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House prices, expectations, and time-varying fundamentals
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- Jean-Louis Bago & Koffi Akakpo & Imad Rherrad & Ernest Ouédraogo, 2021.
"Volatility Spillover and International Contagion of Housing Bubbles,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-14, June.
- Bago, Jean-Louis & Akakpo, Koffi & Rherrad, Imad & Ouédraogo, Ernest, 2020. "Volatility Spillover and International Contagion of Housing Bubbles," MPRA Paper 100098, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Renhe Liu & Eddie Chi-man Hui & Jiaqi Lv & Yi Chen, 2017. "What Drives Housing Markets: Fundamentals or Bubbles?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 395-415, November.
- Patrick Pintus & Jacek Suda, 2019.
"Learning Financial Shocks and the Great Recession,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 31, pages 123-146, January.
- Patrick A. Pintus & Jacek Suda, 2013. "Learning Financial Shocks and the Great Recession," AMSE Working Papers 1333, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France, revised 05 Jun 2013.
- Patrick Pintus & Jacek Suda, 2018. "Learning Financial Shocks and the Great Recession," GRAPE Working Papers 28, GRAPE Group for Research in Applied Economics.
- Patrick A. Pintus & Jacek Suda, 2019. "Learning Financial Shocks and the Great Recession," Post-Print hal-01889886, HAL.
- Jacek Suda & Patrick Pintus, 2015. "Learning Financial Shocks and the Great Recession," 2015 Meeting Papers 577, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Patrick A. Pintus & Jacek Suda, 2016. "Learning Financial Shocks and the Great Recession," Working Papers halshs-00830480, HAL.
- Knut Are Aastveit & André K. Anundsen, 2022.
"Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy in Regional Housing Markets,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 14(4), pages 499-529, October.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Andr K. Anundsen, 2017. "Asymmetric effects of monetary policy in regional housing markets," Working Papers No 7/2017, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Knut Are Aastveit & André K. Anundsen, 2017. "Asymmetric effects of monetary policy in regional housing markets," Working Paper 2017/25, Norges Bank.
- Knut Are Aastveit & André K. Anundsen, 2018. "Asymmetric effects of monetary policy in regional housing markets," Working Papers 2018/08, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB).
- Lansing, Kevin J. & LeRoy, Stephen F. & Ma, Jun, 2022.
"Examining the sources of excess return predictability: Stochastic volatility or market inefficiency?,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 50-72.
- Kevin J. Lansing & Stephen F. LeRoy & Jun Ma, 2022. "Examining the Sources of Excess Return Predictability: Stochastic Volatility or Market Inefficiency?," Working Paper Series 2018-14, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Mark E. Wohar, 2020.
"Time-varying role of macroeconomic shocks on house prices in the US and UK: evidence from over 150 years of data,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2249-2285, May.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Constantinos Katrakilidis & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Time-Varying Role of Macroeconomic Shocks on House Prices in the US and UK: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201765, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-459 is not listed on IDEAS
- Engsted, Tom & Hviid, Simon J. & Pedersen, Thomas Q., 2016.
"Explosive bubbles in house prices? Evidence from the OECD countries,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 14-25.
- Tom Engsted & Simon J. Hviid & Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2015. "Explosive bubbles in house prices? Evidence from the OECD countries," CREATES Research Papers 2015-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Andrea Gazzani, 2020.
"News and noise bubbles in the housing market,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 36, pages 46-72, April.
- Andrea Gazzani, 2019. "Online Appendix to "News and noise bubbles in the housing market"," Online Appendices 18-262, Review of Economic Dynamics.
- John C. Williams, 2013.
"Bubbles tomorrow and bubbles yesterday, but never bubbles today?,"
FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sept23.
- John C. Williams, 2013. "Bubbles tomorrow and bubbles yesterday, but never bubbles today?," Speech 122, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- François Cohen & Matthieu Glachant & Magnus Söderberg, 2017.
