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Coherent forecasting in integer time series models

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  1. Dimitris Karlis & Naushad Mamode Khan & Yuvraj Sunecher, 2024. "The Negative Binomial INAR(1) Process under Different Thinning Processes: Can We Separate between the Different Models?," Stats, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-15, July.
  2. Wooi Chen Khoo & Seng Huat Ong & Biswas Atanu, 2022. "Coherent Forecasting for a Mixed Integer-Valued Time Series Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(16), pages 1-15, August.
  3. Annika Homburg & Christian H. Weiß & Layth C. Alwan & Gabriel Frahm & Rainer Göb, 2019. "Evaluating Approximate Point Forecasting of Count Processes," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-28, July.
  4. Christian Weiß, 2008. "Thinning operations for modeling time series of counts—a survey," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 92(3), pages 319-341, August.
  5. Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
    • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
  6. Serge Darolles & Gaëlle Le Fol & Yang Lu & Ran Sun, 2018. "Bivariate integer-autoregressive process with an application to mutual fund flows," Post-Print hal-04590149, HAL.
  7. Mohammadipour, Maryam & Boylan, John E., 2012. "Forecast horizon aggregation in integer autoregressive moving average (INARMA) models," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 703-712.
  8. Chen Xi & Wang Lihong, 2013. "Conditional L1 estimation for random coefficient integer-valued autoregressive processes," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 30(3), pages 221-235, August.
  9. Bisaglia, Luisa & Canale, Antonio, 2016. "Bayesian nonparametric forecasting for INAR models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 70-78.
  10. Simon Nik & Christian H. Weiß, 2020. "CLAR(1) point forecasting under estimation uncertainty," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 74(4), pages 489-516, November.
  11. Ruijun Bu & Brendan McCabe & Kaddour Hadri, 2008. "Maximum likelihood estimation of higher‐order integer‐valued autoregressive processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(6), pages 973-994, November.
  12. Shirozhan, M. & Bakouch, Hassan S. & Mohammadpour, M., 2023. "A flexible INAR(1) time series model with dependent zero-inflated count series and medical contagious cases," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 216-230.
  13. Bu, Ruijun & McCabe, Brendan, 2008. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in INAR(p) models: A likelihood-based Markov Chain approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 151-162.
  14. Yousung Park & Hee-Young Kim, 2012. "Diagnostic checks for integer-valued autoregressive models using expected residuals," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 951-970, November.
  15. Christian H. Weiß, 2013. "Integer-valued autoregressive models for counts showing underdispersion," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(9), pages 1931-1948, September.
  16. Jentsch, Carsten & Weiß, Christian, 2017. "Bootstrapping INAR models," Working Papers 17-02, University of Mannheim, Department of Economics.
  17. Dungey Mardi & Martin Vance L. & Tang Chrismin & Tremayne Andrew, 2020. "A threshold mixed count time series model: estimation and application," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(2), pages 1-18, April.
  18. Ruijun Bu & Kaddour Hadri & Brendan McCabe, 2006. "Conditional Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Higher-Order Integer-Valued Autoregressive Processes," Working Papers 200619, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
  19. Yang Lu, 2021. "The predictive distributions of thinning‐based count processes," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(1), pages 42-67, March.
  20. Xinyang Wang & Dehui Wang & Kai Yang, 2021. "Integer-valued time series model order shrinkage and selection via penalized quasi-likelihood approach," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 84(5), pages 713-750, July.
  21. Jung, Robert C. & Kukuk, Martin & Liesenfeld, Roman, 2006. "Time series of count data: modeling, estimation and diagnostics," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 2350-2364, December.
  22. Víctor Enciso‐Mora & Peter Neal & T. Subba Rao, 2009. "Efficient order selection algorithms for integer‐valued ARMA processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 1-18, January.
  23. Raju Maiti & Atanu Biswas, 2015. "Coherent forecasting for stationary time series of discrete data," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 99(3), pages 337-365, July.
  24. Maia, Gisele de Oliveira & Barreto-Souza, Wagner & Bastos, Fernando de Souza & Ombao, Hernando, 2021. "Semiparametric time series models driven by latent factor," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1463-1479.
  25. Hee-Young Kim & Yousung Park, 2008. "A non-stationary integer-valued autoregressive model," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 49(3), pages 485-502, July.
  26. Vance L. Martin & Andrew R. Tremayne & Robert C. Jung, 2014. "Efficient Method Of Moments Estimators For Integer Time Series Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(6), pages 491-516, November.
  27. Darolles, Serge & Fol, Gaëlle Le & Lu, Yang & Sun, Ran, 2019. "Bivariate integer-autoregressive process with an application to mutual fund flows," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 181-203.
  28. Robert C. Jung & Andrew R. Tremayne, 2020. "Maximum-Likelihood Estimation in a Special Integer Autoregressive Model," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-15, June.
  29. Luisa Bisaglia & Margherita Gerolimetto, 2015. "Forecasting integer autoregressive processes of order 1: are simple AR competitive?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(3), pages 1652-1660.
  30. Luisa Bisaglia & Margherita Gerolimetto, 2019. "Model-based INAR bootstrap for forecasting INAR(p) models," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 34(4), pages 1815-1848, December.
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