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Do Managers Always Know Better? The Relative Accuracy of Management and Analyst Forecasts

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Cited by:

  1. Gilles Hilary & Charles Hsu & Rencheng Wang, 2014. "Management Forecast Consistency," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(1), pages 163-191, March.
  2. Sheng-Syan Chen & Chia-Wei Huang & Chuan-Yang Hwang & Yanzhi Wang, 2022. "Voluntary disclosure and corporate innovation," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1081-1115, April.
  3. Cohen, Lee Jeremy & Marcus, Alan J. & Rezaee, Zabihollah & Tehranian, Hassan, 2018. "Waiting for guidance: Disclosure noise, verification delay, and the value-relevance of good-news versus bad-news management earnings forecasts," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 79-99.
  4. Badertscher, Brad & Shroff, Nemit & White, Hal D., 2013. "Externalities of public firm presence: Evidence from private firms' investment decisions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(3), pages 682-706.
  5. Jihun Bae & Gary C. Biddle & Chul W. Park, 2022. "Managerial Learning from Analyst Feedback to Voluntary Capex Guidance, Investment Efficiency, and Firm Performance," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(1), pages 583-607, January.
  6. Kun Tracy Wang & Nathan Zhenghang Zhu, 2023. "Conditional Mandates on Management Earnings Forecasts: The Impact on the Cost of Debt," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 59(4), pages 901-953, December.
  7. Ye, Mao & Zheng, Miles Y. & Zhu, Wei, 2023. "The effect of tick size on managerial learning from stock prices," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(1).
  8. Ruijun Zhang & Xiaotong Yang & Nian Li & Muhammad Asif Khan, 2021. "Herd Behavior in Venture Capital Market: Evidence from China," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(13), pages 1-18, June.
  9. Helen Hurwitz & Yan Sun, 2023. "Regulation Fair Disclosure and the timeliness of long‐horizon management forecasts," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(9-10), pages 1808-1835, October.
  10. Fujitani, Ryosuke & Kim, Hyonok & Yamada, Kazuo, 2021. "Peer Effects of Corporate Disclosure in Pandemic Era," Working Paper Series 240, Management Innovation Research Center, School of Business Administration, Hitotsubashi University Business School.
  11. Nakazono, Yoshiyuki & Koga, Maiko & Sugo, Tomohiro, 2020. "Private information and analyst coverage: Evidence from firm survey data," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 284-298.
  12. Audrey Hsu & Kevin Koh & Sophia Liu & Yen H. Tong, 2019. "Corporate Social Responsibility and Corporate Disclosures: An Investigation of Investors’ and Analysts’ Perceptions," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 158(2), pages 507-534, August.
  13. Kim, Robert & Kim, Sangwan, 2021. "Does revenue-expense matching play a differential role in analysts’ earnings and revenue forecasts?," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(5).
  14. Chen, Xiaomeng Charlene & Hellmann, Andreas & Sood, Suresh, 2022. "A framework for analyst economic incentives and cognitive biases: Origination of the walk-down in earnings forecasts," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
  15. Jin Kyung Choi & Rebecca N. Hann & Musa Subasi & Yue Zheng, 2020. "An Empirical Analysis of Analysts' Capital Expenditure Forecasts: Evidence from Corporate Investment Efficiency," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(4), pages 2615-2648, December.
  16. Lin, Yongjia Rebecca & Fu, Xiaoqing Maggie, 2017. "Does institutional ownership influence firm performance? Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 17-57.
  17. Do, Chuong, 2024. "Financial analysts' information discovery: A study of manager-analyst interactions in conference calls," Advances in accounting, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  18. Joost Impink & Mari Paananen & Annelies Renders, 2022. "Regulation‐induced Disclosures: Evidence of Information Overload?," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 58(3), pages 432-478, September.
  19. Stephan, Andrew P. & Walther, Beverly R. & Wellman, Laura A., 2021. "Profiting from connections: Do politicians receive stock tips from brokerage houses?," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(1).
