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Resolution of policy uncertainty and sudden declines in volatility
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- Gu, Chen & Kurov, Alexander & Wolfe, Marketa Halova, 2018. "Relief Rallies after FOMC Announcements as a Resolution of Uncertainty," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 1-18.
- Ruijun Bu & Fredj Jawadi & Yuyi Li, 2020.
"A multifactor transformed diffusion model with applications to VIX and VIX futures,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(1), pages 27-53, January.
- Ruijun Bu & Fredj Jawadi & Yuyi Li, 2018. "A Multi-Factor Transformed Diffusion Model with Applications to VIX and VIX Futures," Working Papers 20183, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
- Lorella Fatone & Francesca Mariani & Francesco Zirilli, 2024. "Calibration in the “real world” of a partially specified stochastic volatility model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(1), pages 75-102, January.
- Megaritis, Anastasios & Vlastakis, Nikolaos & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2021.
"Stock market volatility and jumps in times of uncertainty,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Megaritis, Anastasios & Vlastakis, Nikolaos & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2020. "Stock market volatility and jumps in times of uncertainty," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 29200, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Hodula, Martin & Janků, Jan & Malovaná, Simona & Ngo, Ngoc Anh, 2024.
"Geopolitical risks and their impact on global macro-financial stability: Literature and measurements,"
BOFIT Discussion Papers
9/2024, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Martin Hodula & Jan Janku & Simona Malovana & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2024. "Geopolitical Risks and Their Impact on Global Macro-Financial Stability: Literature and Measurements," Working Papers 2024/8, Czech National Bank.
- Liu, Hong & Tang, Xiaoxiao & Zhou, Guofu, 2022. "Recovering the FOMC risk premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(1), pages 45-68.
- Wu, Bin & Chen, Pengzhan & Ye, Wuyi, 2024. "Variance swaps with mean reversion and multi-factor variance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 315(1), pages 191-212.
- Katherine B. Ensor & Yu Han & Barbara Ostdiek & Stuart M. Turnbull, 0. "Dynamic jump intensities and news arrival in oil futures markets," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 0, pages 1-34.
- Hong, Yun & Qu, Bo & Yang, Zhuohang & Jiang, Yanhui, 2023. "The contagion of fake news concern and extreme stock market risks during the COVID-19 period," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Cisil Sarisoy & Juan M. Londono & Bo Sun & Deepa D. Datta & Thiago Ferreira & Olesya Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius Rodriguez & Ilk, 2023.
"What Is Certain about Uncertainty?,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(2), pages 624-654, June.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Deepa Dhume Datta & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Olesya V. Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Juan M. Londono & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius del Giudice Rodriguez & J, 2020. "What is Certain about Uncertainty?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1294, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Thomas Eisenbach & Martin Schmalz & Marianne Andries, 2015. "Asset Pricing with Horizon-Dependent Risk Aversion," 2015 Meeting Papers 1069, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Felix Matthys & Emilio Osambela & Ronnie Sircar, 2021.
"When Uncertainty and Volatility Are Disconnected: Implications for Asset Pricing and Portfolio Performance,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2021-063, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Felix Matthys & Emilio Osambela & Ronnie Sircar, 2021. "When Uncertainty and Volatility Are Disconnected: Implications for Asset Pricing and Portfolio Performance," NBER Working Papers 29195, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bruno Feunou & Mohammad R Jahan-Parvar & Cédric Okou, 2018.
"Downside Variance Risk Premium,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(3), pages 341-383.
- Bruno Feunou & Mohammad Jahan-Parvar & Cedric Okou, 2015. "Downside Variance Risk Premium," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-20, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Bruno Feunou & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Cédric Okou, 2015. "Downside Variance Risk Premium," Staff Working Papers 15-36, Bank of Canada.
- Ahmed Al Samman & Mostafa Kotb GabAlla, 2020. "Impact of Country Risk and Return on FPI," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 57-68.
- Bucci, Andrea & Palomba, Giulio & Rossi, Eduardo, 2023. "The role of uncertainty in forecasting volatility comovements across stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Michael D Bauer & Aeimit Lakdawala & Philippe Mueller, 2022.
