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Uniform Inference in Autoregressive Models

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Cited by:

  1. Ulrich K. Müller & Andriy Norets, 2016. "Coverage Inducing Priors in Nonstandard Inference Problems," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 111(515), pages 1233-1241, July.
  2. Christopher J. Neely & David E. Rapach, 2008. "Real interest rate persistence: evidence and implications," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 90(Nov), pages 609-642.
  3. Paul Christian & Christopher B Barrett, 2024. "Spurious Regressions and Panel IV Estimation: Revisiting the Causes of Conflict," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 134(659), pages 1069-1099.
  4. Donald W.K. Andrews & Sukjin Han, 2008. "Invalidity of the Bootstrap and the m Out of n Bootstrap for Interval Endpoints Defined by Moment Inequalities," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1671, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  5. Lee, Ji Hyung, 2016. "Predictive quantile regression with persistent covariates: IVX-QR approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(1), pages 105-118.
  6. James A. Duffy & Jerome R. Simons, 2020. "Cointegration without Unit Roots," Papers 2002.08092, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
  7. Mohitosh Kejriwal & Xuewen Yu, 2019. "Generalized Forecasr Averaging in Autoregressions with a Near Unit Root," Purdue University Economics Working Papers 1318, Purdue University, Department of Economics.
  8. Donald W. K. Andrews & Xiaoxia Shi, 2013. "Inference Based on Conditional Moment Inequalities," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(2), pages 609-666, March.
  9. Firouz Fallahi, 2019. "Persistence and stationarity of sectoral energy consumption in the US: A confidence interval approach," Energy & Environment, , vol. 30(5), pages 882-897, August.
  10. Lin, Yingqian & Tu, Yundong, 2020. "Robust inference for spurious regressions and cointegrations involving processes moderately deviated from a unit root," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(1), pages 52-65.
  11. Donna Feir & Thomas Lemieux & Vadim Marmer, 2016. "Weak Identification in Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Designs," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(2), pages 185-196, April.
  12. McCloskey, Adam, 2017. "Bonferroni-based size-correction for nonstandard testing problems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 200(1), pages 17-35.
  13. Pötscher, Benedikt M. & Preinerstorfer, David, 2018. "Controlling the size of autocorrelation robust tests," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 207(2), pages 406-431.
  14. Donald W. K. Andrews & Patrik Guggenberger, 2014. "A Conditional-Heteroskedasticity-Robust Confidence Interval for the Autoregressive Parameter," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 96(2), pages 376-381, May.
  15. Yuan Liao & Xiye Yang, 2017. "Uniform Inference for Characteristic Effects of Large Continuous-Time Linear Models," Papers 1711.04392, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
  16. Xiaohui Liu & Yuzi Liu & Yao Rao & Fucai Lu, 2021. "A Unified test for the Intercept of a Predictive Regression Model," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(2), pages 571-588, April.
  17. Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Limit Theory under Network Dependence and Nonstationarity," Papers 2308.01418, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
  18. Yoon, Gawon, 2009. "Is high real interest rate persistence an intrinsic characteristic of industrialized economies?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 359-363, March.
  19. Lui, Yiu Lim & Phillips, Peter C.B. & Yu, Jun, 2024. "Robust testing for explosive behavior with strongly dependent errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
  20. Chen, Xiaohong & Ponomareva, Maria & Tamer, Elie, 2014. "Likelihood inference in some finite mixture models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 87-99.
  21. Andrews, Donald W.K. & Cheng, Xu & Guggenberger, Patrik, 2020. "Generic results for establishing the asymptotic size of confidence sets and tests," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 496-531.
  22. Chen, Le-Yu & Szroeter, Jerzy, 2014. "Testing multiple inequality hypotheses: A smoothed indicator approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P3), pages 678-693.
  23. Andrews, Donald W.K. & Guggenberger, Patrik, 2012. "Asymptotics for LS, GLS, and feasible GLS statistics in an AR(1) model with conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 196-210.
  24. Xu Cheng & Winston Wei Dou & Zhipeng Liao, 2022. "Macro‐Finance Decoupling: Robust Evaluations of Macro Asset Pricing Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(2), pages 685-713, March.
  25. Kim, Hyeongwoo & Durmaz, Nazif, 2012. "Bias correction and out-of-sample forecast accuracy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 575-586.
  26. Hiroaki Kaido & Francesca Molinari & Jörg Stoye, 2019. "Confidence Intervals for Projections of Partially Identified Parameters," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 87(4), pages 1397-1432, July.
  27. Lorenzo Camponovo & O. Scaillet & Fabio Trojani, 2013. "Predictability Hidden by Anomalous Observations," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 13-05, Swiss Finance Institute.
