury, M.M. Islam, 2023. "Chaos in long-maturity real rates," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
  28. Bask, Mikael & Widerberg, Anna, 2007. "The Stability and Volatility of Electricity Prices: An Illustration of (lambda, sigma-2) Analysis," Working Papers in Economics 267, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
  29. Xu, Fei & Lai, Yongzeng & Shu, Xiao-Bao, 2018. "Chaos in integer order and fractional order financial systems and their synchronization," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 125-136.
  30. DIMA, Bogdan & DIMA, Ştefana Maria & IOAN, Roxana, 2021. "Remarks on the behaviour of financial market efficiency during the COVID-19 pandemic. The case of VIX," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
  31. Lorenzo Trapani, 2021. "Testing for strict stationarity in a random coefficient autoregressive model," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 220-256, April.
  32. Dominique Guegan & Justin Leroux, 2009. "Forecasting chaotic systems: The role of local Lyapunov exponents," Post-Print halshs-00431726, HAL.
  33. Mikael Bask & Anna Widerberg, 2012. "Actual and potential market risks during the stock market turmoil 2007--2008," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(5), pages 339-349, March.
  34. Mikael Bask, 2024. "Skill, status and the Matthew effect: a theoretical framework," Journal of Computational Social Science, Springer, vol. 7(3), pages 2221-2253, December.
  35. Mastroeni, Loretta & Vellucci, Pierluigi & Naldi, Maurizio, 2019. "A reappraisal of the chaotic paradigm for energy commodity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 167-178.
  36. Serletis, Apostolos & Uritskaya, Olga Y., 2007. "Detecting signatures of stochastic self-organization in US money and velocity measures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 385(1), pages 281-291.
  37. Sandubete, Julio E. & Escot, Lorenzo, 2020. "Chaotic signals inside some tick-by-tick financial time series," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
  38. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2007_020 is not listed on IDEAS
  39. Jorge Belaire-Franch & Kwaku Opong, 2013. "A Time Series Analysis of U.K. Construction and Real Estate Indices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 46(3), pages 516-542, April.
  40. Bask, Mikael & Liu, Tung & Widerberg, Anna, 2007. "The stability of electricity prices: Estimation and inference of the Lyapunov exponents," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 376(C), pages 565-572.
  41. Elena Olmedo & Ricardo Gimeno & Lorenzo Escot & Ruth Mateos, 2007. "Convergencia y Estabilidad de los Tipos de Cambio Europeos: Una Aplicación de Exponentes de Lyapunov," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 44(129), pages 91-108.
  42. Miia Bask & Mikael Bask, 2015. "Cumulative (Dis)Advantage and the Matthew Effect in Life-Course Analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(11), pages 1-14, November.
  43. Serletis, Apostolos & Shintani, Mototsugu, 2006. "Chaotic monetary dynamics with confidence," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 228-252, March.
  44. Olmedo,E. & Velasco, F. & Valderas, J.M., 2007. "Caracterización no lineal y predicción no paramétrica en el IBEX35/Nonlinear Characterization and Predictions of IBEX 35," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 25, pages 815-842, Diciembre.
  45. Giannerini Simone & Rosa Rodolfo, 2004. "Assessing Chaos in Time Series: Statistical Aspects and Perspectives," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(2), pages 1-25, May.
  46. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2006_009 is not listed on IDEAS
  47. Santamaría-Bonfil, G. & Reyes-Ballesteros, A. & Gershenson, C., 2016. "Wind speed forecasting for wind farms: A method based on support vector regression," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 790-809.
  48. Serletis, Apostolos & Shahmoradi, Asghar & Serletis, Demitre, 2007. "Effect of noise on estimation of Lyapunov exponents from a time series," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 883-887.
  49. Bask, Mikael, 2010. "Measuring potential market risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 180-186, September.
  50. Yankou Diasso, 2014. "Dynamique du prix international du coton : aléas, aversion au risque et chaos," Recherches économiques de Louvain, De Boeck Université, vol. 80(4), pages 53-86.
  51. BenSaïda, Ahmed & Litimi, Houda, 2013. "High level chaos in the exchange and index markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 90-95.
  52. Marisa Faggini, 2011. "Chaotic Time Series Analysis in Economics: Balance and Perspectives," Working papers 25, Former Department of Economics and Public Finance "G. Prato", University of Torino.
  53. Chen, Xiaohong, 2007. "Large Sample Sieve Estimation of Semi-Nonparametric Models," Handbook of Econometrics, in: J.J. Heckman & E.E. Leamer (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 6, chapter 76, Elsevier.
  54. Matilla-Garci­a, Mariano & Ruiz Mari­n, Manuel, 2008. "A non-parametric independence test using permutation entropy," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 144(1), pages 139-155, May.
  55. Lucía Inglada-Pérez & Sandra González y Gil, 2024. "A Study on the Nature of Complexity in the Spanish Electricity Market Using a Comprehensive Methodological Framework," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-21, March.
  56. Marco Pangallo, 2020. "Synchronization of endogenous business cycles," Papers 2002.06555, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
  57. Dominique Guegan & Justin Leroux, 2009. "Local Lyapunov Exponents: A new way to predict chaotic systems," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-00511996, HAL.
  58. Dominique Guegan & Justin Leroux, 2009. "Forecasting chaotic systems: The role of local Lyapunov exponents," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-00431726, HAL.
  59. Charles-Cadogan, G., 2021. "Market Instability, Investor Sentiment, And Probability Judgment Error in Index Option Prices," CRETA Online Discussion Paper Series 71, Centre for Research in Economic Theory and its Applications CRETA.
  60. Marco Pangallo, 2023. "Synchronization of endogenous business cycles," LEM Papers Series 2023/01, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  61. Marisa Faggini & Bruna Bruno & Anna Parziale, 2019. "Does Chaos Matter in Financial Time Series Analysis?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(4), pages 18-24.
  62. Vitaliy Vandrovych, 2005. "Study of Nonlinearities in the Dynamics of Exchange Rates: Is There Any Evidence of Chaos?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 234, Society for Computational Economics.
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