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Understanding the Sources of Macroeconomic Uncertainty
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Cited by:
- Bush, Georgia & López Noria, Gabriela, 2021. "Uncertainty and exchange rate volatility: Evidence from Mexico," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 704-722.
- Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020.
"Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
- Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Working Papers 201732, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph E. Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2020.
"Rational Heuristics? Expectations And Behaviors In Evolving Economies With Heterogeneous Interacting Agents,"
Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 58(3), pages 1487-1516, July.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph E. Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2017. "Rational Heuristics? Expectations and Behaviors in Evolving Economies with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents," LEM Papers Series 2017/31, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph E. Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2020. "Rational Heuristics? Expectations and Behaviors in Evolving Economies with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents," NBER Working Papers 26922, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2017. "Rational Heuristics ? Expectations and behaviours in evolving economies with heterogeneous interacting agents," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2017-32, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2020. "Rational heuristics? Expectations and behaviors in evolving economies with heterogeneous interacting agents," Post-Print halshs-03046977, HAL.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2020. "Rational heuristics? Expectations and behaviors in evolving economies with heterogeneous interacting agents," SciencePo Working papers Main halshs-03046977, HAL.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2017. "Rational Heuristics ? Expectations and behaviors in Evolving Economies with Heterogeneous interacting agents," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03455368, HAL.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2017. "Rational Heuristics ? Expectations and behaviors in Evolving Economies with Heterogeneous interacting agents," Working Papers hal-03455368, HAL.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020.
"Assessing international commonality in macroeconomic uncertainty and its effects,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(3), pages 273-293, April.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018. "Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects," Working Papers (Old Series) 1803, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2019. "Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects," Working Papers 18-03R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea, 2019. "Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects," CEPR Discussion Papers 13970, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty And The Comovement In Buying Versus Renting In The Usa," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(3), pages 93-121, September.
- Sumru Altug & Cem Cakmakli & Fabrice Collard & Sujoy Mukerji & Han Ozsoylev, 2020.
"Ambiguous Business Cycles: A Quantitative Assessment,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 38, pages 220-237, October.
- Altug, Sumru & Collard, Fabrice & Cakmakli, Cem & Mukerji, Sujoy & Ozsöylev, Han, 2020. "Ambiguous Business Cycles: A Quantitative Assessment," TSE Working Papers 20-1107, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Sumru Altug & Fabrice Collard & Cem Çakmakli & Sujoy Mukerji & Han Özsöylev, 2020. "Ambiguous business cycles: a quantitative assessment," Post-Print hal-03039262, HAL.
- Sumru Altug & Cem Cakmakli & Fabrice Collard & Sujoy Mukerji & Han Ozsoylev, 2020. "Online Appendix to "Ambiguous Business Cycles: A Quantitative Assessment"," Online Appendices 19-269, Review of Economic Dynamics.
- Sumru Altug & Cem Cakmakli & Fabrice Collard & Sujoy Mukerji & Han Ozsoylev, 2020. "Code and data files for "Ambiguous Business Cycles: A Quantitative Assessment"," Computer Codes 19-269, Review of Economic Dynamics.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James, 2019.
"Measuring Data Uncertainty : An Application using the Bank of England’s “Fan Charts” for Historical GDP Growth,"
EMF Research Papers
24, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2019. "Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England's "Fan Charts" for Historical GDP Growth," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2019-08, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/31dhti786q9k0q2i04klh6no54 is not listed on IDEAS
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them,"
Working Papers
1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019. "Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them," Economics Working Papers 1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Artur Tarassow, 2017. "Forecasting growth of U.S. aggregate and household-sector M2 after 2000 using economic uncertainty measures," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201702, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018.
"Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Forecasting US GNP Growth: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 201667, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2017.
"The real effects of overconfidence and fundamental uncertainty shocks,"
Research Discussion Papers
37/2017, Bank of Finland.
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2017. "The real effects of overconfidence and fundamental uncertainty shocks," Research Discussion Papers 37, Bank of Finland.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2023.
"Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(3), pages 457-481, June.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James, 2020. "Real-Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty," EMF Research Papers 35, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Ibrahim D. Raheem & Sara le Roux & Simplice A. Asongu, 2019.
"The Role of Asymmetry and Uncertainties in the Capital Flows- Economic Growth Nexus,"
Research Africa Network Working Papers
19/047, Research Africa Network (RAN).
- Ibrahim D. Raheem & Sara le Roux & Simplice A. Asongu, 2019. "The Role of Asymmetry and Uncertainties in the Capital Flows- Economic Growth Nexus," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 19/047, African Governance and Development Institute..