  28. Eleonora Granziera & Hyungsik Roger Moon & Frank Schorfheide, 2018. "Inference for VARs identified with sign restrictions," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 9(3), pages 1087-1121, November.
  29. Anna Bykhovskaya & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2017. "Boundary Limit Theory for Functional Local to Unity Regression," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 3008, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  30. Fallahi, Firouz, 2012. "The stationarity of consumption–income ratios: Evidence from bootstrapping confidence intervals," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 137-140.
  31. Andrews, Donald W.K. & Guggenberger, Patrik, 2009. "Incorrect asymptotic size of subsampling procedures based on post-consistent model selection estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 152(1), pages 19-27, September.
  32. Yiu Lim Lui & Weilin Xiao & Jun Yu, 2022. "The Grid Bootstrap for Continuous Time Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 1390-1402, June.
  33. Ruidong Han & Xinghui Wang & Shuhe Hu, 2018. "Asymptotics of the weighted least squares estimation for AR(1) processes with applications to confidence intervals," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 27(3), pages 479-490, August.
  34. Lynda Khalaf & Beatriz Peraza López, 2020. "Simultaneous Indirect Inference, Impulse Responses and ARMA Models," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-26, April.
  35. Perron, Pierre & Yabu, Tomoyoshi, 2009. "Estimating deterministic trends with an integrated or stationary noise component," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 151(1), pages 56-69, July.
  36. Bykhovskaya, Anna & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2020. "Point optimal testing with roots that are functionally local to unity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 231-259.
  37. Natasha Kang, Da & Marmer, Vadim, 2024. "Modeling long cycles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 242(1).
  38. Linton, Oliver & Song, Kyungchul & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2010. "An improved bootstrap test of stochastic dominance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(2), pages 186-202, February.
  39. Sabzikar, Farzad & Wang, Qiying & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2020. "Asymptotic theory for near integrated processes driven by tempered linear processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 216(1), pages 192-202.
  40. Joseph P. Romano & Azeem M. Shaikh & Michael Wolf, 2010. "Hypothesis Testing in Econometrics," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 2(1), pages 75-104, September.
  41. Marcet, Albert & Jarociński, Marek, 2010. "Autoregressions in small samples, priors about observables and initial conditions," Working Paper Series 1263, European Central Bank.
  42. Jui-Chung Yang & Ke-Li Xu, 2013. "Estimation and Inference under Weak Identi cation and Persistence: An Application on Forecast-Based Monetary Policy Reaction Function," 2013 Papers pya307, Job Market Papers.
  43. José Luis Montiel Olea & Mikkel Plagborg‐Møller, 2021. "Local Projection Inference Is Simpler and More Robust Than You Think," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(4), pages 1789-1823, July.
  44. Carlos A. Medel & Pablo M. Pincheira, 2016. "The out-of-sample performance of an exact median-unbiased estimator for the near-unity AR(1) model," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 126-131, February.
  45. Yuan Liao & Xiye Yang, 2017. "Uniform Inference for Conditional Factor Models with Instrumental and Idiosyncratic Betas," Departmental Working Papers 201711, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
  46. Jungbin Hwang & Gonzalo Valdés, 2020. "Low Frequency Cointegrating Regression in the Presence of Local to Unity Regressors and Unknown Form of Serial Dependence," Working papers 2020-03, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2020.
  47. Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2020. "The uniform validity of impulse response inference in autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(2), pages 450-472.
  48. Zheng Fang, 2021. "A Unifying Framework for Testing Shape Restrictions," Papers 2107.12494, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
  49. Xu Cheng & Eric Renault & Paul Sangrey, 2024. "Identifying the Volatility Risk Price Through the Leverage Effect," PIER Working Paper Archive 24-013, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
  50. John C. Chao & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2019. "Uniform Inference in Panel Autoregression," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-28, November.
  51. Kasy Maximilian, 2019. "Uniformity and the Delta Method," Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-19, January.
  52. Lee, Ji Hyung & Linton, Oliver & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2020. "Quantilograms Under Strong Dependence," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(3), pages 457-487, June.
  53. Marcelo Moreira & Rafael Mourão & Humberto Moreira, 2016. "A critical value function approach, with an application to persistent time-series," CeMMAP working papers CWP24/16, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  54. Anna Bykhovskaya & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2018. "Boundary Limit Theory for Functional Local to Unity Regression," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(4), pages 523-562, July.
  55. Lieberman, Offer & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2020. "Hybrid stochastic local unit roots," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(1), pages 257-285.
  56. Phillips, Peter C.B., 2023. "Estimation And Inference With Near Unit Roots," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 39(2), pages 221-263, April.