  20. Alex Kim & Maximilian Muhn & Valeri Nikolaev, 2024. "Financial Statement Analysis with Large Language Models," Papers 2407.17866, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
  21. Fei, Xingyuan, 2022. "Nondisclosure and analyst behavior: Evidence from redaction of proprietary information from public filings," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  22. Kexing Ding & Bikki Jaggi, 2022. "CEO career concerns and the precision of management earnings forecasts," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 69-100, January.
  23. Jung Min Kim, 2023. "Uncertainty about managerial horizon and voluntary disclosure," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 28(2), pages 615-657, June.
  24. He, Jie & Xu, Sha & Wang, Bin & Chan, Kam C., 2023. "Learn from peers? The impact of peer firms' analyst earnings forecasts on a focal firm's corporate investment efficiency," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  25. Abiot Tessema, 2018. "Earnings smoothing and CEO cash bonus compensation: the role of mandatory derivatives disclosure policy," International Journal of Disclosure and Governance, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(2), pages 115-127, May.
  26. Ruihao Ke & Meng Li & Yuan Zhang, 2020. "Directors' Informational Role in Corporate Voluntary Disclosure: An Analysis of Directors from Related Industries†," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(1), pages 392-418, March.
  27. Tsang, Albert & Xiang, Yi & Yu, Li, 2023. "Cross-border regulatory cooperation and analyst forecasts," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  28. Huang, Kelly, 2020. "Management forecast errors and corporate investment efficiency," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(3).
  29. Le, Cao Hoang Anh & Shan, Yaowen & Taylor, Stephen, 2024. "International economic policy uncertainty and analysts' earnings forecasts," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  30. Itay Goldstein, 2023. "Information in Financial Markets and Its Real Effects," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(1), pages 1-32.
  31. Choi, Hae Mi & Gupta-Mukherjee, Swasti, 2022. "Analysts’ reliance on industry-level versus firm-specific information: Implications for information production," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  32. Chen Su, 2023. "The price impact of analyst revisions and the state of the economy: Evidence around the world," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 58(4), pages 887-930, November.
  33. Ferracuti, Elia & Stubben, Stephen R., 2019. "The role of financial reporting in resolving uncertainty about corporate investment opportunities," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(2).
  34. Wang, Zhao & He, Yali & Jiang, Tianqi, 2024. "Does the gender composition of local governments matter for firms’ information environment? Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  35. Boone, Audra L. & White, Joshua T., 2015. "The effect of institutional ownership on firm transparency and information production," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 508-533.
  36. Guay, Wayne & Samuels, Delphine & Taylor, Daniel, 2016. "Guiding through the Fog: Financial statement complexity and voluntary disclosure," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(2), pages 234-269.
  37. Sakawa, Hideaki & Watanabel, Naoki & Gu, Junjian, 2022. "Internationalization and the reliance of analyst forecasts in stakeholder-oriented corporate governance: Evidence from Japanese MNEs," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  38. Jaehee Gim & Seunghun Shin & Hyejo Hailey Shin, 2024. "Effect of franchising on the reliability of financial analysts’ earnings forecasts: Evidence from publicly traded US restaurant firms," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(7), pages 1857-1879, November.
  39. Brunella Bruno & Immacolata Marino & Giacomo Nocera, 2023. "Internal Ratings, Non-Performing Loans, and Bank Opacity: Evidence from Analysts’ Forecasts," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 23195, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
  40. Wei Chen & Lili Dai & Hun‐Tong Tan, 2023. "When does analyst reputation matter? Evidence from analysts’ reliance on management guidance," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(7-8), pages 1305-1337, July.
  41. Schiemann, Frank & Tietmeyer, Raphael, 2022. "ESG Controversies, ESG Disclosure and Analyst Forecast Accuracy," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  42. Youngdeok Lim & Hyung Il Oh, 2022. "Do Firms Learn from Pre‐announcement Experience? Evidence from Optimistic Pre‐announcements and Market Responses," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 58(2), pages 365-392, June.
  43. Kai Wai Hui & P. Eric Yeung, 2013. "Underreaction to Industry‐Wide Earnings and the Post‐Forecast Revision Drift," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51(4), pages 701-737, September.