"Market-Based Monetary Policy Uncertainty,"
The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 132(644), pages 1290-1308.
- Lakdawala, Aeimit & Bauer, Michael & Mueller, Philippe, 2019. "Market-Based Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 2019-2, Michigan State University, Department of Economics.
- Michael D. Bauer & Aeimit K. Lakdawala & Philippe Mueller, 2021. "Market-Based Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Working Paper Series 2019-12, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Aeimit Lakdawala & Michael Bauer & Philippe Mueller, 2019. "Market-Based Monetary Policy Uncertainty," 2019 Meeting Papers 1403, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Michael D. Bauer & Aeimit Lakdawala & Philippe Mueller, 2019. "Market-based monetary policy uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 7621, CESifo.
- Baxa, Jaromir & Buliskeria, Nino & Elminejad, Ali & Havranek, Tomas & Havrankova, Zuzana & Kundu, Suranjana, 2023. "A comment on Bauer, Lakdawala, Mueller: Market-Based Monetary Policy Uncertainty (2022)," I4R Discussion Paper Series 77, The Institute for Replication (I4R).
- Wang, Qi & Wang, Zerong, 2020. "VIX valuation and its futures pricing through a generalized affine realized volatility model with hidden components and jump," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Yu, Miao, 2023. "Forecasting Sector-Level Stock Market Volatility: The Role of World Uncertainty Index," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
- Vilhelmsson, Anders, 2020. "Macro news and long-run volatility expectations," Knut Wicksell Working Paper Series 2020/1, Lund University, Knut Wicksell Centre for Financial Studies.
- Marianne Andries & Thomas M Eisenbach & Martin C Schmalz, 2024.
"Horizon-Dependent Risk Aversion and the Timing and Pricing of Uncertainty,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 37(11), pages 3272-3334.
- Marianne Andries & Thomas M. Eisenbach & Martin C. Schmalz, 2014. "Horizon-Dependent Risk Aversion and the Timing and Pricing of Uncertainty," Staff Reports 703, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Andries, Marianne & Eisenbach, Thomas & Schmalz, Martin, 2024. "Horizon-Dependent Risk Aversion and the Timing and Pricing of Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 19196, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Bucci & Giulio Palomba & Eduardo Rossi, 2019. "Does macroeconomics help in predicting stock markets volatility comovements? A nonlinear approach," Working Papers 440, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
- Luu Duc Huynh, Toan, 2020. "The effect of uncertainty on the precious metals market: New insights from Transfer Entropy and Neural Network VAR," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
- Oh, Dong Hwan & Park, Yang-Ho, 2023. "GARCH option pricing with volatility derivatives," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Peter Van Tassel & Erik Vogt, 2016.
"Global variance term premia and intermediary risk appetite,"
Staff Reports
789, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Peter Van Tassel, 2017. "Global Variance Term Premia and Intermediary Risk Appetite," 2017 Meeting Papers 149, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Zaremba, Adam & Kizys, Renatas & Aharon, David Y., 2021. "Volatility in International Sovereign Bond Markets: The role of government policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
- Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Eugenia Grecu, 2023.
"Government Interventions and Sovereign Bond Market Volatility during COVID-19: A Quantile Analysis,"
Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-14, February.
- Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Eugenia Grecu, 2022. "Government Interventions and Sovereign Bond Market Volatility during COVID 19: A Quantile Analysis," Working Papers hal-03195678, HAL.
- Ye, Wuyi & Xia, Wenjing & Wu, Bin & Chen, Pengzhan, 2022. "Using implied volatility jumps for realized volatility forecasting: Evidence from the Chinese market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Daniel Perico Ortiz, 2023. "Economic policy statements, social media, and stock market uncertainty: An analysis of Donald Trump’s tweets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(2), pages 333-367, June.
- Bu, Ruijun & Hizmeri, Rodrigo & Izzeldin, Marwan & Murphy, Anthony & Tsionas, Mike, 2023.
"The contribution of jump signs and activity to forecasting stock price volatility,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 144-164.
- , 2019. "The Contribution of Jump Signs and Activity to Forecasting Stock Price Volatility," Working Papers 1902, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 17 Dec 2022.
