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Fluctuating Confidence in Stock Markets: Implications for Returns and Volatility
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Cited by:
- Ravi Bansal & Ivan Shaliastovich, 2011.
"Learning and Asset-price Jumps,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(8), pages 2738-2780.
- Ravi Bansal & Ivan Shaliastovich, 2009. "Learning and Asset-Price Jumps," NBER Working Papers 14814, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alexander David & Pietro Veronesi, 2014. "Investors' and Central Bank's Uncertainty Embedded in Index Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(6), pages 1661-1716.
- Nengjiu Ju & Jianjun Miao, 2012.
"Ambiguity, Learning, and Asset Returns,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(2), pages 559-591, March.
- Nengjiu Ju & Jianjun Miao, "undated". "Ambiguity, Learning, and Asset Returns," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2009-014, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Ju, Nengjiu & Miao, Jianjun, 2009. "Ambiguity, Learning, and Asset Returns," MPRA Paper 14737, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Apr 2009.
- Jianjun Miao & NENGJIU JU, 2010. "Ambiguity, Learning, And Asset Returns," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2010-031, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Nengjiu Ju & Jianjun Miao, 2010. "Ambiguity, Learning, and Asset Returns," CEMA Working Papers 438, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
- Emine Boz, 2006. "Can Miracles Lead to Crises? An Informational Frictions Explanation of Emerging Markets Crises," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 19, Society for Computational Economics.
- Banerjee, Snehal & Green, Brett, 2015. "Signal or noise? Uncertainty and learning about whether other traders are informed," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(2), pages 398-423.
- Calvet, Laurent E. & Fisher, Adlai J., 2007.
"Multifrequency news and stock returns,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(1), pages 178-212, October.
- Laurent E. Calvet & Adlai J. Fisher, 2005. "Multifrequency News and Stock Returns," NBER Working Papers 11441, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Laurent-Emmanuel Calvet & Adlai J. Fisher, 2007. "Multifrequency news and stock returns," Post-Print hal-00459675, HAL.
- Laurent-Emmanuel Calvet & Adlai J. Fisher, 2011. "Multifrequency News and Stock Returns," Working Papers hal-00591678, HAL.
- Wang, Haijun, 2016. "Precautionary saving demand and consumption dynamics with the spirit of capitalism and regime switching," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 48-65.
- Guidolin, Massimo & Timmermann, Allan, 2007.
"Asset allocation under multivariate regime switching,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(11), pages 3503-3544, November.
- Massimo Guidolin & Allan Timmerman, 2006. "Asset allocation under multivariate regime switching," Working Papers 2005-002, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Suzuki, Masataka, 2018. "Continuous-time smooth ambiguity preferences," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 30-44.
- Ozan Evkaya & İsmail Gür & Bükre Yıldırım Külekci & Gülden Poyraz, 2024. "Vine Copula Approach to Understand the Financial Dependence of the Istanbul Stock Exchange Index," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(5), pages 2935-2980, November.
- Michal Pakos & Hui Chen, 2008. "Asset Pricing with Uncertainty About the Long Run," 2008 Meeting Papers 295, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Antonio Mele, 2004.
"General Properties of Rational Stock-Market Fluctuations,"
Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings
223, Econometric Society.
- Mele, Antonio, 2004. "General properties of rational stock-market fluctuations," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24701, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Mele, Antonio, 2004. "General Properties of Rational Stock-Market Fluctuations," Economics Series 153, Institute for Advanced Studies.
- Antonio Mele, 2004. "General Properties of Rational Stock-Market Fluctuations," FMG Discussion Papers dp489, Financial Markets Group.
- Buss, Adrian & Vilkov, Grigory & Uppal, Raman, 2018. "The Implications of Financial Innovation for Capital Markets and Household Welfare," CEPR Discussion Papers 13137, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Faust, Jon & Rogers, John H. & Wang, Shing-Yi B. & Wright, Jonathan H., 2007.
"The high-frequency response of exchange rates and interest rates to macroeconomic announcements,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 1051-1068, May.
- Jon Faust & John H. Rogers & Shing-Yi Wang & Jonathan H. Wright, 2003. "The high-frequency response of exchange rates and interest rates to macroeconomic announcements," International Finance Discussion Papers 784, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Samuel Olorunfemi Adams & Tanimu Mohammed & Samuel Olorunfemi Adams, 2022. "Modeling The Volatility For Some Selected Beverages Stock Returns In Nigeria (2012-2021): A Garch Model Approach," Matrix Science Mathematic (MSMK), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 6(2), pages 41-51, November.
