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The incremental information content of investor fear gauge for volatility forecasting in the crude oil futures market
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- Aktham Maghyereh & Hussein Abdoh, 2022. "Global financial crisis versus COVID‐19: Evidence from sentiment analysis," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 218-248, August.
- Li, Yan & Liang, Chao & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jiqian, 2020. "The role of the IDEMV in predicting European stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
- Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Ying & Zhu, Xuehong & Guo, Yaoqi, 2020. "The impact of energy trade patterns on CO2 emissions: An emergy and network analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Boateng, Ebenezer & Adam, Anokye M. & Junior, Peterson Owusu, 2021. "Modelling the heterogeneous relationship between the crude oil implied volatility index and African stocks in the coronavirus pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Jin‐Yu Chen & Xue‐Hong Zhu & Mei‐Rui Zhong, 2021. "Time‐varying effects and structural change of oil price shocks on industrial output: Evidence from China's oil industrial chain," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3460-3472, July.
- Gong, Xu & Liu, Yun & Wang, Xiong, 2021. "Dynamic volatility spillovers across oil and natural gas futures markets based on a time-varying spillover method," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
- Xiao, Jihong & Chen, Xian & Li, Yang & Wen, Fenghua, 2022. "Oil price uncertainty and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
- Wen, Danyan & He, Mengxi & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2024. "Forecasting crude oil market volatility: A comprehensive look at uncertainty variables," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 1022-1041.
- Min Zhou & Xiaoqun Liu & Guoan Tang, 2018. "Effect of urban tourist satisfaction on urban macroeconomics in China: A spatial panel econometric analysis with a spatial Durbin model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(10), pages 1-24, October.
- He, Zhifang, 2020. "Dynamic impacts of crude oil price on Chinese investor sentiment: Nonlinear causality and time-varying effect," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 131-153.
- Wen, Fenghua & Wu, Nan & Gong, Xu, 2020. "China's carbon emissions trading and stock returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Bissoondoyal-Bheenick, Emawtee & Brooks, Robert & Do, Hung Xuan & Smyth, Russell, 2020. "Exploiting the heteroskedasticity in measurement error to improve volatility predictions in oil and biofuel feedstock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Xu, Weiju & Ma, Feng & Chen, Wang & Zhang, Bing, 2019. "Asymmetric volatility spillovers between oil and stock markets: Evidence from China and the United States," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 310-320.
- Qian, Lihua & Zeng, Qing & Li, Tao, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and oil price volatility: Evidence from Markov-switching model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 29-38.
- Dai, Zhifeng & Peng, Yongxin, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market sector time-varying spillover effect: Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Forecasting the Chinese stock volatility across global stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 466-477.
- Wang, You & Gong, Xu, 2020. "Does financial development have a non-linear impact on energy consumption? Evidence from 30 provinces in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
- Xu Gong & Boqiang Lin, 2021. "Effects of structural changes on the prediction of downside volatility in futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1124-1153, July.
- Yang, Xin & Wen, Shigang & Zhao, Xian & Huang, Chuangxia, 2020. "Systemic importance of financial institutions: A complex network perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
- Zheng, Yan & Yin, Hua & Zhou, Min & Liu, Wenhua & Wen, Fenghua, 2021. "Impacts of oil shocks on the EU carbon emissions allowances under different market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Song, Yi & Huang, Jianbai & Zhang, Yijun & Wang, Zhiping, 2019. "Drivers of metal consumption in China: An input-output structural decomposition analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-1.
- Boqiang Lin & Tong Su, 2023. "Uncertainties and green bond markets: Evidence from tail dependence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4458-4475, October.
- Yin, Libo & Cao, Hong & Guo, Yumei, 2024. "The information content of Shanghai crude oil futures vs WTI benchmark: Evidence from temporal and spatial dimensions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
- Li, Ning & Li, Jiaojiao & Wang, Qizhou & Yan, Dairong & Wang, Liguan & Jia, Mingtao, 2024. "A novel copper price forecasting ensemble method using adversarial interpretive structural model and sparrow search algorithm," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Dai, Zhifeng & Zhou, Huiting & Wen, Fenghua & He, Shaoyi, 2020. "Efficient predictability of stock return volatility: The role of stock market implied volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Niu, Zibo & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "The role of uncertainty measures in volatility forecasting of the crude oil futures market before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
- Dai, Zhifeng & Tang, Rui & Zhang, Xiaotong, 2023. "A new multilayer network for measuring interconnectedness among the energy firms," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Toan Luu Duc Huynh & Muhammad Shahbaz & Muhammad Ali Nasir & Subhan Ullah, 2022. "Financial modelling, risk management of energy instruments and the role of cryptocurrencies," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 47-75, June.
- Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang & Feng Ma, 2021. "Forecasting US stock market volatility: How to use international volatility information," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 733-768, August.
- Bouteska, Ahmed & Ha, Le Thanh & Bhuiyan, Faruk & Sharif, Taimur & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2024. "Contagion between investor sentiment and green bonds in China during the global uncertainties," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 469-484.
- Sun, Chuanwang & Zhan, Yanhong & Peng, Yiqi & Cai, Weiyi, 2022. "Crude oil price and exchange rate: Evidence from the period before and after the launch of China's crude oil futures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
- Zhang, Yaojie & Wahab, M.I.M. & Wang, Yudong, 2023. "Forecasting crude oil market volatility using variable selection and common factor," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 486-502.
- Ren, Xiaohang & Duan, Kun & Tao, Lizhu & Shi, Yukun & Yan, Cheng, 2022. "Carbon prices forecasting in quantiles," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
- Qiao, Gaoxiu & Teng, Yuxin & Li, Weiping & Liu, Wenwen, 2019. "Improving volatility forecasting based on Chinese volatility index information: Evidence from CSI 300 index and futures markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 133-151.
- Zhang, Yue-Jun & Ma, Shu-Jiao, 2019. "How to effectively estimate the time-varying risk spillover between crude oil and stock markets? Evidence from the expectile perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- Zhu, Xuehong & Ding, Qian & Chen, Jinyu, 2022. "How does critical mineral trade pattern affect renewable energy development? The mediating role of renewable energy technological progress," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
- Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Li, Xiao-Ming, 2024. "Stabilizing global foreign exchange markets in the time of COVID-19: The role of vaccinations," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
- Zhikai Zhang & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang & Qunwei Wang, 2024. "The predictability of carbon futures volatility: New evidence from the spillovers of fossil energy futures returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 557-584, April.
- Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Adekoya, Oluwasegun Babatunde & Rashidi, Muhammad Mahdi & Ghasemi Doudkanlou, Mohammad & Dolatabadi, Ali, 2022. "Forecast of Bayesian-based dynamic connectedness between oil market and Islamic stock indices of Islamic oil-exporting countries: Application of the cascade-forward backpropagation network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Dai, Zhifeng & Zhu, Huan & Dong, Xiaodi, 2020. "Forecasting Chinese industry return volatilities with RMB/USD exchange rate," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 539(C).
- Huang, Jionghao & Li, Ziruo & Xia, Xiaohua, 2021. "Network diffusion of international oil volatility risk in China's stock market: Quantile interconnectedness modelling and shock decomposition analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1-39.
- Dai, Xingyu & Wang, Qunwei & Zha, Donglan & Zhou, Dequn, 2020. "Multi-scale dependence structure and risk contagion between oil, gold, and US exchange rate: A wavelet-based vine-copula approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Mei, Dexiang & Ma, Feng & Liao, Yin & Wang, Lu, 2020. "Geopolitical risk uncertainty and oil future volatility: Evidence from MIDAS models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Luo, Jiawen & Ji, Qiang & Klein, Tony & Todorova, Neda & Zhang, Dayong, 2020. "On realized volatility of crude oil futures markets: Forecasting with exogenous predictors under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
- Wu, Fei & Xiao, Xuanqi & Zhou, Xinyu & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Complex risk contagions among large international energy firms: A multi-layer network analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
- Chen, Xiaoqi & Gong, Xu & Yang, Zhonghuang, 2021. "Media report favoritism and consequences: A comparison of traditional and new energy sector," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Liu, Yue & Sun, Huaping & Zhang, Jijian & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2020. "Detection of volatility regime-switching for crude oil price modeling and forecasting," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
- Lian, Ziying & Cai, Jun & Webb, Robert I., 2020. "Oil stocks, risk factors, and tail behavior," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & van Eyden, Reneé & Wohar, Mark E., 2021.
"The impact of disaggregated oil shocks on state-level real housing returns of the United States: The role of oil dependence,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
- Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Renee van Eyden & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The Impact of Disaggregated Oil Shocks on State-Level Real Housing Returns of the United States: The Role of Oil Dependence," Working Papers 202096, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gong, Xu & Chen, Liqiang & Lin, Boqiang, 2020. "Analyzing dynamic impacts of different oil shocks on oil price," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda & Výrost, Tomáš, 2021. "Predicting risk in energy markets: Low-frequency data still matter," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).