  44. Lihua Liu & Dongmin Kong & Wei Yang, 2022. "Brain gain of analysts in China: foreign experiences and forecast accuracy," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(2), pages 2089-2129, June.
  45. C. S. Agnes Cheng & K. C. Kenneth Chu & James Ohlson, 2020. "Analyst forecasts: sales and profit margins," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 54-83, March.
  46. Tang, Michael & Zarowin, Paul & Zhang, Li, 2015. "How do analysts interpret management range forecasts?," Accounting, Organizations and Society, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 48-66.
  47. Hsieh, Jim & Ng, Lilian & Wang, Qinghai, 2023. "How informative are insider trades and analyst recommendations?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
  48. Rees, Lynn & Sharp, Nathan Y. & Wong, Paul A., 2017. "Working on the weekend: Do analysts strategically time the release of their recommendation revisions?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 104-121.
  49. Wenjie Ding & Khelifa Mazouz & Qingwei Wang, 2019. "Investor sentiment and the cross-section of stock returns: new theory and evidence," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 493-525, August.
  50. Stephen Glaeser & James D. Omartian, 2022. "Public Firm Presence, Financial Reporting, and the Decline of U.S. Manufacturing," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(3), pages 1085-1130, June.
  51. Eugene Soltes, 2014. "Private Interaction Between Firm Management and Sell‐Side Analysts," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(1), pages 245-272, March.
  52. Andrew B. Jackson & Marlene A. Plumlee & Brian R. Rountree, 2018. "Decomposing the market, industry, and firm components of profitability: implications for forecasts of profitability," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 1071-1095, September.
  53. Dan Hu & Eunju Lee & Bingxin Li, 2023. "Trade secrets protection and stock price crash risk," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 58(2), pages 395-421, May.
  54. Yang, Xiaohui & Chen, Wei, 2021. "The joint effects of macroeconomic uncertainty and cyclicality on management and analyst earnings forecasts," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
  55. Linyan Fan & Sheng Yao, 2022. "Analyst Site Visits and Corporate Environmental Information Disclosure: Evidence from China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(23), pages 1-21, December.
  56. Wang, Sean, 2019. "Informational environments and the relative information content of analyst recommendations and insider trades," Accounting, Organizations and Society, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 61-73.
  57. Maria Ogneva, 2013. "Discussion of What Do Management Earnings Forecasts Convey About the Macroeconomy?," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51(2), pages 267-279, May.
  58. Pawel Bilinski, 2023. "Analyst Research Activity During the COVID‐19 Pandemic," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 59(4), pages 1041-1073, December.
  59. Dong, Yashu & Young, Danqing, 2021. "Foreign macroeconomic and industry-related information transfers around earnings announcements: Evidence from U.S.-listed non-U.S. firms," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(2).
  60. David A. Maslar & Matthew Serfling & Sarah Shaikh, 2021. "Economic Downturns and the Informativeness of Management Earnings Forecasts," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(4), pages 1481-1520, September.
  61. Minkwan Ahn & Samuel B. Bonsall & Andrew Buskirk, 2019. "Do managers withhold bad news from credit rating agencies?," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 972-1021, September.
  62. Zachary Kaplan & Xiumin Martin & Yifang Xie, 2021. "Truncating Optimism," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(5), pages 1827-1884, December.
  63. Samuel B. Bonsall & Zahn Bozanic & Paul E.. Fischer, 2013. "What Do Management Earnings Forecasts Convey About the Macroeconomy?," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51(2), pages 225-266, May.
  64. Ole-Kristian Hope & Wuyang Zhao, 2018. "Market reactions to the closest peer firm’s analyst revisions," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(4), pages 345-372, June.
  65. Li, Ting & Zaiats, Nataliya, 2017. "Information environment and earnings management of dual class firms around the world," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 1-23.