"The cost of adapting to climate change: evidence from the US residential sector,"
GRI Working Papers
263, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
- François Cohen & Matthieu Glachant & Magnus Söderberg, 2017. "The cost of adapting to climate change: evidence from the US residential sector," Working Papers hal-01695171, HAL.
- Begley, Jaclene & Chan, Sewin, 2018. "The effect of housing wealth shocks on work and retirement decisions," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 180-195.
- Edward L. Glaeser & Charles G. Nathanson, 2014. "Housing Bubbles," NBER Working Papers 20426, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Caines, Colin, 2020.
"Can learning explain boom-bust cycles in asset prices? An application to the US housing boom,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
- Colin C. Caines, 2016. "Can Learning Explain Boom-Bust Cycles In Asset Prices? An Application to the US Housing Boom," International Finance Discussion Papers 1181, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Colin Caines, 2017. "Can Learning Explain Boom-Bust Cycles in Asset Prices? An Application to the US Housing Boom," 2017 Meeting Papers 695, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Hjalmarsson, Erik & Österholm, Pär, 2017. "Households’ Mortgage-Rate Expectations: More Realistic than at First Glance?," Working Papers 2017:9, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Xian Zheng, 2015. "Expectation, volatility and liquidity in the housing market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(37), pages 4020-4035, August.
- Daniel Melser, 2017. "Residential Real Estate, Risk, Return and Home Characteristics: Evidence from Sydney 2002-14," ERES eres2017_296, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
- Kindermann, Fabian & Le Blanc, Julia & Piazzesi, Monika & Schneider, Martin, 2021.
"Learning about Housing Cost: Survey Evidence from the German House Price Boom,"
VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics
242386, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Fabian Kindermann & Julia Le Blanc & Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2021. "Learning about Housing Cost: Survey Evidence from the German House Price Boom," NBER Working Papers 28895, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kindermann, Fabian & Le Blanc, Julia & Piazzesi, Monika & Schneider, Martin, 2021. "Learning about Housing Cost: Survey Evidence from the German House Price Boom," CEPR Discussion Papers 16223, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Greg Howard & Jack Liebersohn, 2023.
"Regional Divergence and House Prices,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 49, pages 312-350, July.
- Greg Howard & Carl Liebersohn, 2019. "What Explains U.S. House Prices? Regional Income Divergence," 2019 Meeting Papers 1054, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Howard, Greg & Liebersohn, Jack, 2020. "Regional Divergence and House Prices," Working Paper Series 2020-04, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
- Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Gisle J. Natvik, 2018.
"Explaining the Boom–Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse‐Engineering Approach,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(8), pages 1751-1783, December.
- Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Gisle J. Natvik, 2015. "Explaining the Boom-Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse-Engineering Approach," Working Paper 2015/11, Norges Bank.
- Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Gisele J. Natvik, 2015. "Explaining the Boom-Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse-Engineering Approach," Working Paper Series 2015-2, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Bolt, Wilko & Demertzis, Maria & Diks, Cees & Hommes, Cars & Leij, Marco van der, 2019.
"Identifying booms and busts in house prices under heterogeneous expectations,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 234-259.
- Wilko Bolt & Maria Demertzis & Cees Diks & Cars Hommes & Marco van der Leij, 2014. "Identifying Booms and Busts in House Prices under Heterogeneous Expectations," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-157/II, Tinbergen Institute.
- Bolt, W. & Demertzis, D. & Diks, C.G.H. & Van der Leij, M.J., 2014. "Identifying Booms and Busts in House Prices under Heterogeneous Expectations," CeNDEF Working Papers 14-13, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
- Wilko Bolt & Maria Demertzis & Cees Diks & Cars Hommes & Marco van der Leij, 2014. "Identifying Booms and Busts in House Prices under Heterogeneous Expectations," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 540, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
- Biktimirov, Ernest N. & Sokolyk, Tatyana & Ayanso, Anteneh, 2024. "What is behind housing sentiment?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
- Bekiros, Stelios & Nilavongse, Rachatar & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2020. "Expectation-driven house prices and debt defaults: The effectiveness of monetary and macroprudential policies," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
- André, Christophe & Caraiani, Petre & Călin, Adrian Cantemir & Gupta, Rangan, 2022.
