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Comparison of modeling methods for Loss Given Default

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Cited by:

  1. Michela Pelizza & Klaus R. Schenk-Hoppé, 2020. "Pricing Defaulted Italian Mortgages," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-14, February.
  2. Nithi Sopitpongstorn & Param Silvapulle & Jiti Gao, 2017. "Local logit regression for recovery rate," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 19/17, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  3. Chen, Xiaowei & Wang, Gang & Zhang, Xiangting, 2019. "Modeling recovery rate for leveraged loans," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 231-241.
  4. Christophe Hurlin & Jérémy Leymarie & Antoine Patin, 2018. "Loss functions for LGD model comparison," Working Papers halshs-01516147, HAL.
  5. Yao, Xiao & Crook, Jonathan & Andreeva, Galina, 2015. "Support vector regression for loss given default modelling," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 240(2), pages 528-538.
  6. Nazemi, Abdolreza & Fatemi Pour, Farnoosh & Heidenreich, Konstantin & Fabozzi, Frank J., 2017. "Fuzzy decision fusion approach for loss-given-default modeling," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(2), pages 780-791.
  7. Kaposty, Florian & Kriebel, Johannes & Löderbusch, Matthias, 2020. "Predicting loss given default in leasing: A closer look at models and variable selection," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 248-266.
  8. Gambetti, Paolo & Gauthier, Geneviève & Vrins, Frédéric, 2019. "Recovery rates: Uncertainty certainly matters," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 371-383.
  9. Natalia Nehrebecka, 2019. "Bank loans recovery rate in commercial banks: A case study of non-financial corporations," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 37(1), pages 139-172.
  10. Distaso, Walter & Roccazzella, Francesco & Vrins, Frédéric, 2023. "Business cycle and realized losses in the consumer credit industry," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2023007, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
  11. Betz, Jennifer & Kellner, Ralf & Rösch, Daniel, 2018. "Systematic Effects among Loss Given Defaults and their Implications on Downturn Estimation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 271(3), pages 1113-1144.
  12. Pascal François, 2019. "The Determinants of Market-Implied Recovery Rates," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-15, May.
  13. Paolo Gambetti & Francesco Roccazzella & Frédéric Vrins, 2022. "Meta-Learning Approaches for Recovery Rate Prediction," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-29, June.
  14. Dimitris Andriosopoulos & Michalis Doumpos & Panos M. Pardalos & Constantin Zopounidis, 2019. "Computational approaches and data analytics in financial services: A literature review," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 70(10), pages 1581-1599, October.
  15. Agata M. Lozinskaia & Evgeniy M. Ozhegov & Alexander M. Karminsky, 2016. "Discontinuity in Relative Credit Losses: Evidence from Defaults on Government-Insured Residential Mortgages," HSE Working papers WP BRP 55/FE/2016, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
  16. Wang, Hong & Forbes, Catherine S. & Fenech, Jean-Pierre & Vaz, John, 2020. "The determinants of bank loan recovery rates in good times and bad – New evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 875-897.
  17. Barbagli, Matteo & François, Pascal & Gauthier, Geneviève & Vrins, Frédéric, 2024. "The role of CDS spreads in explaining bond recovery rates," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2024002, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
  18. Shi, Baofeng & Zhao, Xue & Wu, Bi & Dong, Yizhe, 2019. "Credit rating and microfinance lending decisions based on loss given default (LGD)," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 124-129.
  19. Li, Aimin & Li, Zhiyong & Bellotti, Anthony, 2023. "Predicting loss given default of unsecured consumer loans with time-varying survival scores," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  20. Sopitpongstorn, Nithi & Silvapulle, Param & Gao, Jiti & Fenech, Jean-Pierre, 2021. "Local logit regression for loan recovery rate," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  21. Jobst, Rainer & Kellner, Ralf & Rösch, Daniel, 2020. "Bayesian loss given default estimation for European sovereign bonds," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1073-1091.
  22. Azusa Takeyama & Nick Constantinou & Dmitri Vinogradov, 2012. "A Framework for Extracting the Probability of Default from Stock Option Prices," IMES Discussion Paper Series 12-E-14, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
  23. Gürtler, Marc & Hibbeln, Martin Thomas & Usselmann, Piet, 2018. "Exposure at default modeling – A theoretical and empirical assessment of estimation approaches and parameter choice," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 176-188.
  24. Yao, Xiao & Crook, Jonathan & Andreeva, Galina, 2017. "Is it obligor or instrument that explains recovery rate: Evidence from US corporate bond," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 1-15.