- Ibrahim D. Raheem & Simplice A. Asongu & Sara le Roux, 2019. "The Role of Asymmetry and Uncertainties in the Capital Flows- Economic Growth Nexus," CEREDEC Working Papers 19/047, Centre de Recherche pour le Développement Economique (CEREDEC).
- Ibrahim D. Raheem & Sara le Roux & Simplice A. Asongu, 2019. "The Role of Asymmetry and Uncertainties in the Capital Flows- Economic Growth Nexus," Working Papers 19/047, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
- Raheem, Ibrahim & le Roux, Sara & Asongu, Simplice, 2019. "The Role of Asymmetry and Uncertainties in the Capital Flows-Economic Growth Nexus," MPRA Paper 101525, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Petar Sorić & Blanka Škrabić Perić & Marina Matošec, 2022. "Breaking new grounds: a fresh insight into the leading properties of business and consumer survey indicators," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 4511-4535, December.
- Saygin Sahinoz & Evren Erdogan Cosar, 2020.
"Quantifying uncertainty and identifying its impacts on the Turkish economy,"
Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(2), pages 365-387, May.
- Evren Erdogan Cosar & Sayg�n Sahinoz, 2018. "Quantifying Uncertainty and Identifying its Impacts on the Turkish Economy," Working Papers 1806, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Yin, Libo & Su, Zhi & Lu, Man, 2022. "Is oil risk important for commodity-related currency returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
- repec:zbw:bofrdp:2017_037 is not listed on IDEAS
- Ferrara, L. & Istrefi, K., 2016. "Impact des chocs d’incertitude sur l’économie mondiale – Synthèse de conférence," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 206, pages 61-68.
- Laura Nowzohour & Livio Stracca, 2020.
"More Than A Feeling: Confidence, Uncertainty, And Macroeconomic Fluctuations,"
Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 691-726, September.
- Nowzohour, Laura & Stracca, Livio, 2017. "More than a feeling: confidence, uncertainty and macroeconomic fluctuations," Working Paper Series 2100, European Central Bank.
- Danilo Cascaldi‐Garcia & Ana Beatriz Galvao, 2021.
"News and Uncertainty Shocks,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 779-811, June.
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Galvao, Ana Beatriz, 2016. "News and Uncertainty Shocks," EMF Research Papers 12, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Ana Beatriz Galvao, 2018. "News and Uncertainty Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 1240, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Berg, Kimberly A. & Mark, Nelson C., 2018.
"Measures of global uncertainty and carry-trade excess returns,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 212-227.
- Kimberly A. Berg & Nelson Mark, 2017. "Measures of Global Uncertainty and Carry-Trade Excess Returns," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2017_002, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Meinen, Philipp & Roehe, Oke, 2017.
"On measuring uncertainty and its impact on investment: Cross-country evidence from the euro area,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 161-179.
- Meinen, Philipp & Röhe, Oke, 2016. "On measuring uncertainty and its impact on investment: Cross-country evidence from the euro area," Discussion Papers 48/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik & Soupré, Mattheiu, 2016.
"Understanding the Sources of Macroeconomic Uncertainty,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
11415, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan & Matthieu Soupre, 2016. "Understanding the sources of macroeconomic uncertainty," Economics Working Papers 1531, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Dec 2018.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan & Matthieu Soupre, 2016. "Understanding the Sources of Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Working Papers 920, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Maxime Leroux & Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2017.
"Forecasting economic activity in data-rich environment,"
EconomiX Working Papers
2017-5, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Maxime Leroux & Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2017. "Forecasting economic activity in data-rich environment," Working Papers hal-04141668, HAL.
- Dalibor Stevanovic & Rachidi Kotchoni & Maxime Leroux, 2017. "Forecasting economic activity in data-rich environment," CIRANO Working Papers 2017s-05, CIRANO.
- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/31dhti786q9k0q2i04klh6no54 is not listed on IDEAS
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2019. "Measuring household uncertainty in EU countries," Research Discussion Papers 17/2019, Bank of Finland.
- Douglas de Medeiros Franco, 2022. "Expectations, Economic Uncertainty, and Sentiment," RAC - Revista de Administração Contemporânea (Journal of Contemporary Administration), ANPAD - Associação Nacional de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa em Administração, vol. 26(5), pages 210029-2100.
- Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and the Comovement in Buying versus Renting in the United States," Working Papers 201832, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2017. "Macroeconomic uncertainty indices for the Euro Area and its individual member countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 41-62, August.
