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Predicting binary outcomes

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Ghysels, Eric & Babii, Andrii & Chen, Xi & Kumar, Rohit, 2020. "Binary Choice with Asymmetric Loss in a Data-Rich Environment: Theory and an Application to Racial Justice," CEPR Discussion Papers 15418, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Drehmann, Mathias & Juselius, Mikael, 2014. "Evaluating early warning indicators of banking crises: Satisfying policy requirements," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 759-780.
  3. Toru Kitagawa & Aleksey Tetenov, 2018. "Who Should Be Treated? Empirical Welfare Maximization Methods for Treatment Choice," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(2), pages 591-616, March.
  4. Chen, Le-Yu & Lee, Sokbae, 2018. "Best subset binary prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 206(1), pages 39-56.
  5. Nyberg, Henri & Pönkä, Harri, 2016. "International sign predictability of stock returns: The role of the United States," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 323-338.
  6. Graham Elliott & Allan Timmermann, 2016. "Economic Forecasting," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 10740.
  7. Davide Viviano, 2019. "Policy Targeting under Network Interference," Papers 1906.10258, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
  8. Daniel F. Pellatt, 2022. "PAC-Bayesian Treatment Allocation Under Budget Constraints," Papers 2212.09007, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
  9. Lahiri, Kajal & Yang, Liu, 2013. "Forecasting Binary Outcomes," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1025-1106, Elsevier.
  10. Robert P. Lieli & Yu-Chin Hsu, 2019. "Using the area under an estimated ROC curve to test the adequacy of binary predictors," Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 100-130, January.
  11. Aastveit, Knut Are & Anundsen, André K. & Herstad, Eyo I., 2019. "Residential investment and recession predictability," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1790-1799.
  12. Kai Feng & Han Hong & Ke Tang & Jingyuan Wang, 2019. "Decision Making with Machine Learning and ROC Curves," Papers 1905.02810, arXiv.org.
  13. Lieli, Robert P. & White, Halbert, 2010. "The construction of empirical credit scoring rules based on maximization principles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(1), pages 110-119, July.
  14. Toru Kitagawa & Aleksey Tetenov, 2015. "Who should be treated? Empirical welfare maximization methods for treatment choice," CeMMAP working papers 10/15, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  15. Pönkä, Harri, 2016. "Real oil prices and the international sign predictability of stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 79-87.
  16. Martin Feldkircher & Thomas Gruber & Isabella Moder, 2014. "Using a Threshold Approach to Flag Vulnerabilities in CESEE Economies," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 3, pages 8-30.
  17. Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2011. "Performance Evaluation of Zero Net-Investment Strategies," NBER Working Papers 17150, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  18. Mathias Drehmann & Kostas Tsatsaronis, 2014. "The credit-to-GDP gap and countercyclical capital buffers: questions and answers," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
  19. André K. Anundsen & Karsten Gerdrup & Frank Hansen & Kasper Kragh‐Sørensen, 2016. "Bubbles and Crises: The Role of House Prices and Credit," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1291-1311, November.
  20. Travis J. Berge, 2014. "Forecasting Disconnected Exchange Rates," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(5), pages 713-735, August.
  21. Davide Viviano & Jelena Bradic, 2020. "Fair Policy Targeting," Papers 2005.12395, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
  22. Baidoo, Edwin & Natarajan, Ramachandran, 2021. "Profit-based credit models with lender’s attitude towards risk and loss," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
  23. Kajal Lahiri & Cheng Yang, 2022. "ROC approach to forecasting recessions using daily yield spreads," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 57(4), pages 191-203, October.
  24. Travis J. Berge, 2015. "Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators: Model Averaging and Selection over the Business Cycle," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(6), pages 455-471, September.
  25. Davide Viviano & Jess Rudder, 2020. "Policy design in experiments with unknown interference," Papers 2011.08174, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
  26. Jianghao Chu & Tae-Hwy Lee & Aman Ullah, 2024. "Asymmetric AdaBoost for Maximum Score Estimation of High-dimensional Binary Choice Regression Models," Working Papers 202414, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
  27. Jiun-Hua Su, 2019. "Model Selection in Utility-Maximizing Binary Prediction," Papers 1903.00716, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2020.
  28. Kajal Lahiri & Cheng Yang, 2023. "ROC and PRC Approaches to Evaluate Recession Forecasts," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(2), pages 119-148, September.
  29. Timothy Christensen & Hyungsik Roger Moon & Frank Schorfheide, 2020. "Robust Forecasting," Papers 2011.03153, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
  30. Jianghao Chu & Tae-Hwy Lee & Aman Ullah, 2023. "Asymmetric AdaBoost for High-dimensional Maximum Score Regression," Working Papers 202306, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
  31. Su, Jiun-Hua, 2021. "Model selection in utility-maximizing binary prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 223(1), pages 96-124.
  32. Blaskowitz, Oliver & Herwartz, Helmut, 2011. "On economic evaluation of directional forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1058-1065, October.
  33. Stanislav Anatolyev & Natalia Kryzhanovskaya, 2009. "Directional Prediction of Returns under Asymmetric Loss: Direct and Indirect Approaches," Working Papers w0136, New Economic School (NES).
  34. Madden, Gary & Mayer, Walter & Wu, Chen & Tran, Thien, 2015. "The forecasting accuracy of models of post-award network deployment: An application of maximum score tests," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1153-1158.
  35. Halbert White & Karim Chalak, 2008. "Identifying Structural Effects in Nonseparable Systems Using Covariates," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 734, Boston College Department of Economics.
  36. Geršl, Adam & Jašová, Martina, 2018. "Credit-based early warning indicators of banking crises in emerging markets," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 18-31.
  37. Florios, Kostas & Skouras, Spyros, 2008. "Exact computation of max weighted score estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 86-91, September.
  38. Nyberg, Henri, 2011. "Forecasting the direction of the US stock market with dynamic binary probit models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 561-578, April.
  39. Lee, Seung Jung & Posenau, Kelly E. & Stebunovs, Viktors, 2020. "The anatomy of financial vulnerabilities and banking crises," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
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