  25. Chen, Rongda & Zhou, Hanxian & Jin, Chenglu & Zheng, Wei, 2019. "Modeling of recovery rate for a given default by non-parametric method," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
  26. Chih-Kang Chu & Ruey-Ching Hwang, 2019. "Predicting Loss Distributions for Small-Size Defaulted-Debt Portfolios Using a Convolution Technique that Allows Probability Masses to Occur at Boundary Points," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 56(1), pages 95-117, August.
  27. Miller, Patrick & Töws, Eugen, 2018. "Loss given default adjusted workout processes for leases," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 189-201.
  28. Phillip Li, 2018. "Efficient MCMC estimation of inflated beta regression models," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 127-158, March.
  29. Georgescu, Oana-Maria & Ponte Marques, Aurea & Galow, Benjamin, 2024. "Loss-given-default and macroeconomic conditions," Working Paper Series 2954, European Central Bank.
  30. Andersson, Fredrik & Mayock, Tom, 2014. "Loss severities on residential real estate debt during the Great Recession," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 266-284.
  31. Olson, Luke M. & Qi, Min & Zhang, Xiaofei & Zhao, Xinlei, 2021. "Machine learning loss given default for corporate debt," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 144-159.
  32. Wei, Li & Yuan, Zhongyi, 2016. "The loss given default of a low-default portfolio with weak contagion," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 113-123.
  33. Nazemi, Abdolreza & Heidenreich, Konstantin & Fabozzi, Frank J., 2018. "Improving corporate bond recovery rate prediction using multi-factor support vector regressions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 271(2), pages 664-675.
  34. Salvatore D. Tomarchio & Antonio Punzo, 2019. "Modelling the loss given default distribution via a family of zero‐and‐one inflated mixture models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 182(4), pages 1247-1266, October.
  35. Betz, Jennifer & Kellner, Ralf & Rösch, Daniel, 2016. "What drives the time to resolution of defaulted bank loans?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 7-31.
  36. Lozinskaia Agata & Ozhegov Evgeniy, 2016. "Key Determinants of Demand, Credit Underwriting, and Performance on Government-Insured Mortgage Loans in Russia," EERC Working Paper Series 16/03e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
  37. Krivorotov, George, 2023. "Machine learning-based profit modeling for credit card underwriting - implications for credit risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
  38. Yao, Xiao & Crook, Jonathan & Andreeva, Galina, 2017. "Enhancing two-stage modelling methodology for loss given default with support vector machines," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 263(2), pages 679-689.
  39. Yuta Tanoue & Satoshi Yamashita & Hideaki Nagahata, 2020. "Comparison study of two-step LGD estimation model with probability machines," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(3), pages 155-177, September.
  40. Jennifer Betz & Ralf Kellner & Daniel Rösch, 2021. "Time matters: How default resolution times impact final loss rates," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(3), pages 619-644, June.
  41. Jean‐François Bégin & Mathieu Boudreault & Mathieu Thériault, 2024. "Leveraging prices from credit and equity option markets for portfolio risk management," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(1), pages 122-147, January.
  42. Xia, Yufei & Zhao, Junhao & He, Lingyun & Li, Yinguo & Yang, Xiaoli, 2021. "Forecasting loss given default for peer-to-peer loans via heterogeneous stacking ensemble approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1590-1613.
  43. Konstantin Gorgen & Abdolreza Nazemi & Melanie Schienle, 2022. "Robust Knockoffs for Controlling False Discoveries With an Application to Bond Recovery Rates," Papers 2206.06026, arXiv.org.
  44. Nazemi, Abdolreza & Fabozzi, Frank J., 2018. "Macroeconomic variable selection for creditor recovery rates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 14-25.
  45. Hwang, Ruey-Ching & Chu, Chih-Kang & Yu, Kaizhi, 2020. "Predicting LGD distributions with mixed continuous and discrete ordinal outcomes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1003-1022.
  46. Hurlin, Christophe & Leymarie, Jérémy & Patin, Antoine, 2018. "Loss functions for Loss Given Default model comparison," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 268(1), pages 348-360.
  47. Tong, Edward N.C. & Mues, Christophe & Thomas, Lyn, 2013. "A zero-adjusted gamma model for mortgage loan loss given default," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 548-562.
  48. Marc Gürtler & Marvin Zöllner, 2023. "Heterogeneities among credit risk parameter distributions: the modality defines the best estimation method," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 45(1), pages 251-287, March.