  66. El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Wei, Zuobao & Zhu, Yicheng, 2023. "Does public corruption affect analyst forecast quality?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
  67. Shin, Dongsoo, 2015. "Incentives and management styles," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 22-31.
  68. Wang, Chunlan & Xin, Jianxuan & Sun, Fangfang & Shi, Yan & Du, Yuxuan, 2024. "The effects of manager sentiment in financial disclosure: Perspectives of operational efficiency and market reaction," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  69. Chahine, Salim & Daher, Mai & Saade, Samer, 2021. "Doing good in periods of high uncertainty: Economic policy uncertainty, corporate social responsibility, and analyst forecast error," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
  70. Hua Song & Sijie Chen & Anirban Ganguly, 2019. "Innovative Ecosystem In Enhancing Hi-Tech Sme Financing: Mediating Role Of Two Types Of Innovation Capabilities," International Journal of Innovation Management (ijim), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 24(02), pages 1-36, April.
  71. Hu, Jun & Long, Wenbin & Luo, Le & Peng, Yuanhuai, 2021. "Share pledging and optimism in analyst earnings forecasts: Evidence from China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
  72. Jeon, Heung-Jae, 2023. "CEO overconfidence: A dual-detriment to investment-price sensitivity via market negligence and reduced informed trading," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(3).
  73. Verhoeks, Ralph C. & Verschoor, Willem F.C. & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2024. "Wall street watches Washington: Asset pricing implications of policy uncertainty," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
  74. Li, Siyuan & Qu, Tianshu Charlotte & Yu, Yingri Julia, 2022. "Outside director social network centrality and turnover before stock performance crash: A friend in need?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  75. Michael Tang & Li Zhang, 2018. "Range has it: decoding the information content of forecast ranges," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 589-621, June.
  76. Iny Hwang & Taejin Jung & Woo‐Jong Lee & Daniel G. Yang, 2021. "Asymmetric Inventory Management and the Direction of Sales Changes†," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(1), pages 676-706, March.
  77. Miao Jiang & Bo Zhu & Luxi Li, 2024. "Manager‐specific manipulation of tone and stock price synchronicity," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 64(4), pages 3803-3821, December.
  78. Haiyan Jiang & Ahsan Habib & Rong Gong, 2015. "Business Cycle and Management Earnings Forecasts," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 51(2), pages 279-310, June.
  79. Shantaram Hegde & Tingyu Zhou, 2019. "Predicting Accounting Misconduct: The Role of Firm-Level Investor Optimism," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 160(2), pages 535-562, December.
  80. Jin, Shunyao & Kimbrough, Michael D. & Wang, Isabel Yanyan, 2024. "Privileged information access, analyst consensus building, and stock return volatility: Evidence from the JOBS Act," Advances in accounting, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  81. ED deHAAN & NAN LI & FRANK S. ZHOU, 2023. "Financial Reporting and Employee Job Search," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(2), pages 571-617, May.
  82. Zhang, Rachel Xi, 2023. "Do Managers learn from institutional investors through direct interactions?," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(2).
  83. Kemin Wang & Xiaoyun Yu & Bohui Zhang, 2023. "Panda Games: Corporate Disclosure in the Eclipse of Search," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(6), pages 3263-3284, June.
  84. Hennig, Jan C. & Oehmichen, Jana & Steinberg, Philip J. & Heigermoser, Judith, 2022. "Determinants of common ownership: Exploring an information-based and a competition-based perspective in a global context," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 690-702.
  85. Henock Louis & Amy X. Sun & Oktay Urcan, 2013. "Do Analysts Sacrifice Forecast Accuracy for Informativeness?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(7), pages 1688-1708, July.
  86. Jianghua Shen & Lingmin Xie & Zhimin Xie, 2022. "The unintended consequence of financial statement comparability: evidence from managerial learning practices," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(3), pages 3073-3106, September.
  87. Cristi Gleason & Zhejia Ling & Rong Zhao, 2020. "Selective disclosure and the role of Form 8‐K in the post‐Reg FD era," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(3-4), pages 365-396, March.
  88. Brown, Lawrence D. & Zhou, Ling, 2015. "Interactions between analysts’ and managers’ earnings forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 501-514.
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