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The Forecast Accuracy Of Individual Analysts - Evidence Of Systematic Optimism And Pessimism
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Cited by:
- Batchelor, Roy, 2007. "Bias in macroeconomic forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 189-203.
- Emmanuel Mamatzakis & Anna Bagntasarian, 2021. "The nexus between CEO incentives and analysts' earnings forecasts," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 6205-6248, October.
- Oleg V. Petrenko & Federico Aime & Tessa Recendes & Jeffrey A. Chandler, 2019. "The case for humble expectations: CEO humility and market performance," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(12), pages 1938-1964, December.
- Li, Xi, 2005. "The persistence of relative performance in stock recommendations of sell-side financial analysts," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(1-3), pages 129-152, December.
- Gaétan Breton & Alain Schatt, 2000. "Rôle et caractérisation de l’analyse financière," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 59(4), pages 147-161.
- Ayres, Douglas & Huang, Xuerong (Sharon) & Myring, Mark, 2017. "Fair value accounting and analyst forecast accuracy," Advances in accounting, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 58-70.
- Marco Aiolfi & Marius Rodriguez & Allan Timmermann, 2010.
"Understanding Analysts' Earnings Expectations: Biases, Nonlinearities, and Predictability,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 8(3), pages 305-334, Summer.
- Timmermann, Allan & Aiolfi, Marco & Rodriguez, Marius, 2010. "Understanding Analysts' Earnings Expectations: Biases, Nonlinearities and Predictability," CEPR Discussion Papers 7656, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kumar, Alok & Rantala, Ville & Xu, Rosy, 2022. "Social learning and analyst behavior," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 434-461.
- April Knill & Kristina Minnick & Ali Nejadmalayeri, 2006. "Selective Hedging, Information Asymmetry, and Futures Prices," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 79(3), pages 1475-1502, May.
- Sunil Mohanty & Edward Aw, 2006. "Rationality of analysts' earnings forecasts: evidence from dow 30 companies," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(12), pages 915-929.
- Ackert, Lucy F. & Church, Bryan K. & Zhang, Ping, 2004.
"Asset prices and informed traders' abilities: Evidence from experimental asset markets,"
Accounting, Organizations and Society, Elsevier, vol. 29(7), pages 609-626, October.
- Lucy F. Ackert & Bryan K. Church & Ping Zhang, 2002. "Asset prices and informed traders' abilities: evidence from experimental asset markets," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2002-26, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Du, Yan & Liu, Qianqiu & Rhee, S. Ghon, 2006. "An Anatomy of the Magnet Effect: Evidence from the Korea Stock Exchange High-Frequency Data," CEI Working Paper Series 2005-17, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Lorenzo Casavecchia & Gerhard Hambusch & Justin Hitchen, 2022. "The impact of analyst forecast errors on fundamental indexation: the Australian evidence," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(5), pages 400-418, September.
- Raymond A.K. Cox & Robert T. Kleiman, 2000.
"A stochastic model of superstardom: evidence from institutional investor's All‐American Research Team,"
Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 9(1), pages 43-53, March.
- Cox, Raymond A. K. & Kleiman, Robert T., 2000. "A stochastic model of superstardom: evidence from institutional investor's All-American Research Team," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 43-53.
- Krolikowski, Marcin W. & Chen, Gaole & Mohr, Joseph E., 2016. "Optimism pattern of all-star analysts," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 222-228.
- John Capstaff & Krishna Paudyal & William Rees, 1999. "The relative forecast accuracy of UK brokers," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 3-16.
- Paul E. Fischer & Mirko S. Heinle & Kevin C. Smith, 2020. "Constrained listening, audience alignment, and expert communication," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 51(4), pages 1037-1062, December.
- Engelberg, Joseph & Manski, Charles F. & Williams, Jared, 2009.
"Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27, pages 30-41.
- Joseph Engelberg & Charles F. Manski & Jared Williams, 2006. "Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters," NBER Working Papers 11978, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Rados³aw Pastusiak & Jakub Keller, 2019. "Determinants of occurrence of excessive optimism among analysts of the Warsaw Stock Exchange," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 37(1), pages 259-275.
- Yi Dong & Nan Hu & Xu Li & Ling Liu, 2017. "Analyst Firm Coverage and Forecast Accuracy: The Effect of Regulation Fair Disclosure," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 53(4), pages 450-484, December.