  49. Hussain, Inayat & Durand, Robert B. & Harris, Mark N., 2016. "Default resolution and access to fresh credit in an emerging market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 256-274.
  50. Francesca Castelli & Damien Moore & Gabriel Ehrlich & Jeffrey Perry, 2014. "Modeling the Budgetary Costs of FHA's Single Family Mortgage Insurance: Working Paper 2014-05," Working Papers 45711, Congressional Budget Office.
  51. Emily Johnston Ross & Lynn Shibut, 2021. "Loss Given Default, Loan Seasoning and Financial Fragility: Evidence from Commercial Real Estate Loans at Failed Banks," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 630-661, November.
  52. Starosta, Wojciech, 2021. "Loss given default decomposition using mixture distributions of in-default events," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 292(3), pages 1187-1199.
  53. Hui Ye & Anthony Bellotti, 2019. "Modelling Recovery Rates for Non-Performing Loans," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-17, February.
  54. Ellen Tobback & David Martens & Tony Van Gestel & Bart Baesens, 2014. "Forecasting Loss Given Default models: impact of account characteristics and the macroeconomic state," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 65(3), pages 376-392, March.
  55. Aneta Ptak-Chmielewska & Paweł Kopciuszewski & Anna Matuszyk, 2023. "Application of the kNN-Based Method and Survival Approach in Estimating Loss Given Default for Unresolved Cases," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-14, February.
  56. Shi, Baofeng & Chi, Guotai & Li, Weiping, 2020. "Exploring the mismatch between credit ratings and loss-given-default: A credit risk approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 420-428.
  57. Krüger, Steffen & Rösch, Daniel, 2017. "Downturn LGD modeling using quantile regression," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 42-56.
  58. Ruey-Ching Hwang & Huimin Chung & C. K. Chu, 2016. "A Two-Stage Probit Model for Predicting Recovery Rates," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 50(3), pages 311-339, December.
  59. Altman, Edward I. & Kalotay, Egon A., 2014. "Ultimate recovery mixtures," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 116-129.
  60. Nazemi, Abdolreza & Baumann, Friedrich & Fabozzi, Frank J., 2022. "Intertemporal defaulted bond recoveries prediction via machine learning," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 297(3), pages 1162-1177.
  61. Aleksey Min & Matthias Scherer & Amelie Schischke & Rudi Zagst, 2020. "Modeling Recovery Rates of Small- and Medium-Sized Entities in the US," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-18, October.
  62. Ying Wu & Garvit Arora & Xuan Mei, 2024. "Using CPI in Loss Given Default Forecasting Models for Commercial Real Estate Portfolio," Papers 2402.15498, arXiv.org.
  63. Ruey-Ching Hwang & Chih-Kang Chu & Kaizhi Yu, 2021. "Predicting the Loss Given Default Distribution with the Zero-Inflated Censored Beta-Mixture Regression that Allows Probability Masses and Bimodality," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 59(3), pages 143-172, June.
  64. Hui-Ching Chuang & Jau-er Chen, 2023. "Exploring Industry-Distress Effects on Loan Recovery: A Double Machine Learning Approach for Quantiles," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-20, February.
  65. Hartmann-Wendels, Thomas & Miller, Patrick & Töws, Eugen, 2014. "Loss given default for leasing: Parametric and nonparametric estimations," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 364-375.
  66. Tong, Edward N.C. & Mues, Christophe & Brown, Iain & Thomas, Lyn C., 2016. "Exposure at default models with and without the credit conversion factor," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 252(3), pages 910-920.
  67. Stephan Höcht & Aleksey Min & Jakub Wieczorek & Rudi Zagst, 2022. "Explaining Aggregated Recovery Rates," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-30, January.
  68. Kellner, Ralf & Nagl, Maximilian & Rösch, Daniel, 2022. "Opening the black box – Quantile neural networks for loss given default prediction," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  69. Wojciech Starosta, 2020. "Modelling Recovery Rate for Incomplete Defaults Using Time Varying Predictors," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 12(2), pages 195-225, June.
  70. Konstantin Belyaev & Aelita Belyaeva & Tomas Konecny & Jakub Seidler & Martin Vojtek, 2012. "Macroeconomic Factors as Drivers of LGD Prediction: Empirical Evidence from the Czech Republic," Working Papers 2012/12, Czech National Bank.
  71. Han, Chulwoo & Jang, Youngmin, 2013. "Effects of debt collection practices on loss given default," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 21-31.
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