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Trend-cycle correlation, drift break and the estimation of trend and cycle in Canadian GDP
Citations
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- Melolinna, Marko & Tóth, Máté, 2019. "Trend and cycle shocks in Bayesian unobserved components models for UK productivity," Bank of England working papers 826, Bank of England.
- Elena Deryugina & Maria Guseva & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2022. "The Credit Cycle and Measurement of the Natural Rate of Interest," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 11(1), pages 87-104.
- Manuel Gonzalez-Astudillo & John M. Roberts, 2016. "When Can Trend-Cycle Decompositions Be Trusted?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-099, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Ivan Mendieta-Munoz & Mengheng Li, 2019.
"The Multivariate Simultaneous Unobserved Compenents Model and Identification via Heteroskedasticity,"
Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah
2019_06, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
- Mengheng Li & Ivan Mendieta-Munoz, 2019. "The multivariate simultaneous unobserved components model and identification via heteroskedasticity," Working Paper Series 2019/08, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2020.
"Disinflation and Reliability of Underlying Inflation Measures,"
Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 12(1), pages 91-111, March.
- Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2019. "Disinflation and reliability of underlying inflation measures," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps44, Bank of Russia.
- Éva Gyurkovics & Tibor Takács, 2023. "Estimation of the potential GDP by a new robust filter method," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 31(4), pages 1183-1207, December.
- Daisuke Nagakura, 2008.
"How Are Shocks to Trend and Cycle Correlated? A Simple Methodology for Unidentified Unobserved Components Models,"
IMES Discussion Paper Series
08-E-24, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Daisuke Nagakura, 2011. "How Are Shocks to Trend and Cycle Correlated? A Simple Methodology for Unidentified Unobserved Components Models," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd10-172, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Angelia L. Grant & Joshua C.C. Chan, 2017.
"A Bayesian Model Comparison for Trend‐Cycle Decompositions of Output,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2-3), pages 525-552, March.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015. "A Bayesian model comparison for trend-cycle decompositions of output," CAMA Working Papers 2015-31, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Tara Sinclair & Yeuqing Jia, 2010. "Permanent and Transitory Macroeconomic Relationships between China and the Developed World," Working Papers 2010-08, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
- Berger, Tino & Kempa, Bernd, 2012.
"Taylor rules and the Canadian–US equilibrium exchange rate,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1060-1075.
- T. Berger & B. Kempa & -, 2010. "Taylor rules and the Canadian-US equilibrium exchange rate," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 10/643, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Deryugina, Elena & Ponomarenko, Alexey & Rozhkova, Anna, 2020.
"When are credit gap estimates reliable?,"
Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 221-238.
- Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko & Anna Rozhkova, 2018. "When are credit gap estimates reliable?," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps34, Bank of Russia.
- Enders, Walter & Li, Jing, 2015. "Trend-cycle decomposition allowing for multiple smooth structural changes in the trend of US real GDP," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 71-81.
- Li, Mengheng & Mendieta-Muñoz, Ivan, 2024.
"Dynamic hysteresis effects,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
- Ivan Mendieta-Muñoz, 2024. "Time-varying investment dynamics in the USA," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2024_01, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
- Max Soloschenko & Enzo Weber, 2021.
"Trend-Cycle Interactions and the Subprime Crisis: Analysis of US and Canadian Output,"
Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(2), pages 109-128, November.
- Soloschenko, Max & Weber, Enzo, 2012. "Trend-Cycle Interactions and the Subprime Crisis: Analysis of US and Canadian Output," University of Regensburg Working Papers in Business, Economics and Management Information Systems 470, University of Regensburg, Department of Economics.
- Agbeyegbe, Terence D., 2020. "Bayesian analysis of output gap in Barbados," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 1(1).
- Tino Berger, 2011. "Estimating Europe’s natural rates," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 40(2), pages 521-536, April.
- James Morley & Irina B. Panovska & Tara M. Sinclair, 2013. "Testing Stationarity for Unobserved Components Models," Discussion Papers 2012-41A, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- Manuel González-Astudillo & John M. Roberts, 2022. "When are trend–cycle decompositions of GDP reliable?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2417-2460, May.
- Berger, Tino & Kempa, Bernd, 2014.
"Time-varying equilibrium rates in small open economies: Evidence for Canada,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 203-214.
- Tino Berger & Bernd Kempa, 2014. "Time-varying equilibrium rates in small open economies: Evidence for Canada," CQE Working Papers 3414, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- Ramis Khabibullin, 2019. "What measures of real economic activity slack are helpful for forecasting Russian inflation?," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps50, Bank of Russia.
- Manuel Gonzalez-Astudillo, 2017. "GDP Trend-cycle Decompositions Using State-level Data," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-051, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Ángel Guillén & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2014.
"Trend-cycle decomposition for Peruvian GDP: application of an alternative method,"
Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 23(1), pages 1-44, December.
- Ángel Guillén & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2013. "Trend-cycle decomposition for Peruvian GDP: Application of an alternative method," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2013-368, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- McNeil, James, 2023.
"Monetary policy and the term structure of inflation expectations with information frictions,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Jmaes McNeil, 2020. "Monetary policy and the term structure of Inflation expectations with information frictions," Working Papers daleconwp2020-07, Dalhousie University, Department of Economics.
- T. Berger, 2008. "Estimating Europe’s Natural Rates from a forward-looking Phillips curve," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 08/498, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Mitra, Sinchan & Sinclair, Tara M., 2012.
"Output Fluctuations In The G-7: An Unobserved Components Approach,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(3), pages 396-422, June.
- Sinchan Mitra & Tara M. Sinclair, "undated". "Output Fluctuations in the G-7: An Unobserved Components Approach," MRG Discussion Paper Series 2509, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
- Tara Sinclair & Sinchan Mitra, 2008. "Output Fluctuations in the G-7: An Unobserved Components Approach," Working Papers 2008-04, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
- Berger, Tino & Kempa, Bernd, 2011. "Bayesian estimation of the output gap for a small open economy: The case of Canada," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 112(1), pages 107-112, July.
- Gyurkovics, Éva & Takács, Tibor, 2022. "Robust energy-to-peak filter design for a class of unstable polytopic systems with a macroeconomic application," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 420(C).
- James Morley & Irina B. Panovska & Tara M. Sinclair, 2014. "Testing Stationarity for Unobserved Components Models," Discussion Papers 2012-41B, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.