- Honda, Toshiki, 2003. "Optimal portfolio choice for unobservable and regime-switching mean returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 45-78, October.
- Emine Boz, 2009.
"Can Miracles Lead to Crises? The Role of Optimism in Emerging Markets Crises,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(6), pages 1189-1215, September.
- Emine Boz, 2009. "Can Miracles Lead to Crises? The Role of Optimism in Emerging Markets Crises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(6), pages 1189-1215, September.
- Ms. Emine Boz, 2007. "Can Miracles Lead to Crises? the Role of Optimism in Emerging Markets Crises," IMF Working Papers 2007/223, International Monetary Fund.
- Lars Peter Hansen, 2007. "Beliefs, Doubts and Learning: Valuing Economic Risk," NBER Working Papers 12948, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Golab, Anna & Bannigidadmath, Deepa & Pham, Thach Ngoc & Thuraisamy, Kannan, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and industry return predictability – Evidence from the UK," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 433-447.
- Basak, Suleyman, 2005. "Asset pricing with heterogeneous beliefs," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(11), pages 2849-2881, November.
- O. L. V. Costa & R. B. Nabholz, 2007. "Multiperiod Mean-Variance Optimization with Intertemporal Restrictions," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 134(2), pages 257-274, August.
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Hess, Dieter & Müller, Christoph, 2012.
"Price adjustment to news with uncertain precision,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 337-355.
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Hess, Dieter E. & Müller, Christoph, 2008. "Price adjustment to news with uncertain precision," CFS Working Paper Series 2008/28, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Nikolaus Hautsch & Dieter Hess & Christoph Müller, 2008. "Price Adjustment to News with Uncertain Precision," FRU Working Papers 2008/01, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. Finance Research Unit.
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Hess, Dieter E. & Müller, Christoph, 2008. "Price adjustment to news with uncertain precision," CFR Working Papers 08-04, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Hess, Dieter & Müller, Christoph, 2011. "Price adjustment to news with uncertain precision," CFR Working Papers 08-04 [rev.], University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Hess, Dieter E. & Müller, Christoph, 2008. "Price adjustment to news with uncertain precision," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2008-025, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Hengjie Ai & Mariano Max Croce & Anthony M Diercks & Kai Li, 2018.
"News Shocks and the Production-Based Term Structure of Equity Returns,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(7), pages 2423-2467.
- Croce, Mariano & Ai, Hengjie & Li, Kai & Diercks, Anthony, 2018. "News Shocks and the Production-Based Term Structure of Equity Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 12661, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Joao Liborio, 2005. "Dynamic bond portfolio choice in a model with Gaussian diffusion regimes," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 259-270.
- Lubos Pastor & Pietro Veronesi, 2009.
"Learning in Financial Markets,"
Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 1(1), pages 361-381, November.
- Lubos Pastor & Pietro Veronesi, 2009. "Learning in Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 14646, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Veronesi, Pietro & Pástor, Luboš, 2009. "Learning in Financial Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 7127, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hening Liu, 2011. "Dynamic portfolio choice under ambiguity and regime switching mean returns," Post-Print hal-00781344, HAL.
- Tolga Cenesizoglu, 2010. "The Reaction of Stock Returns to News about Fundamentals," Cahiers de recherche 1032, CIRPEE.
- Xue, Fujing & Li, Xiaoyu & Zhang, Ting & Hu, Nan, 2021. "Stock market reactions to the COVID-19 pandemic: The moderating role of corporate big data strategies based on Word2Vec," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Veronesi, Pietro, 2004. "The Peso problem hypothesis and stock market returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 707-725, January.
- Beber, Alessandro & Breedon, Francis & Buraschi, Andrea, 2010. "Differences in beliefs and currency risk premiums," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(3), pages 415-438, December.
- Uppal, Raman & Buss, Adrian & Vilkov, Grigory, 2017. "Financial Innovation and Asset Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 12416, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Daniel Andrei & Bruce Carlin & Michael Hasler, 2019. "Asset Pricing with Disagreement and Uncertainty About the Length of Business Cycles," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(6), pages 2900-2923, June.
- Costa, O. L. V. & Paiva, A. C., 2002. "Robust portfolio selection using linear-matrix inequalities," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 889-909, June.
- Jacoby, Gady & Lee, Gemma & Paseka, Alexander & Wang, Yan, 2019. "Asset pricing with an imprecise information set," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 82-93.
- Li, Kai & Tsou, Chi-Yang & Xu, Chenjie, 2023. "Learning and the capital age premium," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 76-90.