  57. Fallahi, Firouz & Voia, Marcel-Cristian, 2015. "Convergence and persistence in per capita energy use among OECD countries: Revisited using confidence intervals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 246-253.
  58. Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Structural Break Detection in Quantile Predictive Regression Models with Persistent Covariates," Papers 2302.05193, arXiv.org.
  59. Anna Bykhovskaya & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2017. "Point Optimal Testing with Roots That Are Functionally Local to Unity," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 3007, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  60. Simionescu, Mihaela, 2022. "Stochastic convergence in per capita energy use in the EU-15 countries. The role of economic growth," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
  61. Yijie Fei & Yiu Lim Lui & Jun Yu, 2024. "Testing Predictability in the Presence of Persistent Errors," Working Papers 202401, University of Macau, Faculty of Business Administration.
  62. Fallahi, Firouz & Karimi, Mohammad & Voia, Marcel-Cristian, 2016. "Persistence in world energy consumption: Evidence from subsampling confidence intervals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 175-183.
  63. Fallahi, Firouz, 2017. "Stochastic convergence in per capita energy use in world," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 228-239.
  64. Liyu Dou & Ulrich K. Müller, 2021. "Generalized Local‐to‐Unity Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(4), pages 1825-1854, July.
  65. Firouz Fallahi, 2020. "Persistence and unit root in $$\text {CO}_{2}$$CO2 emissions: evidence from disaggregated global and regional data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2155-2179, May.
  66. Ke-Li Xu & Jui-Chung Yang, 2015. "Towards Uniformly Efficient Trend Estimation Under Weak/Strong Correlation and Non-stationary Volatility," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 42(1), pages 63-86, March.
  67. Bykhovskaya, Anna & Duffy, James A., 2024. "The local to unity dynamic Tobit model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 241(2).
  68. Stanislav Anatolyev & Nikolay Gospodinov, 2012. "Asymptotics of near unit roots (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 10, pages 57-71, December.
  69. Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2019. "Predictive Regressions," UC3M Working papers. Economics 28554, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
  70. Hidalgo, Javier & Lee, Jungyoon & Seo, Myung Hwan, 2019. "Robust inference for threshold regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(2), pages 291-309.
  71. Chihwa Kao & Long Liu & Rui Sun, 2021. "A bias-corrected fixed effects estimator in the dynamic panel data model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 205-225, January.
  72. Christis Katsouris, 2024. "Robust Estimation in Network Vector Autoregression with Nonstationary Regressors," Papers 2401.04050, arXiv.org.
  73. Liu-Evans Gareth D. & Phillips Garry D. A., 2012. "Bootstrap, Jackknife and COLS: Bias and Mean Squared Error in Estimation of Autoregressive Models," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 4(2), pages 1-35, November.
  74. Camponovo, Lorenzo & Scaillet, Olivier & Trojani, Fabio, 2012. "Robust subsampling," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(1), pages 197-210.
  75. Javier Hidalgo & Jungyoon Lee & Myung Hwan Seo, 2017. "Robust Inference and Testing of Continuity in Threshold Regression Models," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 590, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
  76. Christopher J. Bennett, 2009. "Consistent and Asymptotically Unbiased MinP Tests of Multiple Inequality Moment Restrictions," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 0908, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
  77. Mikusheva, Anna, 2013. "Survey on statistical inferences in weakly-identified instrumental variable models," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 29(1), pages 117-131.
  78. Khalaf, Lynda & Saunders, Charles J., 2017. "Monte Carlo forecast evaluation with persistent data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 1-10.
  79. Offer Lieberman & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2017. "Latent Variable Nonparametric Cointegrating Regression," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 3013, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  80. Zhishui Hu & Ioannis Kasparis & Qiying Wang, 2020. "Locally trimmed least squares: conventional inference in possibly nonstationary models," Papers 2006.12595, arXiv.org.
  81. Amilcar Velez, 2023. "The Local Projection Residual Bootstrap for AR(1) Models," Papers 2309.01889, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
  82. Anna Bykhovskaya & James A. Duffy, 2022. "The Local to Unity Dynamic Tobit Model," Papers 2210.02599, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
  83. Lenard Lieb & Stephan Smeekes, 2017. "Inference for Impulse Responses under Model Uncertainty," Papers 1709.09583, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
  84. Ke Sun & Linglong Kong & Hongtu Zhu & Chengchun Shi, 2024. "Optimal Treatment Allocation Strategies for A/B Testing in Partially Observable Time Series Experiments," Papers 2408.05342, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
  85. Firouz Fallahi & Mohammad Karimi & Marcel-Cristian Voia, 2014. "Are Shocks to Energy Consumption Persistent? Evidence from Subsampling Confidence Intervals," Carleton Economic Papers 14-02, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
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