"Can monetary policy lean against housing bubbles?,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Christophe André & Petre Caraiani & Adrian Cantemir Čalin & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Can Monetary Policy Lean against Housing Bubbles?," Working Papers 201877, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Engsted, Tom & Pedersen, Thomas Q., 2014.
"Housing market volatility in the OECD area: Evidence from VAR based return decompositions,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 91-103.
- Tom Engsted & Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2013. "Housing market volatility in the OECD area: Evidence from VAR based return decompositions," CREATES Research Papers 2013-04, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Silvo, Aino, 2018. "Information and credit cycles: Causes and consequences of financial instability," Bank of Finland Scientific Monographs, Bank of Finland, volume 0, number e52, July.
- Gelain, Paolo & Iskrev, Nikolay & J. Lansing, Kevin & Mendicino, Caterina, 2019. "Inflation dynamics and adaptive expectations in an estimated DSGE model," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 258-277.
- Sarah Kiesl-Reiter & Melanie Lührmann & Jonathan Shaw & Joachim Winter, 2024. "The Formation of Subjective House Price Expectations," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 491, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
- Margaret Jacobson, 2019.
"Beliefs, Aggregate Risk, and the U.S. Housing Boom,"
2019 Meeting Papers
1549, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Margaret M. Jacobson, 2022. "Beliefs, Aggregate Risk, and the U.S. Housing Boom," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-061, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Alessia Bruzzo & Marco Mazzoli, 2018. "An Empirical Investigation on the European Housing Market Prices," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 12, pages 29-42, May.
- Gete, Pedro, 2020. "Expectations and the housing boom and bust. An open economy view," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
- Pauline Gandré, 2020.
"Learning, house prices and macro-financial linkages,"
EconomiX Working Papers
2020-10, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Pauline Gandré, 2020. "Learning, house prices and macro-financial linkages," Working Papers hal-04159701, HAL.
- Glaeser, Edward L. & Nathanson, Charles G., 2015. "Housing Bubbles," Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, in: Gilles Duranton & J. V. Henderson & William C. Strange (ed.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 0, pages 701-751, Elsevier.
- Malmendier, Ulrike M. & Botsch, Matthew J., 2020. "The Long Shadows of the Great Inflation: Evidence from Residential Mortgages," CEPR Discussion Papers 14934, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lambertini, Luisa & Mendicino, Caterina & Teresa Punzi, Maria, 2013.
"Leaning against boom–bust cycles in credit and housing prices,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 1500-1522.
- Luisa Lambertini, 2011. "Leaning Against Boom-Bust Cycles in Credit and Housing Prices," Working Papers w201108, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Luisa Lambertini & Caterina Mendicino & Maria Teresa Punzi, 2011. "Leaning Against Boom-Bust Cycles in Credit and Housing Prices," Working Papers CELEG 1104, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
- Luisa Lambertini & Caterina Mendicino & Maria Teresa Punzi, 2011. "Leaning Against Boom-Bust Cycles in Credit and Housing Prices," Working Papers 201101, Center for Fiscal Policy, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Lausanne, revised Mar 2011.
- Engsted, Tom & Pedersen, Thomas Q., 2015.
"Predicting returns and rent growth in the housing market using the rent-price ratio: Evidence from the OECD countries,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 257-275.
- Tom Engsted & Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2012. "Predicting returns and rent growth in the housing market using the rent-to-price ratio: Evidence from the OECD countries," CREATES Research Papers 2012-58, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Pedro Gete, 2015. "Housing demands, savings gluts and current account dynamics," Globalization Institute Working Papers 221, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Floro, Danvee, 2019. "Testing the predictive ability of house price bubbles for macroeconomic performance: A meta-analytic approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 164-181.
- Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Caterina Mendicino, 2013.
