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Exploratory Modeling and Analysis, an approach for model-based foresight under deep uncertainty

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  1. Lu, Louis Y.Y. & Hsieh, Chih-Hung & Liu, John S., 2016. "Development trajectory and research themes of foresight," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 347-356.
  2. Malekpour, Shirin & de Haan, Fjalar J. & Brown, Rebekah R., 2016. "A methodology to enable exploratory thinking in strategic planning," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 192-202.
  3. Kokshagina, Olga & Gillier, Thomas & Cogez, Patrick & Le Masson, Pascal & Weil, Benoit, 2017. "Using innovation contests to promote the development of generic technologies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 152-164.
  4. Hao Li & Ying Qiao & Zongxiang Lu & Baosen Zhang, 2022. "Power System Transition with Multiple Flexibility Resources: A Data-Driven Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-25, February.
  5. Noori, Mehdi & Tatari, Omer & Nam, BooHyun & Golestani, Behnam & Greene, James, 2014. "A stochastic optimization approach for the selection of reflective cracking mitigation techniques," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 367-378.
  6. van Beuzekom, Iris & Hodge, Bri-Mathias & Slootweg, Han, 2021. "Framework for optimization of long-term, multi-period investment planning of integrated urban energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
  7. Santos, Maria João & Ferreira, Paula & Araújo, Madalena, 2016. "A methodology to incorporate risk and uncertainty in electricity power planning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(P2), pages 1400-1411.
  8. Seyed Ahmad Reza Mir Mohammadi Kooshknow & Rob den Exter & Franco Ruzzenenti, 2020. "An Exploratory Agent-Based Modeling Analysis Approach to Test Business Models for Electricity Storage," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-14, April.
  9. Setiawan, Andri D. & Dewi, Marmelia P. & Jafino, Bramka Arga & Hidayatno, Akhmad, 2022. "Evaluating feed-in tariff policies on enhancing geothermal development in Indonesia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
  10. Juliana Zapata Riveros & Matthias Speich & Mirjam West & Silvia Ulli-Beer, 2021. "Combining Business Model Innovation and Model-Based Analysis to Tackle the Deep Uncertainty of Societal Transitions—A Case Study on Industrial Electrification and Power Grid Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-29, June.
  11. Deuten, Sebastiaan & Gómez Vilchez, Jonatan J. & Thiel, Christian, 2020. "Analysis and testing of electric car incentive scenarios in the Netherlands and Norway," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
  12. Kolosz, B.W. & Athanasiadis, I.N. & Cadisch, G. & Dawson, T.P. & Giupponi, C. & Honzák, M. & Martinez-Lopez, J. & Marvuglia, A. & Mojtahed, V. & Ogutu, K.B.Z. & Van Delden, H. & Villa, F. & Balbi, S., 2018. "Conceptual advancement of socio-ecological modelling of ecosystem services for re-evaluating Brownfield land," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 33(PA), pages 29-39.
  13. Castrejon-Campos, Omar & Aye, Lu & Hui, Felix Kin Peng & Vaz-Serra, Paulo, 2022. "Economic and environmental impacts of public investment in clean energy RD&D," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
  14. Elizabeth Gibson & Tugrul Daim & Edwin Garces & Marina Dabic, 2018. "Technology Foresight: A Bibliometric Analysis to Identify Leading and Emerging Methods," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 12(1), pages 6-24.
  15. Bollinger, L.A. & Davis, C.B. & Evins, R. & Chappin, E.J.L. & Nikolic, I., 2018. "Multi-model ecologies for shaping future energy systems: Design patterns and development paths," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 3441-3451.
  16. Bloemendal, Martin & Jaxa-Rozen, Marc & Olsthoorn, Theo, 2018. "Methods for planning of ATES systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 534-557.
  17. Harald de Bruijn & Andreas Größler & Nuno Videira, 2020. "Antifragility as a design criterion for modelling dynamic systems," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 23-37, January.
  18. Auping, Willem L. & Pruyt, Erik & de Jong, Sijbren & Kwakkel, Jan H., 2016. "The geopolitical impact of the shale revolution: Exploring consequences on energy prices and rentier states," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 390-399.
  19. Anastasia Blouchoutzi & Georgios Tsaples & Dimitra Manou & Jason Papathanasiou, 2023. "Investigating Public–Private Cooperation in Migrant Labor Market Integration: A System Dynamics Study to Explore the Challenge for Greece," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-27, January.