- Ruijun Bu & Rodrigo Hizmeri & Marwan Izzeldin & Anthony Murphy & Mike G. Tsionas, 2021. "The Contribution of Jump Signs and Activity to Forecasting Stock Price Volatility," Working Papers 202109, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
- Kurov, Alexander & Wolfe, Marketa Halova & Gilbert, Thomas, 2021. "The disappearing pre-FOMC announcement drift," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
- Christopher Thiem, 2020.
"Cross-Category, Trans-Pacific Spillovers of Policy Uncertainty and Financial Market Volatility,"
Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 317-342, April.
- Thiem, Christopher, 2018. "Cross-category, trans-Pacific spillovers of policy uncertainty and financial market volatility," Ruhr Economic Papers 782, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Isiaka Akande Raifu, 2023. "Examining structural stability and time-varying causality between economic policy uncertainty and Asia-Pacific Islamic stock price," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(1), pages 28-37.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Todorov, Viktor, 2023. "The jump leverage risk premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(3).
- Yang-Ho Park, 2019. "Variance Disparity and Market Frictions," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-059, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Kolokolov, Aleksey & Renò, Roberto, 2017.
"Systemic co-jumps,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(3), pages 563-591.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Kolokolov, Alexey & Renò, Roberto, 2016. "Systemic co-jumps," SAFE Working Paper Series 149, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
- Ai, Hengjie & Han, Leyla Jianyu & Pan, Xuhui Nick & Xu, Lai, 2022. "The cross section of the monetary policy announcement premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 247-276.
- Fabian Hollstein & Marcel Prokopczuk & Chardin Wese Simen, 2019.
"The term structure of systematic and idiosyncratic risk,"
Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 435-460, April.
- Hollstein, Fabian & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2017. "The Term Structure of Systematic and Idiosyncratic Risk," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-618, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Nguyen, Thanh Cong, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty: The probability and duration of economic recessions in major European Union countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Deniz Erdemlioglu & Christopher J. Neely & Xiye Yang, 2023. "Systemic Tail Risk: High-Frequency Measurement, Evidence and Implications," Working Papers 2023-016, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Wang, Yuchen & Wang, Xiaoming, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and information intermediary: The case of short seller," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
- Pacati, Claudio & Pompa, Gabriele & Renò, Roberto, 2018. "Smiling twice: The Heston++ model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 185-206.
- Difang Huang & Yubin Li & Xinjie Wang & Zhaodong (Ken) Zhong, 2022. "Does the Federal Open Market Committee cycle affect credit risk?," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 51(1), pages 143-167, March.
- Hunter Ng, 2024. "Strategic Control of Facial Expressions by the Fed Chair," Papers 2410.20214, arXiv.org.
- Byomakesh Debata & Jitendra Mahakud, 2018. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market liquidity," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 10(1), pages 112-135, April.
- Bin Wu & Pengzhan Chen & Wuyi Ye, 2021. "Jump activity analysis of the equity index and the corresponding volatility: Evidence from the Chinese market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1055-1073, July.
- Bruno Feunou & Cédric Okou, 2018.
"Risk‐neutral moment‐based estimation of affine option pricing models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(7), pages 1007-1025, November.
- Bruno Feunou & Cédric Okou, 2017. "Risk-Neutral Moment-Based Estimation of Affine Option Pricing Models," Staff Working Papers 17-55, Bank of Canada.
- Kundu, Srikanta & Paul, Amartya, 2022. "Effect of economic policy uncertainty on stock market return and volatility under heterogeneous market characteristics," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 597-612.
- Park, Yang-Ho, 2020. "Variance disparity and market frictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(2), pages 326-348.
- Perico Ortiz, Daniel, 2021. "The high frequency impact of economic policy narratives on stock market uncertainty," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 02/2021, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
- Katherine B. Ensor & Yu Han & Barbara Ostdiek & Stuart M. Turnbull, 2020. "Dynamic jump intensities and news arrival in oil futures markets," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(4), pages 292-325, July.
- Fulop, Andras & Li, Junye, 2019. "Bayesian estimation of dynamic asset pricing models with informative observations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 209(1), pages 114-138.