"House Prices, Credit Growth, and Excess Volatility: Implications for Monetary and Macroprudential Policy,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 9(2), pages 219-276, June.
- Gelain, Paolo & Lansing, Kevin J. & Mendicino, Caterina, 2012. "House Prices, Credit Growth, and Excess Volatility: Implications for Monetary and Macroprudential Policy," Dynare Working Papers 21, CEPREMAP.
- Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Caterina Mendicino, 2012. "House prices, credit growth, and excess volatility: implications for monetary and macroprudential policy," Working Paper Series 2012-11, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Caterina Mendicino, 2012. "House prices, credit growth, and excess volatility: Implications for monetary and macroprudential policy," Working Paper 2012/08, Norges Bank.
- Granziera, Eleonora & Kozicki, Sharon, 2015.
"House price dynamics: Fundamentals and expectations,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 152-165.
- Eleonora Granziera & Sharon Kozicki, 2012. "House Price Dynamics: Fundamentals and Expectations," Staff Working Papers 12-12, Bank of Canada.
- Branch, William A. & Evans, George W., 2013.
"Bubbles, crashes and risk,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 254-258.
- William A. Branch & George W. Evans, 2013. "Bubbles, Crashes and Risk," CDMA Working Paper Series 201306, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
- Neroli Austin & Geordie Reid, 2017. "NZSIM: A model of the New Zealand economy for forecasting and policy analysis," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 80, pages 1-14, January.
- Beatrice Simo-Kengne & Stephen Miller & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2016.
"Evolution of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the US: the Role of Asset Returns,"
The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 226-243, April.
- Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Evolution of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the US: The Role of Asset Returns," Working Papers 1405, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
- Rojas, Alejandro, 2021. "Mortgage credit growth for lower-income borrowers during the 2000s housing boom: Evidence and implications," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 220-233.
- Tom Engsted & Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2016. "The predictive power of dividend yields for future infl?ation: Money illusion or rational causes?," CREATES Research Papers 2016-11, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Daniel L. Tortorice, 2019.
"Long-Run Expectations, Learning and the US Housing Market,"
Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 45(4), pages 497-531, October.
- Daniel Tortorice, 2015. "Long Run Expectations, Learning and the U.S. Housing Market," Working Papers 85, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Jean-Louis Bago & Imad Rherrad & Koffi Akakpo & Ernest Ouédraogo, 2022. "An Empirical Investigation on Bubbles Contagion in Scandinavian Real Estate Markets," Businesses, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-8, March.
- Chi-Young Choi & Alexander Chudik & Aaron Smallwood, 2024. "Time-varying Persistence of House Price Growth: The Role of Expectations and Credit Supply," Globalization Institute Working Papers 426, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Hjalmarsson, Erik & Österholm, Pär, 2019. "A micro-data analysis of households’ expectations of mortgage rates," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
- Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2013.
"Evolution of Monetary Policy in the US: The Role of Asset Prices,"
Working Papers
201343, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Evolution of Monetary Policy in the US: The Role of Asset Prices," Working papers 2013-20, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2013.
- Zheng, Min & Wang, Hefei & Wang, Chengzhang & Wang, Shouyang, 2017. "Speculative behavior in a housing market: Boom and bust," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 50-64.
- Galina An & Charles Becker & Enoch Cheng, 2021. "Bubbling Away: Forecasting Real Estate Prices, Rents, and Bubbles in a Transition Economy," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 63(2), pages 263-317, June.
- Tsai, I-Chun, 2020. "Alternative explanation of the money illusion: The effect of unexpected low inflation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 110-123.
- Bago, Jean-Louis & Souratié, Wamadini M. & Ouédraogo, Moussa & Ouédraogo, Ernest & Dembélé, Alou, 2019. "Financial Bubbles : New Evidence from South Africa’s Stock Market," MPRA Paper 95685, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- John Muellbauer & Pierre St-Amant & David Williams, 2015. "Credit Conditions and Consumption, House Prices and Debt: What Makes Canada Different?," Staff Working Papers 15-40, Bank of Canada.