- Fernando Rubio, 2005. "Eficiencia De Mercado, Administracion De Carteras De Fondos Y Behavioural Finance," Finance 0503028, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 23 Jul 2005.
- Philip Brown & Andrew Ferguson & Andrew B. Jackson, 2009. "Pierpont and the Capital Market," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 45(2), pages 147-170, June.
- Brown, Philip & Clarke, Alex & How, Janice C. Y. & Lim, Kadir J. P., 2002. "Analysts' dividend forecasts," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 371-391, September.
- Vismara, Silvio & Signori, Andrea & Paleari, Stefano, 2015. "Changes in underwriters' selection of comparable firms pre- and post-IPO: Same bank, same company, different peers," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 235-250.
- Sung Hwan Jung, 2017. "The contingent effect of analyst coverage: how does analyst coverage affect innovation and Tobin’s Q?," Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting & Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1-2), pages 43-67, April.
- Praveen Sinha & Lawrence D. Brown & Somnath Das, 1997. "A Re†Examination of Financial Analysts' Differential Earnings Forecast Accuracy," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 14(1), pages 1-42, March.
- Daphne Yan Du & Qianqiu Liu & S. Ghon Rhee, 2009. "An Analysis of the Magnet Effect under Price Limits," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 9(1‐2), pages 83-110, March.
- Vishal Gaur & Saravanan Kesavan & Ananth Raman & Marshall L. Fisher, 2007. "Estimating Demand Uncertainty Using Judgmental Forecasts," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 9(4), pages 480-491, April.
- Roy Batchelor, 2007. "Forecaster Behaviour and Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts," ifo Working Paper Series 39, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Zitzewitz, Eric, 2001. "Measuring Herding and Exaggeration by Equity Analysts and Other Opinion Sellers," Research Papers 1802, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
- Henderson, Brian J. & Marks, Joseph M., 2013. "Predicting forecast errors through joint observation of earnings and revenue forecasts," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4265-4277.
- Hall, Jason L. & Tacon, Paul B., 2010. "Forecast accuracy and stock recommendations," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 18-33.
- Hollander, S., 2007. "The merits and economic consequences of reputation : Three essays," Other publications TiSEM d9932a90-7aac-4b23-bf99-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Deniz Igan & Marcelo Pinheiro, 2012. "Incentive to manipulate earnings and its connection to analysts’ forecasts, trading, and corporate governance," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 36(4), pages 781-821, October.
- Szakmary, Andrew C. & Conover, C. Mitchell & Lancaster, Carol, 2008. "An examination of Value Line's long-term projections," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 820-833, May.
- Paul Hribar & John McInnis, 2012. "Investor Sentiment and Analysts' Earnings Forecast Errors," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 58(2), pages 293-307, February.
- Amitabh Dugar & Siva Nathan, 1995. "The Effect of Investment Banking Relationships on Financial Analysts' Earnings Forecasts and Investment Recommendations," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 12(1), pages 131-160, September.
- Robert G. Biscontri, 2012. "A Radial Basis Function Approach To Earnings Forecast," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(1), pages 1-18, January.
- Mozes, Haim A., 2003. "Accuracy, usefulness and the evaluation of analysts' forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 417-434.
- Simon Hussain, 2002. "UK brokers' characteristics: does size matter?," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 153-170.
- Barniv, Ran, 2009. "Does foreign investor demand for information affect forecast accuracy? Evidence from the Chinese stock markets," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 101-118.
- Phillip J. McKnight & Manouchehr Tavakoli & Charlie Weir, 2010. "Underwriting Relationships and Analyst Independence in Europe," Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(3), pages 189-213, August.
- Chen, Jaden Yang, 2022. "Biased learning under ambiguous information," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
- Derann Hsu & Cheng-Huei Chiao, 2011. "Relative accuracy of analysts’ earnings forecasts over time: a Markov chain analysis," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 37(4), pages 477-507, November.
- Brown, Anna Bergman & Lin, Guoyu & Zhou, Aner, 2022. "Analysts’ forecast optimism: The effects of managers’ incentives on analysts’ forecasts," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
- Philip L. Baird, 2020. "Do investors recognize biases in securities analysts’ forecasts?," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(4), pages 623-634, October.
- Leon Li & Nen-Chen Richard Hwang & Gilbert V. Nartea, 2019. "Effects of Earnings Management Strategy on Earnings Predictability: A Quantile Regression Approach Based on Opportunistic Versus Efficient Earnings Management," Working Papers in Economics 19/09, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.