- Wang, TianTian & Zhang, Dayong & Clive Broadstock, David, 2019. "Financialization, fundamentals, and the time-varying determinants of US natural gas prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 707-719.
- Chen, Ying & Zhu, Xuehong & Li, Hailing, 2022. "The asymmetric effects of oil price shocks and uncertainty on non-ferrous metal market: Based on quantile regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
- Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2021. "Financial stress, economic policy uncertainty, and oil price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Qin, Yun & Hong, Kairong & Chen, Jinyu & Zhang, Zitao, 2020. "Asymmetric effects of geopolitical risks on energy returns and volatility under different market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
- Chen, Xian & Li, Yang & Xiao, Jihong & Wen, Fenghua, 2020. "Oil shocks, competition, and corporate investment: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
- Zhang, Xinxin & Bouri, Elie & Xu, Yahua & Zhang, Gongqiu, 2022. "The asymmetric relationship between returns and implied higher moments: Evidence from the crude oil market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
- Fu, Tong & Huang, Dasen & Feng, Lingbing & Tang, Xiaoping, 2024. "More is better? The impact of predictor choice on the INE oil futures volatility forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
- Gong, Xu & Wang, You & Lin, Boqiang, 2021. "Assessing dynamic China’s energy security: Based on functional data analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
- O-Chia Chuang & Chenxu Yang, 2022. "Identifying the Determinants of Crude Oil Market Volatility by the Multivariate GARCH-MIDAS Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-14, April.
- Tangyong Liu & Xu Gong & Boqiang Lin, 2021. "Analyzing the frequency dynamics of volatility spillovers across precious and industrial metal markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(9), pages 1375-1396, September.
- He, Huizi & Sun, Mei & Li, Xiuming & Mensah, Isaac Adjei, 2022. "A novel crude oil price trend prediction method: Machine learning classification algorithm based on multi-modal data features," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PA).
- Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020.
"The predictive power of oil price shocks on realized volatility of oil: A note,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
- Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2020. "The Predictive Power of Oil Price Shocks on Realized Volatility of Oil: A Note," Working Papers 202044, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gong, Xu & Lin, Anlan & Chen, Xiaoqi, 2022. "CEO–CFO gender congruence and stock price crash risk in energy companies," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 591-609.
- Zhang, Yaojie & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu, 2019. "Out-of-sample prediction of the oil futures market volatility: A comparison of new and traditional combination approaches," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1109-1120.
- Li, Wenlan & Cheng, Yuxiang & Fang, Qiang, 2020. "Forecast on silver futures linked with structural breaks and day-of-the-week effect," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
- Panagiotis Delis & Stavros Degiannakis & Konstantinos Giannopoulos, 2023.
"What Should be Taken into Consideration when Forecasting Oil Implied Volatility Index?,"
The Energy Journal, , vol. 44(5), pages 231-250, September.
- Delis, Panagiotis & Degiannakis, Stavros & Giannopoulos, Kostantinos, 2021. "What should be taken into consideration when forecasting oil implied volatility index?," MPRA Paper 110831, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ma, Yu & Zhang, Yang & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Do oil shocks affect Chinese bank risk?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
- Li, Yan & Huynh, Luu Duc Toan & Xu, Yongan & Liang, Hao, 2023. "The forecast ability of a belief-based momentum indicator in full-day, daytime, and nighttime volatilities of Chinese oil futures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
- Qin, Yun & Chen, Jinyu & Dong, Xuesong, 2021. "Oil prices, policy uncertainty and travel and leisure stocks in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
- Wen, Fenghua & Zhang, Keli & Gong, Xu, 2021. "The effects of oil price shocks on inflation in the G7 countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
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- Chen, Rongda & Bao, Weiwei & Jin, Chenglu, 2021. "Investor sentiment and predictability for volatility on energy futures Markets: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 112-129.
- Zhang, Yue-Jun & Zhang, Han, 2023. "Volatility forecasting of crude oil futures market: Which structural change-based HAR models have better performance?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
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"Oil price volatility forecasts: What do investors need to know?,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
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- Xu Gong & Boqiang Lin, 2022. "Predicting the volatility of crude oil futures: The roles of leverage effects and structural changes," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 610-640, January.
- Zhu, Xuehong & Liao, Jianhui & Chen, Ying, 2021. "Time-varying effects of oil price shocks and economic policy uncertainty on the nonferrous metals industry: From the perspective of industrial security," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
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