- Paula A. Yepes-Henao & Diego A. Agudelo & Ramazan Gencay, 2018. "Muddying the waters: Who Induces Volatility in an Emerging Market?," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 16974, Universidad EAFIT.
- Eisdorfer, Assaf, 2010. "Risk-shifting and investment asymmetry," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 232-237, December.
- Agapova, Anna & Madura, Jeff, 2016. "Market uncertainty and earnings guidance," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 97-111.
- Dakhlaoui, Imen & Aloui, Chaker, 2016.
"The interactive relationship between the US economic policy uncertainty and BRIC stock markets,"
International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 141-157.
- Imen Dakhlaoui & Chaker Aloui, 2016. "The Interactive Relationship Between the US Economic Policy Uncertainty and BRIC Stock Markets," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 146, pages 141-157.
- Max Gillman & Michal Kejak & Michal Pakoš, 2015.
"Learning about Rare Disasters: Implications For Consumption and Asset Prices,"
Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 1053-1104.
- Max Gillman & Michal Kejak & Michal Pakos, 2014. "Learning about Rare Disasters: Implications for Consumptions and Asset Prices," CEU Working Papers 2014_2, Department of Economics, Central European University.
- Ravi Bansal & Ivan Shaliastovich, 2010.
"Confidence Risk and Asset Prices,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(2), pages 537-541, May.
- Ravi Bansal & Ivan Shaliastovich, 2009. "Confidence Risk and Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers 14815, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ono, Sadayuki, 2019. "Term structure dynamics in a monetary economy with learning," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 730-745.
- Bidarkota, Prasad V. & Dupoyet, Brice V. & McCulloch, J. Huston, 2009. "Asset pricing with incomplete information and fat tails," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1314-1331, June.
- Li, Tao, 2007. "Heterogeneous beliefs, asset prices, and volatility in a pure exchange economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1697-1727, May.
- Armstrong, Will J. & Cardella, Laura & Sabah, Nasim, 2021. "Information shocks, disagreement, and drift," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(3), pages 916-940.
- Alexander David & Pietro Veronesi, 2013. "What Ties Return Volatilities to Price Valuations and Fundamentals?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 121(4), pages 682-746.
- Jaroslav Borovička & Mark Hendricks & José A. Scheinkman, 2011.
"Risk-Price Dynamics,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(1), pages 3-65, Winter.
- Jaroslav Borovicka & Lars Peter Hansen & Mark Hendricks & Jose A. Scheinkman, 2009. "Risk Price Dynamics," Working Papers 1393, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Econometric Research Program..
- Jaroslav Borovička & Lars Peter Hansen & Mark Hendricks & José A. Scheinkman, 2009. "Risk Price Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 15506, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Massa, Massimo & Locarno, Alberto, 2005. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and the Stock Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 4828, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Brandt, M.W.Michael W. & Zeng, Qi & Zhang, Lu, 2004.
"Equilibrium stock return dynamics under alternative rules of learning about hidden states,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(10), pages 1925-1954, September.
- Michael Brandt, Qi Zeng and Lu Zhang, 2001. "Equilibrium Stock Return Dynamics Under Alternative Rules of Learning About Hidden States," Computing in Economics and Finance 2001 41, Society for Computational Economics.
- Veronesi, Pietro, 2019. "Heterogeneous Households under Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 13466, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Calvet, Laurent E. & Czellar, Veronika, 2015.
"Through the looking glass: Indirect inference via simple equilibria,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(2), pages 343-358.
- Calvet , Laurent & Czellar, Veronika, 2013. "Through the Looking Glass: Indirect Inference via Simple Equilibria," HEC Research Papers Series 1048, HEC Paris.
- Laurent E. Calvet & Veronika Czellar, 2014. "Through the Looking Glass: Indirect Inference via Simple Equilibria," Working Papers hal-02058272, HAL.
- Laurent E. Calvet & Veronika Czellar, 2015. "Through the Looking Glass : Indirect Inference via Simple Equilibria," Post-Print hal-02313236, HAL.
- Qin, Zhenjiang, 2013. "Speculations in option markets enhance allocation efficiency with heterogeneous beliefs and learning," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 4675-4694.
- Ngene, Geoffrey M., 2021. "What drives dynamic connectedness of the U.S equity sectors during different business cycles?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Campani, Carlos Heitor & Garcia, René & Lewin, Marcelo, 2021. "Optimal portfolio strategies in the presence of regimes in asset returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
- Hong Yan, 2009. "Estimation Uncertainty and the Equity Premium," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 9(3), pages 243-268, September.