  20. Georgios Tsaples & Jason Papathanasiou & Andreas C. Georgiou, 2022. "An Exploratory DEA and Machine Learning Framework for the Evaluation and Analysis of Sustainability Composite Indicators in the EU," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(13), pages 1-27, June.
  21. Cagnin, Cristiano & Havas, Attila & Saritas, Ozcan, 2013. "Future-oriented technology analysis: Its potential to address disruptive transformations," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(3), pages 379-385.
  22. Bethany Robinson & Jonathan D. Herman, 2019. "A framework for testing dynamic classification of vulnerable scenarios in ensemble water supply projections," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 152(3), pages 431-448, March.
  23. Massimo Bagarani & Annamaria De Vincenzo & Corrado Ievoli & Bruno Molino, 2020. "The Reuse of Sediments Dredged from Artificial Reservoirs for Beach Nourishment: Technical and Economic Feasibility," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-20, August.
  24. Lopez Martin, 2019. "Synergies in the Land Use Sector: What Is the Best Policy Approach When Co-benefits and Trade-offs Are Involved?," Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, vol. 6(53), pages 53-69, January.
  25. da Silva Stefano, Gustavo & Antunes, Tiago dos Santos & Lacerda, Daniel Pacheco & Wolf Motta Morandi, Maria Isabel & Piran, Fabio Sartori, 2022. "The impacts of inventory in transfer pricing and net income: Differences between traditional accounting and throughput accounting," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(2).
  26. Casey Helgeson & Robert E. Nicholas & Klaus Keller & Chris E. Forest & Nancy Tuana, 2022. "Attention to values helps shape convergence research," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 170(1), pages 1-19, January.
  27. Eker, Sibel & van Daalen, Els, 2015. "A model-based analysis of biomethane production in the Netherlands and the effectiveness of the subsidization policy under uncertainty," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 178-196.
  28. Steinmann, Patrick & Auping, Willem L. & Kwakkel, Jan H., 2020. "Behavior-based scenario discovery using time series clustering," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
  29. de Wildt, Tristan E. & Boijmans, Anne R. & Chappin, Emile J.L. & Herder, Paulien M., 2021. "An ex ante assessment of value conflicts and social acceptance of sustainable heating systems," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
  30. Michas, Serafeim & Stavrakas, Vassilis & Papadelis, Sotiris & Flamos, Alexandros, 2020. "A transdisciplinary modeling framework for the participatory design of dynamic adaptive policy pathways," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  31. Erik Pruyt & Tushith Islam, 2015. "On generating and exploring the behavior space of complex models," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 31(4), pages 220-249, October.
  32. Zsifkovits, Martin & Zsifkovits, Johannes & Pickl, Stefan W., 2016. "Simulating healthcare quality innovation based on a novel medical treatment: The case of Hepatitis-C in Europe," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 113(PB), pages 454-459.
  33. Moallemi, Enayat A. & de Haan, Fjalar & Kwakkel, Jan & Aye, Lu, 2017. "Narrative-informed exploratory analysis of energy transition pathways: A case study of India's electricity sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 271-287.
  34. Willis, Graham & Cave, Siôn & Kunc, Martin, 2018. "Strategic workforce planning in healthcare: A multi-methodology approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 267(1), pages 250-263.
  35. Hidayatno, Akhmad & Jafino, Bramka Arga & Setiawan, Andri D. & Purwanto, Widodo Wahyu, 2020. "When and why does transition fail? A model-based identification of adoption barriers and policy vulnerabilities for transition to natural gas vehicles," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  36. Luciano Raso & Jan Kwakkel & Jos Timmermans & Geremy Panthou, 2019. "How to evaluate a monitoring system for adaptive policies: criteria for signposts selection and their model-based evaluation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 153(1), pages 267-283, March.
  37. Robert Ward & James Houghton & Ivan A. Perl, 2015. "SDXchange: stand-alone translators to enable XMILE model adaptation, transportation, and exchange," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 31(1-2), pages 86-95, January.
  38. Tim Gruchmann & Ani Melkonyan & Klaus Krumme, 2018. "Logistics Business Transformation for Sustainability: Assessing the Role of the Lead Sustainability Service Provider (6PL)," Logistics, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-19, October.
  39. Hafner, Sarah & Anger-Kraavi, Annela & Monasterolo, Irene & Jones, Aled, 2020. "Emergence of New Economics Energy Transition Models: A Review," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
  40. Luciano Raso & Jan Kwakkel & Jos Timmermans, 2019. "Assessing the Capacity of Adaptive Policy Pathways to Adapt on Time by Mapping Trigger Values to Their Outcomes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-16, March.
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