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Estimation of time-dependent Hurst exponents with variational smoothing and application to forecasting foreign exchange rates

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Matthieu Garcin, 2019. "Estimation of Hurst exponents in a stationary framework [Estimation d'exposants de Hurst dans un cadre stationnaire]," Post-Print hal-02163662, HAL.
  2. Matthieu Garcin, 2023. "Complexity measure, kernel density estimation, bandwidth selection, and the efficient market hypothesis," Papers 2305.13123, arXiv.org.
  3. Lahmiri, Salim & Bekiros, Stelios & Bezzina, Frank, 2020. "Multi-fluctuation nonlinear patterns of European financial markets based on adaptive filtering with application to family business, green, Islamic, common stocks, and comparison with Bitcoin, NASDAQ, ," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 538(C).
  4. Matthieu Garcin, 2019. "Fractal analysis of the multifractality of foreign exchange rates [Analyse fractale de la multifractalité des taux de change]," Working Papers hal-02283915, HAL.
  5. Matthieu Garcin, 2019. "Hurst Exponents And Delampertized Fractional Brownian Motions," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(05), pages 1-26, August.
  6. Fu, Sibao & Li, Yongwu & Sun, Shaolong & Li, Hongtao, 2019. "Evolutionary support vector machine for RMB exchange rate forecasting," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 521(C), pages 692-704.
  7. Ayoub Ammy-Driss & Matthieu Garcin, 2021. "Efficiency of the financial markets during the COVID-19 crisis: time-varying parameters of fractional stable dynamics," Working Papers hal-02903655, HAL.
  8. Matthieu Garcin & Martino Grasselli, 2022. "Long versus short time scales: the rough dilemma and beyond," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 45(1), pages 257-278, June.
  9. Ayoub Ammy-Driss & Matthieu Garcin, 2020. "Efficiency of the financial markets during the COVID-19 crisis: time-varying parameters of fractional stable dynamics," Papers 2007.10727, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
  10. Farid Makhlouf & Refk Selmi, 2021. "The role of remittances in times of socio-political unrest: Evidence from Tunisia," Working Papers hal-03263815, HAL.
  11. Matthieu Garcin & Jules Klein & Sana Laaribi, 2020. "Estimation of time-varying kernel densities and chronology of the impact of COVID-19 on financial markets," Papers 2007.09043, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
  12. Matthieu Garcin & Jules Klein & Sana Laaribi, 2022. "Estimation of time-varying kernel densities and chronology of the impact of COVID-19 on financial markets," Working Papers hal-02901988, HAL.
  13. Tripathi Manas & Kumar Saurabh & Inani Sarveshwar Kumar, 2021. "Exchange Rate Forecasting Using Ensemble Modeling for Better Policy Implications," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(1), pages 43-71, January.
  14. Matthieu Garcin, 2021. "Forecasting with fractional Brownian motion: a financial perspective," Working Papers hal-03230167, HAL.
  15. Matthieu Garcin, 2018. "Hurst exponents and delampertized fractional Brownian motions," Working Papers hal-01919754, HAL.
  16. Ammy-Driss, Ayoub & Garcin, Matthieu, 2023. "Efficiency of the financial markets during the COVID-19 crisis: Time-varying parameters of fractional stable dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 609(C).
  17. Yang, Mo & Wang, Ruotong & Zeng, Zixun & Li, Peizhi, 2024. "Improved prediction of global gold prices: An innovative Hurst-reconfiguration-based machine learning approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  18. Arouxet, M. Belén & Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Pastor, Verónica E. & Vampa, Victoria, 2022. "Covid-19 impact on cryptocurrencies: Evidence from a wavelet-based Hurst exponent," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 596(C).
  19. Xavier Brouty & Matthieu Garcin, 2022. "A statistical test of market efficiency based on information theory," Working Papers hal-03760478, HAL.
  20. Matthieu Garcin, 2021. "Forecasting with fractional Brownian motion: a financial perspective," Papers 2105.09140, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2021.
  21. Matthieu Garcin & Martino Grasselli, 2020. "Long vs Short Time Scales: the Rough Dilemma and Beyond," Papers 2008.07822, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
  22. Xavier Brouty & Matthieu Garcin, 2022. "A statistical test of market efficiency based on information theory," Papers 2208.11976, arXiv.org.
  23. Matthieu Garcin & Maxime L. D. Nicolas, 2021. "Nonparametric estimator of the tail dependence coefficient: balancing bias and variance," Papers 2111.11128, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
  24. Brouty, Xavier & Garcin, Matthieu, 2024. "Fractal properties, information theory, and market efficiency," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
  25. Gaël Kermarrec, 2020. "On Estimating the Hurst Parameter from Least-Squares Residuals. Case Study: Correlated Terrestrial Laser Scanner Range Noise," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(5), pages 1-23, April.
  26. Frezza, Massimiliano & Bianchi, Sergio & Pianese, Augusto, 2021. "Fractal analysis of market (in)efficiency during the COVID-19," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
  27. Bianchi, Sergio & Pianese, Augusto, 2018. "Time-varying Hurst–Hölder exponents and the dynamics of (in)efficiency in stock markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 64-75.
  28. Massimiliano Frezza & Sergio Bianchi & Augusto Pianese, 2022. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk in turbulent stock markets via the local regularity of the price process," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 99-132, January.
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