- Alexander David & Pietro Veronesi, 2009. "What Ties Return Volatilities to Price Valuations and Fundamentals?," NBER Working Papers 15563, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Lin, Fu-Lai & Yang, Sheng-Yung & Marsh, Terry & Chen, Yu-Fen, 2018. "Stock and bond return relations and stock market uncertainty: Evidence from wavelet analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 285-294.
- Kim, Yongjin & Kuehn, Lars-Alexander & Li, Kai, 2024. "Learning about the consumption risk exposure of firms," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
- Franke, Günter & Lüders, Erik, 2006. "Return predictability and stock market crashes in a simple rational expectation models," CoFE Discussion Papers 06/05, University of Konstanz, Center of Finance and Econometrics (CoFE).
- Du, Ke & Fu, Yishu & Qin, Zhenjiang & Zhang, Shuoxun, 2020. "Regime shift, speculation, and stock price," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Cajueiro, Daniel Oliveira & Yoneyama, Takashi, 2004. "Optimal Portfolio and Consumption in a Switching Diffusion Market," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 24(2), November.
- Alexander David & Pietro Veronesi, 2011. "Investors' and Central Bank's Uncertainty Embedded in Index Options," NBER Working Papers 16764, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A., 2013.
"Oil shocks, policy uncertainty and stock market return,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 305-318.
- Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A., 2013. "Oil shocks, policy uncertainty and stock market return," MPRA Paper 49008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hening Liu & Yuzhao Zhang, 2022. "Financial Uncertainty with Ambiguity and Learning," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 2120-2140, March.
- Benzoni, Luca & Collin-Dufresne, Pierre & Goldstein, Robert S., 2011.
"Explaining asset pricing puzzles associated with the 1987 market crash,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(3), pages 552-573, September.
- Luca Benzoni & Pierre Collin-Dufresne & Robert S. Goldstein, 2010. "Explaining asset pricing puzzles associated with the 1987 market crash," Working Paper Series WP-2010-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Ziegler, Alexandre, 2002. "State-price densities under heterogeneous beliefs, the smile effect, and implied risk aversion," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(8), pages 1539-1557, September.
- Pietro Veronesi, 2019. "Heterogeneous Households under Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 25448, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- repec:pri:metric:wp033_2012_hansen_borovicka_hendricks_scheinkman_risk%20price%20dynamics. is not listed on IDEAS
- Lüders, Erik & Peisl, Bernhard, 2001. "How do investors' expectations drive asset prices?," ZEW Discussion Papers 01-15, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
- Shaliastovich, Ivan, 2015. "Learning, confidence, and option prices," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 18-42.
- Max Gillman & Michal Kejak & Michal Pakoš, 2015.
"Learning about Rare Disasters: Implications For Consumption and Asset Prices,"
Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 1053-1104.
- Max Gillman & Michal Kejak & Michal Pakos, 2014. "Learning about Rare Disasters: Implications for Consumptions and Asset Prices," CEU Working Papers 2014_2, Department of Economics, Central European University.
- Max Gillman & Michal Kejak & Michal Pakos, 2014. "Learning about Rare Disasters: Implications For Consumption and Asset Prices," Working Papers 1002, University of Missouri-St. Louis, Department of Economics.
- Berrada, Tony & Detemple, Jérôme & Rindisbacher, Marcel, 2018. "Asset pricing with beliefs-dependent risk aversion and learning," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(3), pages 504-534.
- Jennifer Conrad & Bradford Cornell & Wayne R. Landsman, 2002. "When Is Bad News Really Bad News?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(6), pages 2507-2532, December.
- Christophe Chamley, 2005. "Complementarities in Information Acquisition with Short-Term Trades," Boston University - Department of Economics - The Institute for Economic Development Working Papers Series dp-156, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Bank for International Settlements, 2006. "The recent behaviour of financial market volatility," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 29, October –.
- Cenesizoglu, Tolga, 2022. "Return decomposition over the business cycle," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Christophe Chamley, 2005. "Complementarities in Information Acquisition with Short-Term Trades," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2005-027, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Basak, Suleyman, 2004. "Asset Prices with Heterogenous Beliefs," CEPR Discussion Papers 4256, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- David Feldman, 2007. "Incomplete information equilibria: Separation theorems and other myths," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 151(1), pages 119-149, April.
- Liu, Hening, 2011. "Dynamic portfolio choice under ambiguity and regime switching mean returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 623-640, April.
- Daniel Andrei & Michael Hasler, 2020. "Dynamic Attention Behavior Under Return Predictability," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(7), pages 2906-2928, July.