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2019. "Measuring household uncertainty in EU countries," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 17/2019, Bank of Finland.
- Bucci, Andrea & Palomba, Giulio & Rossi, Eduardo, 2023. "The role of uncertainty in forecasting volatility comovements across stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Barnett William A. & Jawadi Fredj & Ftiti Zied, 2020.
"Causal relationships between inflation and inflation uncertainty,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(5), pages 1-26, December.
- William A. Barnett & Zied Ftiti & Fredj Jawadi, 2018. "The Causal Relationships between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201803, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2018.
- William A. Barnett & Fredj Jawadi & Zied Ftiti, 2020. "Causal Relationships Between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202010, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2020.
- Barnett, William A. & Jawadi, Fredj & Ftiti, Zied, 2020. "Causal Relationships between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty," MPRA Paper 101682, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Barnett, William & Ftiti, Zied & Jawadi, Fredj, 2018. "The Causal Relationships between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty," MPRA Paper 86478, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- repec:zbw:bofrdp:2022_005 is not listed on IDEAS
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2017.
"The real effects of overconfidence and fundamental uncertainty shocks,"
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers
37/2017, Bank of Finland.
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2017. "The real effects of overconfidence and fundamental uncertainty shocks," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 37/2017, Bank of Finland.
- Wojciech CHAREMZA & Carlos DÍAZ & Svetlana MAKAROVA, 2019.
"Conditional Term Structure of Inflation Forecast Uncertainty: The Copula Approach,"
Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 5-18, March.
- Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Díaz & Svetlana Makarova, 2015. "Conditional Term Structure of Inflation Forecast Uncertainty: The Copula Approach," Discussion Papers in Economics 15/07, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- MORIKAWA Masayuki, 2022. "Firms' Knightian Uncertainty during the COVID-19 Crisis," Discussion papers 22089, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2020.
"Inflationary household uncertainty shocks,"
Research Discussion Papers
5/2020, Bank of Finland.
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2022. "Inflationary household uncertainty shocks," Research Discussion Papers 5/2022, Bank of Finland.
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2020.
"Inflationary household uncertainty shocks,"
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers
5/2020, Bank of Finland.
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2022. "Inflationary household uncertainty shocks," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2022, Bank of Finland.
- MORIKAWA Masayuki, 2018. "Measuring Firm-level Uncertainty: New evidence from a business outlook survey," Discussion papers 18030, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
- Chuliá, Helena & Gupta, Rangan & Uribe, Jorge M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017.
"Impact of US uncertainties on emerging and mature markets: Evidence from a quantile-vector autoregressive approach,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 178-191.
- Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Risse, Marian & Wohar, Mark E., 2018.
"Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 317-337.
- Rangan Gupta & Jun Ma & Marian Risse & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Common Business Cycles and Volatilities in US States and MSAs: The Role of Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 201766, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Jonas Dovern & Geoff Kenny, 2020. "Anchoring Inflation Expectations in Unconventional Times: Micro Evidence for the Euro Area," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(5), pages 309-347, October.
- Graziano Moramarco, 2022. "Measuring Global Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Cross-Country Uncertainty Spillovers," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-29, December.
- Laurentiu Dumitru ANDREI & Petre BREZEANU, 2019. "Optimizing the Financial Structure of the State Treasury in Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 180-195, June.
- repec:zbw:bofrdp:2020_005 is not listed on IDEAS
- Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2019.
"The impact of US uncertainty on the Euro area in good and bad times: evidence from a quantile structural vector autoregressive model,"
Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 46(2), pages 353-368, May.
- Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- repec:zbw:bofrdp:2019_017 is not listed on IDEAS
- Carola Binder & Tucker S. Mcelroy & Xuguang S. Sheng, 2022. "The Term Structure of Uncertainty: New Evidence from Survey Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(1), pages 39-71, February.
- ter Ellen, Saskia & Verschoor, Willem F.C. & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2019.
"Agreeing on disagreement: Heterogeneity or uncertainty?,"
Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 17-30.
- Saskia ter Ellen & Willem F.C. Verschoor & Remco C.J. Zwinkels, 2016. "Agreeing on disagreement: heterogeneity or uncertainty?," Working Paper 2016/4, Norges Bank.
- repec:zbw:bofrdp:037 is not listed on IDEAS
- Ismailov, Adilzhan & Rossi, Barbara, 2018. "Uncertainty and deviations from uncovered interest rate parity," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 242-259.